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Pelplin vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-107
31-21 19-30 21-24 24-32
Position#7
Record19-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#2
Record27-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game77.0
Poland1 Liga1. Liga - Quarter-finals· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pelplin v Bydgoszcz
15 Nov 2025
PELP68
BYDG85
16 Apr 2025
PELP95
BYDG107
15 Feb 2025
PELP77
BYDG92
20 Jan 2024
PELP48
BYDG67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#5
W
92-91
92
91
+1
91avg 77
A26/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
69-71
69
71
-2
62avg 77
A02/03
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
W
80-70
80
70
+10
78avg 77
A08/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
84-69
84
69
+15
82avg 77
H12/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
88-75
88
75
+13
78avg 77
A15/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
101-72
101
72
+29
104avg 77
H23/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
87-88
87
88
-1
73avg 77
H30/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
87-102
87
102
-15
78avg 77
A05/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
71avg 77
A12/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
78-114
78
114
-36
73avg 77
A13/04
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
32-29
17-25
14-22
13-16
14-22
14-13
28-20
23-24
13-19
23-13
21-14
30-18
14-17
21-20
19-14
24-15
15-18
25-17
24-25
29-14
22-12
26-18
24-28
18-27
24-28
24-21
21-12
21-32
25-28
17-19
24-23
17-30
17-28
22-22
21-18
29-31
19-27
13-31
17-25
169.3Avg total
84.3Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)83.083.5166.4-0.553%
Season at home (17)85.480.6165.9+4.865%
Season away (19)80.886.1166.9-5.242%
Last 10 (10)84.385.0169.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)86.094.8180.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.492.4171.9-13.022%
vs Similar (16)87.183.9171.0+3.156%
vs Weaker (5)81.273.4154.6+7.880%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
89-71
89
71
+18
86avg 79
H26/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
85-70
85
70
+15
78avg 79
A05/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
93-80
93
80
+13
99avg 79
H09/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
86avg 79
A12/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 79
H16/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 79
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 79
H30/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
95-63
95
63
+32
93avg 79
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 79
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
114-78
114
78
+36
116avg 79
H13/04
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
21-23
31-14
11-15
15-12
28-11
22-20
20-27
25-16
25-29
24-12
19-23
17-21
24-14
25-14
18-22
11-19
22-20
22-17
18-15
28-24
17-22
20-21
21-24
31-21
17-20
16-15
12-14
27-14
24-17
26-16
18-16
30-17
28-17
22-22
18-21
31-29
27-19
31-13
25-17
163.5Avg total
89.3Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)85.377.0162.3+8.375%
Season at home (19)87.777.8165.6+9.979%
Season away (17)82.576.1158.6+6.571%
Last 10 (10)89.374.2163.5+15.190%
Last 5 (5)93.875.8169.6+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.772.3146.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.777.4165.1+10.381%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +7.5+7.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
PelplinBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#5
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A26/02
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A02/03
1 Liga
Trefl Sopot II
#18
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A08/03
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/03
1 Liga
Poznan
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A15/03
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#8
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H23/03
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H30/03
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A05/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
34-58
34
58
-24
A12/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A13/04
1 Liga
87.8Avg total
42.8Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.343.685.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.942.386.1+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)40.944.785.6-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.251.495.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.846.889.6-4.044%-
vs Similar (16)42.643.486.0-0.844%-
vs Weaker (5)40.438.478.8+2.040%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H26/02
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#6
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A05/03
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#17
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/03
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H16/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/04
1 Liga
85.8Avg total
47.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.940.185.1+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.842.188.8+4.776%-
Last 30 away (13)42.537.680.2+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)47.438.485.8+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)52.040.092.0+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)39.038.777.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.640.385.9+5.374%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.6
53.2%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.8
34.8%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws25.116.7
66.5%
70.2%16.7
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.121.0
58.2%
51.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.5
40.2%
32.5%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.912.4
59.3%
70.2%12.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
LLLLWWWWLW
Bydgoszcz
WWWWLWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
-2.0
Net rating
+20.7
104.9
Offensive rating
118.0
106.9
Defensive rating
97.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
59.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.2%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.8%
3-point %
40.2%
67.3%
Assist %
74.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 118.0Defence106.9 · 97.3Shooting52.9% · 59.1%3-point %34.8% · 40.2%Ball care18.6% · 14.2%Off. rebounds25.6% · 27.8%Free throws0.40 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Pelplin   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pelplin wins
6
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
13/04/25Bydgoszcz v Pelplin114-78
12/04/25Bydgoszcz v Pelplin98-77
15/02/25Pelplin v Bydgoszcz77-92
06/11/24Bydgoszcz v Pelplin92-84
20/01/24Pelplin v Bydgoszcz48-67
11/10/23Bydgoszcz v Pelplin95-90 OT
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25ABydgoszcz78-114
12/04/25ABydgoszcz77-98
05/04/25APoli. Opolska87-102
30/03/25HLancut87-88
23/03/25HLKS Lodz101-72
15/03/25APoznan88-75
12/03/25HKrosno84-69
08/03/25ATrefl Sopot II80-70
02/03/25APolonia Warszawa69-71
26/02/25AGKS Tychy92-91
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HPelplin114-78
12/04/25HPelplin98-77
05/04/25HStarogard Gdanski95-63
30/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II76-70
22/03/25AMKKS Koszalin86-91
16/03/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg73-71
12/03/25AInowroclaw84-71
09/03/25HHydroTruck Radom93-80
05/03/25AWKK Wroclaw85-70
26/02/25HPoli. Opolska89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeWLWWL65%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361719
Win %53%65%42%
Points / game83.085.480.8
Allowed / game83.580.686.1
Point differential-0.5+4.8-5.2
Avg total166.4165.9166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)60% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %75%79%71%
Points / game85.387.782.5
Allowed / game77.077.876.1
Point differential+8.3+9.9+6.5
Avg total162.3165.6158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%47%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno3729878%85.678.1+7.5
2 Bydgoszcz3627975%85.377.0+8.3
3 Lancut37221559%84.680.9+3.8
4 WKK Wroclaw36211558%82.581.2+1.3
5 Kotwica Kolobrzeg37211657%81.375.8+5.5
6 GKS Tychy36201656%81.578.1+3.4
7 Pelplin36191753%83.083.5-0.5
8 LKS Lodz34171750%85.385.5-0.2
9 Inowroclaw37181949%78.280.8-2.6
10 Starogard Gdanski34161847%81.581.2+0.3
11 Polonia Warszawa34161847%81.180.8+0.2
12 Poznan34161847%82.782.6+0.0
13 Poli. Opolska34142041%82.184.3-2.2
14 Slask Wroclaw II34142041%76.379.6-3.3
15 MKKS Koszalin34142041%81.184.6-3.6
16 R. Rzeszow34142041%79.286.2-7.0
17 HydroTruck Radom34102429%76.782.4-5.7
18 Trefl Sopot II3482624%82.689.8-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin3119212495
Bydgoszcz21302432107
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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