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Karsiyaka vs Bursaspor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 82-78
26-19 10-18 23-17 23-24
Position#13
Record8-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game87.7
vs
Position#9
Record10-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game89.5
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 23· Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Karsiyaka v Bursaspor
05 Mar 2027
KAR v BUR
upcoming
10 May 2026
KAR84
BUR82
29 Mar 2025
KAR82
BUR78
05 Nov 2023
KAR95
BUR75
26 May 2023
KAR91
BUR83
24 Dec 2022
KAR81
BUR80
16 Oct 2021
KAR76
BUR62
27 Mar 2021
KAR84
BUR85
01 Feb 2020
KAR76
BUR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKarsiyaka
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#31
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 81
A15/01
Champions League
Tofas
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
79avg 81
H19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
61avg 81
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
71-95
71
95
-24
69avg 81
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
L
87-94 OT
87
94
-7
84avg 81
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
77avg 81
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#3
L
79-93
79
93
-14
68avg 81
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
80-101
80
101
-21
77avg 81
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 81
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 81
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-25
14-23
19-13
8-23
17-24
27-16
17-25
20-28
13-18
15-24
13-18
24-20
20-25
15-24
23-19
13-27
23-15
19-14
24-25
14-26
16-22
33-22
15-27
24-26
27-19
18-24
18-26
16-24
15-20
26-29
17-21
22-31
17-39
28-18
22-14
16-23
16-24
21-14
21-19
17-21
168.6Avg total
77.7Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.687.7173.4-2.136%
Season at home (11)92.088.1180.1+3.955%
Season away (11)79.387.4166.6-8.118%
Last 10 (10)77.790.9168.6-13.20%
Last 5 (5)81.092.6173.6-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)80.490.2170.6-9.90%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.087.2175.2+0.854%
vs Weaker (8)83.475.4158.8+8.062%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#6
L
85-97
85
97
-12
78avg 80
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
81-85
81
85
-4
75avg 80
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
L
85-111
85
111
-26
74avg 80
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 80
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 80
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
97-98 OT
97
98
-1
90avg 80
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
90avg 80
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
98-93
98
93
+5
93avg 80
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
67-92
67
92
-25
51avg 80
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
98-90
98
90
+8
97avg 80
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
20-29
20-22
28-21
15-28
27-17
19-20
20-20
30-25
10-30
26-24
19-32
23-25
27-21
14-28
16-22
16-21
23-20
17-22
12-20
22-25
22-18
18-16
26-29
28-21
21-18
21-19
23-18
20-28
29-20
23-26
26-19
12-19
20-26
15-22
20-25
27-22
26-19
22-17
23-32
177.3Avg total
85.2Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.189.5174.6-4.545%
Season at home (12)88.694.0182.6-5.442%
Season away (10)80.984.2165.1-3.350%
Last 10 (10)85.292.1177.3-6.930%
Last 5 (5)90.689.8180.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)86.793.3180.0-6.536%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.688.5174.1-2.944%
vs Weaker (3)90.379.3169.7+11.0100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -7.5-7.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -7.5-7.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
KarsiyakaBursaspor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#31
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A15/01
Champions League
Tofas
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H19/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#6
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#3
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H11/02
Turkish Cup
Besiktas
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H28/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yalovaspor
#16
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.6Avg total
40.7Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.686.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.243.091.2+5.273%-
Last 30 away (15)39.842.282.0-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.743.984.6-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.289.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.144.986.0-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.742.887.5+1.962%-
vs Weaker (8)45.139.985.0+5.250%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#6
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H04/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#11
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#12
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H25/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A02/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#7
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H23/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
89.2Avg total
43.5Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.384.9-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.444.787.1-2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)40.741.882.5-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.545.789.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.443.288.6+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.446.487.7-5.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.242.383.5-1.150%-
vs Weaker (3)44.737.782.3+7.0100%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.0
57.1%
54.1%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.3
33.1%
35.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
76.0%12.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.6 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.6
55.0%
54.1%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
35.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws16.111.3
70.2%
76.0%11.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
LLLLLLLLLL
Bursaspor
WLWWLLLLLL
#13
League position
#9
+1.5
Net rating
+4.6
110.7
Offensive rating
114.5
109.1
Defensive rating
109.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.1%
3-point %
34.4%
52.2%
Assist %
55.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 114.5Defence109.1 · 109.9Shooting54.0% · 53.8%3-point %33.1% · 34.4%Ball care16.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.0% · 34.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)0% · 30%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Bursaspor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Karsiyaka wins
3
Bursaspor wins
DateGameScore
30/11/24Bursaspor v Karsiyaka70-76
01/03/24Bursaspor v Karsiyaka68-102
05/11/23Karsiyaka v Bursaspor95-75
30/05/23Bursaspor v Karsiyaka76-92
26/05/23Karsiyaka v Bursaspor91-83 OT
30/04/23Bursaspor v Karsiyaka106-99
24/12/22Karsiyaka v Bursaspor81-80
13/04/22Bursaspor v Karsiyaka84-77
16/10/21Karsiyaka v Bursaspor76-62
27/03/21Karsiyaka v Bursaspor84-85
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25AYalovaspor75-78
15/03/25HBuyukcekmece83-94
08/03/25AGalatasaray80-101
28/02/25HBesiktas79-93
11/02/25HGalatasaray88-97
07/02/25AMersin SK87-94 OT
02/02/25AMerkezefendi71-95
25/01/25HBahcesehir Kol.65-80
19/01/25HTofas81-93
15/01/25APromitheas68-84
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/25HMerkezefendi98-90
16/03/25ABahcesehir Kol.67-92
08/03/25HTofas98-93
01/03/25ATurk Telekom93-76
08/02/25HFenerbahce97-98 OT
02/02/25AAnadolu Efes68-83
25/01/25HManisa80-96
18/01/25HPetkim Spor85-111
13/01/25ADarussafaka81-85
04/01/25HMersin SK85-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeLLLLL55%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %36%55%18%
Points / game85.692.079.3
Allowed / game87.788.187.4
Point differential-2.1+3.9-8.1
Avg total173.4180.1166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW45%
HomeLLLWW42%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %45%42%50%
Points / game85.188.680.9
Allowed / game89.594.084.2
Point differential-4.5-5.4-3.3
Avg total174.6182.6165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2221195%89.780.0+9.8
2 Besiktas2318578%90.382.0+8.2
3 Anadolu Efes2216673%89.879.2+10.5
4 Tofas2216673%89.585.4+4.1
5 Bahcesehir Kol.2213959%82.679.7+2.9
6 Galatasaray22121055%87.184.4+2.7
7 Mersin SK22121055%84.186.4-2.2
8 Turk Telekom22101245%83.083.9-0.9
9 Bursaspor22101245%85.189.5-4.5
10 Buyukcekmece2291341%85.385.5-0.3
11 Petkim Spor2281436%82.383.9-1.6
12 Karsiyaka2281436%85.687.7-2.1
13 Darussafaka2371630%81.988.0-6.0
14 Merkezefendi2371630%81.588.3-6.9
15 Manisa2261627%85.089.0-4.0
16 Yalovaspor2351822%80.189.2-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karsiyaka2610232382
Bursaspor1918172478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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