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Bydgoszcz vs Czarni Slupsk Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Projected 84-82
Projected total 165.4
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game88.0
Vs
58%
42%
■ BYDG 58%■ CSL 42%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#15
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game87.5
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 8· Sisu Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bydgoszcz v Czarni Slupsk
20 Nov 2026
BYDG v CSL
upcoming
22 Dec 2022
BYDG59
CSL86
02 Oct 2021
BYDG86
CSL82
09 Feb 2019
BYDG86
CSL59
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Bydgoszcz will host Czarni Slupsk on 20 November 2026 in the Energa Basket Liga, with the former already on a 4-3 run while the latter struggles at 0-6, a stark contrast that sets the tone for the matchup. Bydgoszcz's seven games this season have yielded a 4-3 record, 86.1 points per game and 88.0 allowed, placing them seventh, while at home they are 3-1, averaging 85.0 points and conceding 79.8. Their last five games include victories over Gornik Walbrzych, Lublin and Trefl Sopot, with the most recent win coming 91-87 on 15 November. Czarni Slupsk, meanwhile, have not won in six contests, scoring 81.0 per game and allowing 87.5, and they are 0-3 on the road, averaging 84.7 points and 91.7 allowed. Their last five have all been losses, most recently 95-105 to Szczecin. The teams have split six meetings, with the last encounter on 23 April 2023 ending 82-78 in favour of Czarni. Pythia rates Bydgoszcz as the favourite with a 58% chance of victory versus 42% for Czarni, projecting a 84-82 score and 165.4 total points, and a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bydgoszcz win
58.0%fair 1.72
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Czarni Slupsk win
42.0%fair 2.38
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 82
A23/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
57avg 82
A24/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
96-87
96
87
+9
84avg 82
H27/05
1 Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
105-95
105
95
+10
103avg 82
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
67avg 82
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
96-110
96
110
-14
92avg 82
A16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
77-100
77
100
-23
57avg 82
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
82avg 82
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
70-62
70
62
+8
no box
H06/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
16-22
26-23
19-16
20-15
18-26
13-21
18-26
20-20
18-21
30-19
28-27
29-21
30-22
27-35
19-17
22-20
13-26
27-15
12-14
18-22
29-38
22-30
27-20
28-24
15-28
13-29
21-19
21-28
15-15
21-14
19-19
22-17
11-13
18-16
19-16
26-24
28-20
22-20
15-23
171.4Avg total
84.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.188.0174.1-1.957%
Season at home (4)85.079.8164.8+5.275%
Season away (3)87.799.0186.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)84.986.5171.4-1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.889.2174.0-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.0100.0177.0-23.00%
vs Similar (10)84.283.8168.0+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.177.9164.0+8.179%
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czarni SlupskPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSlupsk
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
86-106
86
106
-20
76avg 71
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
59avg 71
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
107-90
107
90
+17
102avg 71
A30/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
80-89
80
89
-9
74avg 71
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#12
L
76-79
76
79
-3
56avg 71
H02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
66avg 71
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
84-87
84
87
-3
65avg 71
H19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
65avg 71
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
61avg 71
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
no box
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-37
36-21
12-24
20-24
18-10
12-32
22-18
20-16
26-24
31-29
23-18
27-19
12-29
21-24
19-14
28-22
19-23
12-18
22-17
23-21
15-16
17-24
19-22
27-17
20-25
17-24
24-19
23-19
30-27
11-16
20-24
20-24
16-21
23-24
21-22
12-17
28-18
18-20
26-38
23-29
171.7Avg total
83.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.087.5168.5-6.50%
Season at home (3)77.383.3160.7-6.00%
Season away (3)84.791.7176.3-7.00%
Last 10 (10)83.188.6171.7-5.510%
Last 5 (5)82.089.2171.2-7.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.490.1167.4-12.76%
vs Similar (9)87.387.7175.0-0.322%
vs Weaker (3)85.379.7165.0+5.767%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5
Over 160.5
60.7%
Under 160.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
48.8%
Under 165.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
37.0%
Under 170.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Bydgoszcz total 80
Over 80
64.8%
Under 80
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bydgoszcz total 84
Over 84
49.1%
Under 84
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bydgoszcz total 88
Over 88
33.5%
Under 88
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Czarni Slupsk total 77.5
Over 77.5
64.8%
Under 77.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Czarni Slupsk total 81.5
Over 81.5
49.7%
Under 81.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Czarni Slupsk total 85.5
Over 85.5
34.8%
Under 85.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Bydgoszcz -3
BYDG -3
49.0%
CSL +3
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
BYDG
No market prices yet.
CSL
No market prices yet.
Spread Bydgoszcz 0
BYDG 0
58.0%
CSL 0
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
BYDG
No market prices yet.
CSL
No market prices yet.
Spread Bydgoszcz +3
BYDG +3
66.9%
CSL -3
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
BYDG
No market prices yet.
CSL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
BydgoszczCzarni Slupsk
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A23/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/05
1 Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
85.4Avg total
41.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.082.9-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.282.6+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.342.983.2-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.585.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.888.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.052.095.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.944.486.3-2.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.340.280.5+0.147%-
This opponent (Czarni Slupsk) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Czarni SlupskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A18/04
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H25/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#11
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A30/04
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#15
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H06/05
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#11
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
86.2Avg total
40.0Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.184.4-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.383.6-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)42.342.885.1-0.553%-
Last 10 (10)40.046.286.2-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.942.482.3-2.633%-
vs Similar (9)44.344.288.6+0.167%-
vs Weaker (3)40.743.384.0-2.767%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.8
51.3%
54.3%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.5
35.3%
32.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
71.3%16.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Czarni Slupsktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Czarni Slupsk: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.121.7
51.5%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.98.9
33.1%
32.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.212.1
66.5%
71.3%12.1
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bydgoszcz
WWWLLLWWLW
Czarni Slupsk
LLLLLLLWLL
#7
League position
#15
-2.9
Net rating
-5.5
93.4
Offensive rating
90.4
96.3
Defensive rating
95.9
52.1%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.3%
3-point %
33.1%
61.9%
Assist %
53.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 90.4Defence96.3 · 95.9Shooting52.1% · 50.8%3-point %35.3% · 33.1%Ball care16.7% · 14.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Bydgoszcz   ■ Czarni Slupsk
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bydgoszcz wins
3
Czarni Slupsk wins
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HGornik Walbrzych91-87
06/11/26HLublin70-62
31/10/26ATrefl Sopot90-87 OT
24/10/26ASlask Wroclaw77-100
16/10/26ATorun96-110
09/10/26HGTK Gliwice74-75
03/10/26HZielona Gora105-95
27/05/26HLKS Lodz96-87
24/05/26ALKS Lodz69-88
23/05/26ALKS Lodz81-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ASzczecin95-105
31/10/26HGdynia72-84
25/10/26ADziki Warszawa81-91
19/10/26HOstrow Wielkopolski84-87
11/10/26AAnwil Wloclawek78-79
02/10/26HLegia76-79
06/05/26HGTK Gliwice80-89
30/04/26AGornik Walbrzych107-90
25/04/26HTrefl Sopot72-76
18/04/26ADziki Warszawa86-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bydgoszcz
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game86.185.087.7
Allowed / game88.079.899.0
Point differential-1.9+5.2-11.3
Avg total174.1164.8186.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Czarni Slupsk
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game81.077.384.7
Allowed / game87.583.391.7
Point differential-6.5-6.0-7.0
Avg total168.5160.7176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza660100%91.782.8+8.8
2 Dziki Warszawa76186%88.972.3+16.6
3 Szczecin76186%88.480.1+8.3
4 Gdynia75271%83.174.6+8.6
5 Slask Wroclaw75271%85.783.3+2.4
6 Zielona Gora74357%84.484.6-0.1
7 Bydgoszcz74357%86.188.0-1.9
8 Torun73443%88.086.4+1.6
9 Gornik Walbrzych73443%85.084.4+0.6
10 GTK Gliwice73443%81.482.3-0.9
11 Anwil Wloclawek73443%77.381.9-4.6
12 Legia73443%76.981.4-4.6
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski72529%74.379.7-5.4
14 Lublin72529%74.981.9-7.0
15 Czarni Slupsk6060%81.087.5-6.5
16 Trefl Sopot7070%78.393.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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