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Bydgoszcz vs Lancut Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 May 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 91-89 (OT)
16-24 19-23 23-19 23-15 10-8
Position#2
Record30-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#3
Record26-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.3
Poland1 Liga1. Liga - Semi-finals· Sisu Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bydgoszcz v Lancut
03 Jan 2026
BYDG113
LANC81
07 May 2025
BYDG91
LANC89
27 Apr 2025
BYDG73
LANC75
26 Apr 2025
BYDG62
LANC76
11 Jan 2025
BYDG95
LANC71
18 Mar 2023
BYDG87
LANC78
08 May 2019
BYDG89
LANC66
28 Apr 2019
BYDG83
LANC87
27 Apr 2019
BYDG95
LANC70
23 Feb 2019
BYDG87
LANC96
16 Dec 2017
BYDG80
LANC75
12 Feb 2017
BYDG79
LANC112
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 79
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 79
H30/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
95-63
95
63
+32
93avg 79
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 79
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
114-78
114
78
+36
116avg 79
H13/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
107-95
107
95
+12
101avg 79
A16/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 79
H26/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
65avg 79
H27/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
76-61
76
61
+15
67avg 79
A03/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
99-63
99
63
+36
98avg 79
A04/05
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
17-22
20-21
21-24
31-21
17-20
16-15
12-14
27-14
24-17
26-16
18-16
30-17
28-17
22-22
18-21
31-29
27-19
31-13
25-17
21-31
30-19
24-21
32-24
17-18
14-28
19-12
12-18
28-7
17-20
12-28
16-20
16-17
20-15
20-17
20-12
20-20
33-18
19-13
27-12
163.5Avg total
88.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)85.076.6161.7+8.473%
Season at home (21)85.877.6163.4+8.271%
Season away (20)84.275.6159.8+8.775%
Last 10 (10)88.674.9163.5+13.770%
Last 5 (5)83.474.0157.4+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.772.3146.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.476.8164.2+10.674%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
91-86
91
86
+5
93avg 78
H05/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 78
H12/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
78-63
78
63
+15
77avg 78
H13/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
63-90
63
90
-27
51avg 78
A16/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 78
A17/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
78avg 78
H23/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 78
A26/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 78
A27/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
54avg 78
H03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
63-99
63
99
-36
55avg 78
H04/05
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
16-18
28-13
26-30
22-25
17-22
23-12
20-24
23-15
12-23
19-10
24-15
20-22
15-25
12-19
16-24
23-20
37-14
8-20
14-19
19-9
22-28
23-16
15-25
18-17
28-14
12-19
18-12
7-28
20-17
28-12
20-16
17-16
15-20
17-20
12-20
20-20
18-33
13-19
12-27
153.3Avg total
75.0Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)83.080.3163.3+2.760%
Season at home (22)80.976.8157.6+4.159%
Season away (21)85.184.0169.1+1.162%
Last 10 (10)75.078.3153.3-3.360%
Last 5 (5)70.877.6148.4-6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)66.380.3146.7-14.033%
vs Similar (16)86.881.1167.9+5.662%
vs Weaker (8)89.174.5163.6+14.688%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
BydgoszczLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A16/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H26/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H27/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A03/05
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A04/05
1 Liga
86.9Avg total
47.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.185.0+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.241.287.4+5.176%-
Last 30 away (13)43.238.781.9+4.562%-
Last 10 (10)47.639.386.9+8.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.681.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)39.038.777.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.640.385.9+5.374%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H12/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A16/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
60-34
60
34
+26
A17/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H23/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A26/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A27/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/05
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H04/05
1 Liga
80.1Avg total
39.0Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.682.8+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.279.8+1.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.942.286.1+1.757%-
Last 10 (10)39.041.180.1-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.477.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.542.777.2-8.217%-
vs Similar (16)44.642.386.9+2.250%-
vs Weaker (8)43.135.678.8+7.575%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.6
55.8%
51.0%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.2
37.6%
32.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws20.813.0
62.5%
70.2%13.0
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.414.9
47.5%
51.0%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.1
30.8%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.918.0
75.3%
70.2%18.0
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bydgoszcz
WWLLWWWWWL
Lancut
LLWWWWLWLW
#2
League position
#3
+18.0
Net rating
-3.2
117.9
Offensive rating
100.5
99.9
Defensive rating
103.7
56.1%
Effective FG%
46.9%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
12.5%
Turnover %
18.4%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
37.6%
3-point %
30.8%
70.1%
Assist %
72.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 100.5Defence99.9 · 103.7Shooting56.1% · 46.9%3-point %37.6% · 30.8%Ball care12.5% · 18.4%Off. rebounds29.0% · 27.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bydgoszcz   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bydgoszcz wins
4
Lancut wins
DateGameScore
04/05/25Lancut v Bydgoszcz63-99
03/05/25Lancut v Bydgoszcz61-76
27/04/25Bydgoszcz v Lancut73-75
26/04/25Bydgoszcz v Lancut62-76
11/01/25Bydgoszcz v Lancut95-71
01/10/24Lancut v Bydgoszcz86-58
18/03/23Bydgoszcz v Lancut87-78
19/11/22Lancut v Bydgoszcz84-72
08/05/19Bydgoszcz v Lancut89-66
05/05/19Lancut v Bydgoszcz68-74
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25ALancut99-63
03/05/25ALancut76-61
27/04/25HLancut73-75
26/04/25HLancut62-76
16/04/25APelplin107-95
13/04/25HPelplin114-78
12/04/25HPelplin98-77
05/04/25HStarogard Gdanski95-63
30/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II76-70
22/03/25AMKKS Koszalin86-91
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25HBydgoszcz63-99
03/05/25HBydgoszcz61-76
27/04/25ABydgoszcz75-73
26/04/25ABydgoszcz76-62
23/04/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg79-78
17/04/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg82-73
16/04/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg63-90
13/04/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg78-63
12/04/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg82-83
05/04/25HR. Rzeszow91-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW73%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %73%71%75%
Points / game85.085.884.2
Allowed / game76.677.675.6
Point differential+8.4+8.2+8.7
Avg total161.7163.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+49%43%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lancut
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLWWLL59%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %60%59%62%
Points / game83.080.985.1
Allowed / game80.376.884.0
Point differential+2.7+4.1+1.1
Avg total163.3157.6169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%32%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (14)62% (8)100% (6)
Overtime %7%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno4032880%85.777.9+7.8
2 Bydgoszcz41301173%85.076.6+8.4
3 Lancut43261760%83.080.3+2.7
4 WKK Wroclaw42231955%82.081.8+0.2
5 Kotwica Kolobrzeg39211854%81.076.0+5.0
6 GKS Tychy39211854%81.678.4+3.2
7 Pelplin37191851%83.384.1-0.8
8 LKS Lodz34171750%85.385.5-0.2
9 Inowroclaw37181949%78.280.8-2.6
10 Starogard Gdanski34161847%81.581.2+0.3
11 Polonia Warszawa34161847%81.180.8+0.2
12 Poznan34161847%82.782.6+0.0
13 Poli. Opolska34142041%82.184.3-2.2
14 Slask Wroclaw II34142041%76.379.6-3.3
15 MKKS Koszalin34142041%81.184.6-3.6
16 R. Rzeszow34142041%79.286.2-7.0
17 HydroTruck Radom34102429%76.782.4-5.7
18 Trefl Sopot II3482624%82.689.8-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Bydgoszcz161923231091
Lancut24231915889
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