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Buducnost vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 75-66
23-18 21-20 16-20 15-8
Position#3
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game71.5
vs
Position#13
Record0-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game83.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 3
Domestic2021
Meetings · Buducnost v Split
28 Sep 2024
BUD97
SPL75
11 Nov 2023
BUD72
SPL58
02 Oct 2022
BUD94
SPL59
10 Oct 2021
BUD75
SPL66
03 Oct 2020
BUD84
SPL59
09 Mar 2013
BUD66
SPL47
11 Oct 2008
BUD85
SPL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A28/05
ABA League
Lovcen Cetinje
#4
W
130-93
130
93
+37
H02/06
Montenegrin Cup
Mornar Bar
#2
W
102-93
102
93
+9
H03/06
Montenegrin Cup
Lovcen Cetinje
#3
W
103-73
103
73
+30
H06/06
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#3
W
99-72
99
72
+27
A08/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
97-77
97
77
+20
H10/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A12/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H14/06
Prva A Liga
FMP Beograd
#6
W
82-72
82
72
+10
H26/09
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A04/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
14-18
21-20
11-14
24-34
38-24
28-21
40-14
26-23
31-19
23-29
22-22
27-22
24-23
24-15
28-13
23-20
21-19
28-25
27-8
22-18
31-18
29-16
15-25
20-16
20-23
15-17
25-17
21-20
20-12
30-19
23-19
26-20
20-17
18-22
18-13
14-19
15-18
18-8
16-26
167.1Avg total
91.0Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.571.5144.0+1.050%
Season at home (1)82.072.0154.0+10.0100%
Season away (1)63.071.0134.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)91.076.1167.1+14.980%
Last 5 (5)83.272.6155.8+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.375.4151.7+0.950%
vs Similar (5)86.683.0169.6+3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.769.7158.4+19.1100%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H02/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
57-84
57
84
-27
A05/06
Premijer liga
AEK Larnaca
#46
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A13/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#20
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A15/09
Champions League
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A22/09
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
61-97
61
97
-36
A24/09
ABA League
Cibona
#1
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H27/09
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H30/09
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A03/10
Premijer liga
Gorica
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H08/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
25-14
18-11
19-20
9-17
20-32
14-22
14-13
13-11
15-12
13-16
24-11
21-27
16-12
15-18
15-19
25-20
15-16
22-26
16-18
16-22
12-31
13-22
20-22
21-16
12-17
17-18
23-11
15-17
9-21
19-15
16-16
14-17
22-12
21-20
16-11
27-22
23-18
20-13
18-19
142.0Avg total
70.2Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.083.0143.0-23.00%
Season at home (1)59.069.0128.0-10.00%
Season away (1)61.097.0158.0-36.00%
Last 10 (10)70.271.8142.0-1.650%
Last 5 (5)70.872.0142.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.477.4146.8-8.042%
vs Similar (4)76.871.5148.2+5.250%
vs Weaker (13)86.971.5158.4+15.569%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
BuducnostSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A28/05
ABA League
Lovcen Cetinje
#4
W
62-58
62
58
+4
H02/06
Montenegrin Cup
Mornar Bar
#2
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H03/06
Montenegrin Cup
Lovcen Cetinje
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H06/06
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A08/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H10/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/06
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#10
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H14/06
Prva A Liga
FMP Beograd
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/09
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/10
ABA League
84.9Avg total
45.1Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.440.183.6+3.362%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.439.685.1+5.875%-
Last 30 away (13)41.040.881.8+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)45.139.884.9+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)41.836.278.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.640.177.7-2.520%-
vs Similar (5)46.248.694.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.637.183.8+9.5100%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H02/06
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
A05/06
Premijer liga
AEK Larnaca
#46
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A13/09
Champions League
Fribourg Olympic
#20
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A15/09
Champions League
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/09
Premijer liga
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A24/09
ABA League
Cibona
#1
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H27/09
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H30/09
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A03/10
Premijer liga
Gorica
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H08/10
Premijer liga
72.6Avg total
34.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.675.3+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.439.281.6+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)33.636.269.8-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.937.772.6-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.672.8-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.840.072.8-7.233%-
vs Similar (4)35.236.071.2-0.825%-
vs Weaker (13)43.837.080.8+6.877%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.3
49.5%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.9
35.8%
34.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws29.321.6
73.7%
73.4%21.6
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 68.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.215.8
52.3%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.8
30.4%
34.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws13.510.9
80.7%
73.4%10.9
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LWWWWWWWWL
Split
WWLWLLLWLW
#3
League position
#13
+0.0
Net rating
-5.8
109.1
Offensive rating
100.6
109.1
Defensive rating
106.4
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
15.4%
Turnover %
20.5%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.52
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.8%
3-point %
30.4%
51.6%
Assist %
69.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 100.6Defence109.1 · 106.4Shooting50.9% · 49.1%3-point %35.8% · 30.4%Ball care15.4% · 20.5%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.52 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Buducnost   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Buducnost wins
2
Split wins
DateGameScore
09/01/21Split v Buducnost78-77
03/10/20Buducnost v Split84-59
09/03/13Buducnost v Split66-47
01/12/12Split v Buducnost71-69
10/01/09Split v Buducnost64-75
11/10/08Buducnost v Split85-68
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/21ACrvena zvezda63-71
26/09/21HFMP Beograd82-72
14/06/21HMornar Bar94-70
12/06/21AMornar Bar80-73
10/06/21HMornar Bar97-77
08/06/21ALovcen Cetinje99-72
06/06/21HLovcen Cetinje103-73
03/06/21HMornar Bar102-93
02/06/21HLovcen Cetinje130-93
28/05/21ACrvena zvezda60-67
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/21HGorica88-72
03/10/21ADubrava73-60
30/09/21HPartizan59-69
27/09/21HCibona73-62
24/09/21ACrvena zvezda61-97
22/09/21ACedevita Junior78-80
15/09/21AFribourg Olympic67-76
13/09/21AAEK Larnaca65-50
05/06/21AZadar57-84
02/06/21HZadar81-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.582.063.0
Allowed / game71.572.071.0
Point differential+1.0+10.0-8.0
Avg total144.0154.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
ABA League 2021
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game60.059.061.0
Allowed / game83.069.097.0
Point differential-23.0-10.0-36.0
Avg total143.0128.0158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda220100%84.062.0+22.0
2 Cedevita Olimpija220100%86.566.0+20.5
3 Partizan330100%75.363.0+12.3
4 Cibona330100%81.376.0+5.3
5 Mega Basket32167%86.076.3+9.7
6 Buducnost21150%72.571.5+1.0
7 FMP Beograd21150%80.581.5-1.0
8 Igokea21150%86.089.0-3.0
9 Borac Mozzart31233%85.087.0-2.0
10 KK Krka Novo mesto31233%72.380.3-8.0
11 Studentski Centar31233%73.086.0-13.0
12 Zadar3030%72.780.0-7.3
13 Mornar Bar3030%80.788.7-8.0
14 Split2020%60.083.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost2321161575
Split182020866
← all games of the day
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