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Lancut vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 61-76
17-16 15-20 17-20 12-20
Position#3
Record26-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#2
Record28-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game77.4
Poland1 Liga1. Liga - Semi-finals· MOSiR Lancut
Other2024-25
Meetings · Lancut v Bydgoszcz
25 Mar 2026
LANC79
BYDG71
04 May 2025
LANC63
BYDG99
03 May 2025
LANC61
BYDG76
01 Oct 2024
LANC86
BYDG58
19 Nov 2022
LANC84
BYDG72
05 May 2019
LANC68
BYDG74
04 May 2019
LANC99
BYDG79
17 Nov 2018
LANC73
BYDG95
29 Mar 2018
LANC81
BYDG71
29 Oct 2016
LANC84
BYDG69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
93-59
93
59
+34
92avg 79
H22/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
88-87
88
87
+1
80avg 79
A30/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
W
91-86
91
86
+5
93avg 79
H05/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
75avg 79
H12/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
78-63
78
63
+15
77avg 79
H13/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
63-90
63
90
-27
51avg 79
A16/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
82-73
82
73
+9
76avg 79
A17/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
78avg 79
H23/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 79
A26/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 79
A27/04
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-13
21-15
19-15
21-16
27-18
28-24
21-24
12-21
21-25
16-18
28-13
26-30
22-25
17-22
23-12
20-24
23-15
12-23
19-10
24-15
20-22
15-25
12-19
16-24
23-20
37-14
8-20
14-19
19-9
22-28
23-16
15-25
18-17
28-14
12-19
18-12
7-28
20-17
28-12
20-16
156.1Avg total
80.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)84.080.0163.9+4.063%
Season at home (20)82.875.7158.4+7.065%
Season away (21)85.184.0169.1+1.162%
Last 10 (10)80.775.4156.1+5.380%
Last 5 (5)75.075.2150.2-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.576.8145.2-8.250%
vs Similar (17)86.780.8167.5+5.965%
vs Weaker (9)87.476.1163.6+11.378%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
86avg 79
A12/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 79
H16/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
86-91
86
91
-5
81avg 79
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
76-70
76
70
+6
67avg 79
H30/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
95-63
95
63
+32
93avg 79
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
101avg 79
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
114-78
114
78
+36
116avg 79
H13/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
107-95
107
95
+12
101avg 79
A16/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
62-76
62
76
-14
53avg 79
H26/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
73-75
73
75
-2
65avg 79
H27/04
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
24-14
25-14
18-22
11-19
22-20
22-17
18-15
28-24
17-22
20-21
21-24
31-21
17-20
16-15
12-14
27-14
24-17
26-16
18-16
30-17
28-17
22-22
18-21
31-29
27-19
31-13
25-17
21-31
30-19
24-21
32-24
17-18
14-28
19-12
12-18
28-7
17-20
12-28
16-20
163.5Avg total
86.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)84.977.4162.3+7.572%
Season at home (21)85.877.6163.4+8.271%
Season away (18)83.977.1161.0+6.872%
Last 10 (10)86.876.7163.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)90.880.2171.0+10.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)73.772.3146.0+1.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)87.278.0165.1+9.274%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -0.1-0.1
LancutBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H22/03
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A30/03
1 Liga
R. Rzeszow
#16
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H12/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H13/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A16/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
60-34
60
34
+26
A17/04
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H23/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A26/04
1 Liga
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A27/04
1 Liga
82.0Avg total
42.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.283.1+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.838.380.1+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)44.042.086.0+2.060%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.282.0+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.241.876.0-7.525%-
vs Similar (17)44.742.086.7+2.753%-
vs Weaker (9)43.336.079.3+7.378%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Inowroclaw
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A12/03
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H16/03
1 Liga
MKKS Koszalin
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A22/03
1 Liga
Slask Wroclaw II
#14
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H30/03
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#10
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H12/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
58-48
58
48
+10
H13/04
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A16/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H26/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#3
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H27/04
1 Liga
85.8Avg total
46.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.040.685.7+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)45.741.387.0+4.372%-
Last 30 away (12)44.139.683.7+4.558%-
Last 10 (10)46.139.785.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)48.641.089.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)39.038.777.7+0.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)45.740.986.6+4.970%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.616.1
50.9%
51.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.6
32.8%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws26.519.4
73.2%
70.2%19.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.1
53.5%
51.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.2
38.2%
32.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws22.914.4
62.9%
70.2%14.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lancut
WWWWLWLWWW
Bydgoszcz
LLWWWWWLWW
#3
League position
#2
+7.4
Net rating
+14.0
105.5
Offensive rating
115.7
98.2
Defensive rating
101.8
50.1%
Effective FG%
55.2%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.8%
3-point %
38.2%
68.5%
Assist %
75.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 115.7Defence98.2 · 101.8Shooting50.1% · 55.2%3-point %32.8% · 38.2%Ball care17.3% · 13.6%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.7%Free throws0.44 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Lancut   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lancut wins
4
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Bydgoszcz v Lancut73-75
26/04/25Bydgoszcz v Lancut62-76
11/01/25Bydgoszcz v Lancut95-71
01/10/24Lancut v Bydgoszcz86-58
18/03/23Bydgoszcz v Lancut87-78
19/11/22Lancut v Bydgoszcz84-72
08/05/19Bydgoszcz v Lancut89-66
05/05/19Lancut v Bydgoszcz68-74
04/05/19Lancut v Bydgoszcz99-79
28/04/19Bydgoszcz v Lancut83-87
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25ABydgoszcz75-73
26/04/25ABydgoszcz76-62
23/04/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg79-78
17/04/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg82-73
16/04/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg63-90
13/04/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg78-63
12/04/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg82-83
05/04/25HR. Rzeszow91-86
30/03/25APelplin88-87
22/03/25HStarogard Gdanski93-59
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HLancut73-75
26/04/25HLancut62-76
16/04/25APelplin107-95
13/04/25HPelplin114-78
12/04/25HPelplin98-77
05/04/25HStarogard Gdanski95-63
30/03/25HSlask Wroclaw II76-70
22/03/25AMKKS Koszalin86-91
16/03/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg73-71
12/03/25AInowroclaw84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lancut
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW63%
HomeWWLWW65%
AwayWLWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %63%65%62%
Points / game84.082.885.1
Allowed / game80.075.784.0
Point differential+4.0+7.0+1.1
Avg total163.9158.4169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won79% (14)62% (8)100% (6)
Overtime %7%5%10%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL72%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWWWLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392118
Win %72%71%72%
Points / game84.985.883.9
Allowed / game77.477.677.1
Point differential+7.5+8.2+6.8
Avg total162.3163.4161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%43%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Krosno3931879%85.877.9+7.9
2 Bydgoszcz39281172%84.977.4+7.5
3 Lancut41261563%84.080.0+4.0
4 WKK Wroclaw41231856%82.181.9+0.2
5 Kotwica Kolobrzeg39211854%81.076.0+5.0
6 GKS Tychy39211854%81.678.4+3.2
7 Pelplin37191851%83.384.1-0.8
8 LKS Lodz34171750%85.385.5-0.2
9 Inowroclaw37181949%78.280.8-2.6
10 Starogard Gdanski34161847%81.581.2+0.3
11 Polonia Warszawa34161847%81.180.8+0.2
12 Poznan34161847%82.782.6+0.0
13 Poli. Opolska34142041%82.184.3-2.2
14 Slask Wroclaw II34142041%76.379.6-3.3
15 MKKS Koszalin34142041%81.184.6-3.6
16 R. Rzeszow34142041%79.286.2-7.0
17 HydroTruck Radom34102429%76.782.4-5.7
18 Trefl Sopot II3482624%82.689.8-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lancut1715171261
Bydgoszcz1620202076
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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