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Bursaspor vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 86-84
20-16 24-24 21-24 21-20
Position#12
Record5-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#15
Record3-11
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game89.6
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 15· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bursaspor v Karsiyaka
01 Nov 2026
BUR83
KAR86
10 Jan 2026
BUR86
KAR84
30 Nov 2024
BUR70
KAR76
01 Mar 2024
BUR68
KAR102
30 May 2023
BUR76
KAR92
30 Apr 2023
BUR106
KAR99
13 Apr 2022
BUR84
KAR77
06 Dec 2020
BUR81
KAR94
13 Oct 2019
BUR77
KAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
70-84
70
84
-14
56avg 75
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 75
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
77-109
77
109
-32
72avg 75
A19/11
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 75
A23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
93avg 75
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
74-101
74
101
-27
54avg 75
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
L
83-92
83
92
-9
76avg 75
H17/12
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
W
99-88
99
88
+11
97avg 75
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
88-91
88
91
-3
82avg 75
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
77-105
77
105
-28
71avg 75
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-23
13-26
16-15
22-18
17-17
22-19
15-20
20-34
20-30
26-22
11-23
21-23
24-18
19-26
20-25
29-23
23-26
14-13
11-15
21-28
15-26
17-25
21-22
27-32
26-21
14-22
16-17
20-22
24-23
23-20
32-23
17-19
15-22
27-22
29-28
13-31
27-32
17-21
20-21
174.2Avg total
81.9Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.485.9165.3-6.636%
Season at home (7)82.184.7166.9-2.657%
Season away (7)76.687.1163.7-10.614%
Last 10 (10)81.992.3174.2-10.430%
Last 5 (5)84.295.4179.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.690.2165.8-14.515%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.781.3163.9+1.447%
vs Weaker (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#7
L
83-103
83
103
-20
83avg 72
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
69-85
69
85
-16
55avg 72
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
59-111
59
111
-52
50avg 72
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
65avg 72
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
87-92
87
92
-5
84avg 72
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
66avg 72
H07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 72
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
71-74
71
74
-3
65avg 72
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
94-97
94
97
-3
101avg 72
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
106avg 72
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
22-25
17-28
23-24
18-27
23-19
11-22
17-17
16-35
22-25
12-25
9-26
20-21
16-24
14-15
19-20
17-22
23-19
17-22
30-29
15-18
19-26
21-21
18-21
27-20
24-24
19-20
17-19
21-21
19-19
16-23
15-11
23-20
18-26
20-24
33-27
28-37
21-13
15-18
28-24
171.1Avg total
79.9Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.189.6168.7-10.421%
Season at home (7)78.985.1164.0-6.329%
Season away (7)79.494.0173.4-14.614%
Last 10 (10)79.991.2171.1-11.320%
Last 5 (5)86.488.2174.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.191.5168.6-14.47%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.987.0166.9-7.136%
vs Weaker (1)75.078.0153.0-3.00%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.9-0.9
BursasporKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#23
L
40-64
40
64
-24
A19/11
Champions League
Fenerbahce
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A23/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H06/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A13/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Hapoel Holon
#36
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H17/12
Champions League
Mersin SK
#13
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
40-63
40
63
-23
H03/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
91.0Avg total
42.2Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.681.4-1.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.240.882.0+0.433%-
Last 30 away (15)38.542.480.9-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)42.248.891.0-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.051.292.2-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.045.884.8-6.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.238.979.1+1.333%-
vs Weaker (1)43.035.078.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galatasaray
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A26/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H02/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
38-60
38
60
-22
A08/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H15/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A21/11
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H07/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H20/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A28/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.0Avg total
41.3Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.385.5-5.227%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.684.5-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)39.547.186.5-7.613%-
Last 10 (10)41.346.788.0-5.410%-
Last 5 (5)43.044.887.8-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.847.186.9-7.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.144.284.4-4.136%-
vs Weaker (1)37.038.075.0-1.00%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.3
52.6%
54.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.1
35.3%
35.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.714.8
79.1%
76.0%14.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.8
50.5%
54.0%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.5
38.1%
35.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.615.8
80.6%
76.0%15.8
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LLWLLWLLWL
Karsiyaka
WLLWLLLLLL
#12
League position
#15
-14.2
Net rating
-15.2
106.7
Offensive rating
106.3
120.9
Defensive rating
121.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.0%
58.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.6%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.3%
3-point %
38.1%
70.8%
Assist %
68.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 106.3Defence120.9 · 121.5Shooting52.7% · 53.0%3-point %35.3% · 38.1%Ball care19.4% · 19.6%Off. rebounds28.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Karsiyaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bursaspor wins
8
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Karsiyaka v Bursaspor82-78
30/11/24Bursaspor v Karsiyaka70-76
01/03/24Bursaspor v Karsiyaka68-102
05/11/23Karsiyaka v Bursaspor95-75
30/05/23Bursaspor v Karsiyaka76-92
26/05/23Karsiyaka v Bursaspor91-83 OT
30/04/23Bursaspor v Karsiyaka106-99
24/12/22Karsiyaka v Bursaspor81-80
13/04/22Bursaspor v Karsiyaka84-77
16/10/21Karsiyaka v Bursaspor76-62
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HEsenler Erokspor77-105
28/12/25ABuyukcekmece88-91
21/12/25HMersin SK99-88
17/12/25HHapoel Holon83-92
13/12/25ATurk Telekom74-101
06/12/25HGalatasaray91-87 OT
23/11/25AFenerbahce84-92
19/11/25ACholet77-109
15/11/25HPetkim Spor76-74
08/11/25ATofas70-84
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26HTofas107-101 OT
28/12/25AEsenler Erokspor94-97
20/12/25HBahcesehir Kol.71-74
15/12/25ABuyukcekmece87-83
07/12/25HBesiktas73-86
21/11/25AMersin SK87-92
15/11/25HManisa69-80
08/11/25ATurk Telekom59-111
02/11/25HTrabzonspor69-85
26/10/25AGalatasaray83-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL36%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game79.482.176.6
Allowed / game85.984.787.1
Point differential-6.6-2.6-10.6
Avg total165.3166.9163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW21%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game79.178.979.4
Allowed / game89.685.194.0
Point differential-10.4-6.3-14.6
Avg total168.7164.0173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Besiktas1513287%85.878.3+7.5
2 Fenerbahce1412286%90.182.0+8.1
3 Bahcesehir Kol.1411379%84.378.5+5.8
4 Turk Telekom1510567%86.578.7+7.7
5 Trabzonspor149564%87.382.6+4.6
6 Esenler Erokspor159660%83.178.0+5.1
7 Anadolu Efes148657%87.480.6+6.8
8 Galatasaray158753%86.585.2+1.3
9 Tofas147750%83.680.9+2.7
10 Bursaspor145936%79.485.9-6.6
11 Petkim Spor145936%80.287.4-7.1
12 Merkezefendi1551033%79.785.7-6.0
13 Mersin SK1441029%84.487.4-3.1
14 Manisa1541127%77.384.9-7.6
15 Karsiyaka1431121%79.189.6-10.4
16 Buyukcekmece1421214%80.890.4-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor2024212186
Karsiyaka1624242084
← all games of the day
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