PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bulgaria vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 67-62
7-19 21-8 11-18 28-17
Position#13
Record8-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game61.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 2· Arena Botevgrad
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bulgaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBulgaria
Date
Competition
Belgium
#5
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
H07/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
A10/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
75-66
75
66
+9
no box
A13/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
62-61
62
61
+1
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 79
H26/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 79
A19/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
83-71
83
71
+12
81avg 79
H22/07
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
91-69
91
69
+22
96avg 79
H29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
85-71
85
71
+14
82avg 79
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
70-84
70
84
-14
59avg 79
A22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
11-21
30-25
20-23
20-21
32-23
12-23
14-21
16-8
17-13
24-27
18-18
16-12
15-13
13-19
18-17
19-19
24-21
27-18
20-24
21-22
18-27
8-19
33-18
15-20
19-7
26-20
23-24
20-14
30-20
24-17
17-18
28-13
25-25
16-14
16-19
22-29
21-21
12-12
15-22
156.1Avg total
79.4Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.573.2153.7+7.473%
Season at home (5)87.269.8157.0+17.4100%
Season away (6)75.076.0151.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.476.7156.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)81.876.2158.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.288.1163.4-12.921%
vs Similar (9)76.478.2154.7-1.844%
vs Weaker (7)81.771.7153.4+10.071%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
China
#3
W
107-58
107
58
+49
112avg 100
H12/08
DBB Supercup
Canada
#1
L
112-113 OT
112
113
-1
110avg 100
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Japan
#28
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
H25/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
85-82
85
82
+3
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
101-75
101
75
+26
no box
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
100-73
100
73
+27
no box
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
81-79
81
79
+2
no box
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
85-61
85
61
+24
79avg 100
H22/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
24-11
32-18
26-17
26-20
23-25
38-33
14-23
23-11
30-20
16-16
12-16
24-25
25-19
13-22
23-16
19-22
28-17
29-16
25-20
22-16
21-25
27-16
30-16
11-25
27-9
30-18
32-19
13-16
23-18
26-25
19-20
23-26
24-21
22-10
14-20
28-10
19-20
11-20
27-11
168.7Avg total
93.5Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)85.061.0146.0+24.0100%
Season at home (1)85.061.0146.0+24.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)93.575.2168.7+18.390%
Last 5 (5)89.872.2162.0+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.387.0164.3-9.733%
vs Similar (7)89.784.6174.3+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)90.573.6164.1+17.090%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +5.9+5.9Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
BulgariaGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium
#5
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H07/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A10/11
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
33-21
33
21
+12
A13/11
EuroBasket
Romania
#16
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H26/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A19/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H22/07
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H29/07
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A02/08
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/02
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
40.8Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.778.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.338.578.9+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)37.240.978.1-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.977.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.683.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.642.578.1-6.929%-
vs Similar (9)40.438.679.0+1.956%-
vs Weaker (7)42.935.678.4+7.371%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#3
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H12/08
DBB Supercup
Canada
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A13/08
DBB Supercup
Japan
#28
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H25/08
World Cup
Australia
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/09
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/09
World Cup
Latvia
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H06/09
World Cup
Serbia
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H10/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#19
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H22/02
EuroBasket
82.6Avg total
45.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.537.080.5+6.680%-
Last 30 at home (20)44.136.880.9+7.380%-
Last 30 away (10)42.437.379.7+5.180%-
Last 10 (10)45.836.882.6+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.279.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.742.786.3+1.067%-
vs Similar (7)43.143.686.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.633.877.4+9.995%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.1
51.2%
50.6%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.4
36.6%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.413.2
75.9%
71.4%13.2
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 100.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.019.7
67.8%
50.6%39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.714.0
37.2%
32.5%42.0
🏀 Free throws24.319.3
79.5%
71.4%19.3
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 57% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 25 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bulgaria
LWWWLWWWLL
Germany
WWWWWWWWLW
#13
League position
#8
+6.2
Net rating
+29.8
110.1
Offensive rating
125.2
103.9
Defensive rating
95.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
61.0%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
18.9%
Turnover %
12.9%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
37.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.6%
3-point %
37.2%
66.2%
Assist %
70.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 125.2Defence103.9 · 95.3Shooting52.9% · 61.0%3-point %36.6% · 37.2%Ball care18.9% · 12.9%Off. rebounds33.4% · 37.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Bulgaria   ■ Germany
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bulgaria wins
0
Germany wins
No previous meetings.
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24ASweden70-84
02/08/23AAustria85-71
29/07/23HNorway91-69
22/07/23HAustria83-71
19/07/23ANorway80-86
26/02/23HPortugal90-82
23/02/23ARomania62-61
13/11/22ACyprus75-66
10/11/22APortugal78-88
07/09/22HBelgium80-89
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/24HMontenegro85-61
10/09/23HSerbia83-77
06/09/23HLatvia81-79
03/09/23HSlovenia100-71
01/09/23HGeorgia100-73
29/08/23HFinland101-75
27/08/23AAustralia85-82
25/08/23HJapan81-63
13/08/23ACanada112-113 OT
12/08/23HChina107-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game80.587.275.0
Allowed / game73.269.876.0
Point differential+7.4+17.4-1.0
Avg total153.7157.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game85.085.0-
Allowed / game61.061.0-
Point differential+24.0+24.0-
Avg total146.0146.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina110100%99.066.0+33.0
2 Germany110100%85.061.0+24.0
3 Lithuania110100%83.064.0+19.0
4 Serbia110100%77.061.0+16.0
5 Belgium110100%75.060.0+15.0
6 Slovenia110100%87.073.0+14.0
7 Sweden110100%84.070.0+14.0
8 France110100%73.061.0+12.0
9 Greece110100%72.064.0+8.0
10 Italy110100%87.080.0+7.0
11 Estonia110100%74.069.0+5.0
12 Great Britain110100%98.094.0+4.0
13 Latvia110100%79.075.0+4.0
14 Israel110100%72.070.0+2.0
15 Croatia119282%83.467.1+16.3
16 Bulgaria118373%80.573.2+7.4
17 Slovakia118373%75.169.2+5.9
18 Portugal75271%83.470.9+12.6
19 Poland75271%79.670.7+8.9
20 North Macedonia75271%72.164.1+8.0
21 Denmark159660%76.771.1+5.7
22 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
23 Iceland21150%72.570.5+2.0
24 Turkey21150%78.081.0-3.0
25 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
26 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
27 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
28 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
29 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
30 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
31 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
32 Cyprus131128%63.580.0-16.5
33 Netherlands1010%94.098.0-4.0
34 Spain1010%75.079.0-4.0
35 Hungary1010%65.070.0-5.0
36 Georgia1010%69.075.0-6.0
37 Czech Republic1010%64.072.0-8.0
38 Ukraine1010%73.087.0-14.0
39 Finland1010%61.077.0-16.0
40 Montenegro1010%61.085.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bulgaria721112867
Germany198181762
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.