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Bulgaria vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 70-81
15-22 17-22 21-18 17-19
Position#71
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#56
Record1-0
FormLWLLW
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game64.0
EuropeWorld Cup· Arena Samokov
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bulgaria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulgaria
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
83-71
83
71
+12
no box
H22/07
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
91-69
91
69
+22
no box
H29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
62-85
62
85
-23
44avg 68
A22/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
86-90
86
90
-4
80avg 68
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
72avg 68
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 68
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
76-88
76
88
-12
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
19-7
26-20
23-24
20-14
30-20
24-17
17-18
28-13
25-25
16-14
16-19
22-29
21-21
12-12
15-22
7-19
21-8
11-18
28-17
16-20
11-24
25-21
10-20
21-22
27-19
19-25
19-24
25-22
9-17
24-15
12-16
21-28
14-34
22-13
28-19
14-24
14-24
25-28
23-12
157.7Avg total
78.6Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)76.088.0164.0-12.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)76.088.0164.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)78.679.1157.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)78.086.8164.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.885.4162.2-8.725%
vs Similar (10)76.979.2156.1-2.340%
vs Weaker (8)81.672.4154.0+9.275%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNetherlands
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
72-84
72
84
-12
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
56-72
56
72
-16
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#12
L
94-98
94
98
-4
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
74-96
74
96
-22
69avg 65
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
77-70
77
70
+7
73avg 65
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
69-73
69
73
-4
68avg 65
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
53-63
53
63
-10
49avg 65
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
22-22
16-18
13-23
19-17
23-18
20-31
18-22
17-18
14-16
8-23
17-15
23-28
18-27
25-16
28-27
12-16
27-16
19-30
14-12
21-21
24-25
16-30
13-20
25-10
12-17
17-14
23-29
14-20
15-11
21-18
19-24
18-18
5-16
16-14
14-15
21-12
13-23
18-14
13-15
149.4Avg total
71.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)65.064.0129.0+1.0100%
Season at home (1)65.064.0129.0+1.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.278.2149.4-7.020%
Last 5 (5)67.673.2140.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)70.578.6149.0-8.115%
vs Similar (3)73.779.0152.7-5.333%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.0-3.0
BulgariaNetherlands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#30
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/07
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H25/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A22/11
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A06/08
World Cup
79.0Avg total
38.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.179.0-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.778.2+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.242.679.8-5.433%-
Last 10 (10)38.041.079.0-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)34.446.881.2-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.743.979.6-8.233%-
vs Similar (10)40.438.979.3+1.560%-
vs Weaker (8)41.836.077.8+5.862%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A14/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A26/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#12
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A23/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A21/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H24/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Greece
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A24/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/08
World Cup
73.6Avg total
36.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.976.2-3.727%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.338.675.9-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)35.341.176.4-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.273.6-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)33.634.668.2-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)36.739.576.2-2.930%-
vs Similar (3)32.343.776.0-11.30%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
-12.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.5%
-27.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
-13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 09 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bulgaria
LLWLLWLWWW
Netherlands
WLLWLLLLLL
#71
League position
#56
-0.1
Net rating
-7.9
107.9
Offensive rating
97.5
108.0
Defensive rating
105.3
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.4%
Turnover %
23.6%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.0%
3-point %
35.5%
62.4%
Assist %
81.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Bulgaria   ■ Netherlands
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bulgaria wins
0
Netherlands wins
No previous meetings.
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/08/25AAustria76-88
23/02/25AGermany85-94
20/02/25HSweden81-77 OT
25/11/24HMontenegro86-90
22/11/24AMontenegro62-85
25/02/24HGermany67-62
22/02/24ASweden70-84
02/08/23AAustria85-71
29/07/23HNorway91-69
22/07/23HAustria83-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25HAustria65-64
24/02/25AGreece53-63
21/02/25HGreat Britain69-73
24/11/24HCzech Republic77-70
21/11/24ACzech Republic74-96
26/02/24HGreece72-74
23/02/24AGreat Britain94-98
26/02/23AUkraine56-72
23/02/23HGeorgia80-88
14/11/22ASpain72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bulgaria
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game76.0-76.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential-12.0--12.0
Avg total164.0-164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Netherlands
World Cup 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game65.065.0-
Allowed / game64.064.0-
Point differential+1.0+1.0-
Avg total129.0129.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia110100%101.068.0+33.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Denmark110100%89.071.0+18.0
4 Netherlands110100%65.064.0+1.0
5 Switzerland87188%76.259.8+16.5
6 Romania65183%78.770.5+8.2
7 Austria64267%92.275.5+16.7
8 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
9 Ukraine21150%72.068.5+3.5
10 Slovakia21150%72.070.0+2.0
11 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
12 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
13 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
14 Norway62433%68.777.8-9.2
15 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
16 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
17 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
18 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
19 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
20 North Macedonia1010%72.080.0-8.0
21 Bulgaria1010%76.088.0-12.0
22 Hungary1010%64.076.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 22 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bulgaria1517211770
Netherlands2222181981
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