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Pelplin vs Bydgoszcz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-85
20-14 15-19 14-31 19-21
Position#7
Record5-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game84.8
vs
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game77.2
Poland1 LigaRound 10· Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pelplin v Bydgoszcz
15 Nov 2025
PELP68
BYDG85
16 Apr 2025
PELP95
BYDG107
15 Feb 2025
PELP77
BYDG92
20 Jan 2024
PELP48
BYDG67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pelplin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bydgoszcz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PelplinPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPelplin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
95-107
95
107
-12
87avg 79
H16/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
82-59
82
59
+23
78avg 79
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
107-102
107
102
+5
103avg 79
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
81avg 79
A01/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
84-80
84
80
+4
38avg 79
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
89-105
89
105
-16
77avg 79
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
82avg 79
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
94-77
94
77
+17
86avg 79
H02/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
86-95
86
95
-9
72avg 79
A09/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
19-30
21-24
24-32
16-17
25-14
18-10
23-18
26-27
18-23
27-24
36-28
24-24
21-24
28-29
18-19
29-20
14-18
16-17
25-25
21-26
24-28
29-24
15-27
17-11
19-22
21-26
26-13
26-20
21-16
12-22
11-19
21-17
26-17
26-28
21-15
23-19
22-27
23-27
18-22
175.1Avg total
88.1Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.384.8172.1+2.656%
Season at home (4)92.082.8174.8+9.2100%
Season away (5)83.686.4170.0-2.820%
Last 10 (10)88.187.0175.1+1.150%
Last 5 (5)84.485.2169.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)81.593.0174.5-11.538%
vs Similar (16)86.485.0171.4+1.450%
vs Weaker (6)82.574.0156.5+8.567%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
Krosno
#1
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 82
H18/05
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
64avg 82
A24/05
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
W
83-66
83
66
+17
65avg 82
A19/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
89-78
89
78
+11
83avg 82
H28/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
110-65
110
65
+45
110avg 82
A01/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
W
83-75
83
75
+8
74avg 82
A05/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
88avg 82
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
83avg 82
A25/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
66avg 82
H02/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
84-81
84
81
+3
79avg 82
A08/11
1 Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
23-27
18-13
25-18
16-22
23-15
20-30
21-22
15-15
22-23
21-11
25-17
16-21
29-18
24-17
20-22
25-20
37-14
21-12
27-19
16-13
16-22
21-14
30-26
18-29
23-18
24-19
27-13
23-19
22-25
15-21
25-20
22-18
9-23
25-29
18-15
17-18
23-16
20-24
24-23
165.7Avg total
87.3Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.277.2165.5+11.088%
Season at home (3)85.080.7165.7+4.367%
Season away (5)90.275.2165.4+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.378.4165.7+8.980%
Last 5 (5)84.881.8166.6+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)80.681.0161.6-0.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.275.7164.9+13.687%
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +4.7+4.7
PelplinBydgoszcz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PelplinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bydgoszcz
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H16/04
1 Liga
Miners Katowice
#16
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A21/09
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H27/09
1 Liga
Starogard Gdanski
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H04/10
1 Liga
GKS Tychy
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/10
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H02/11
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A09/11
1 Liga
86.4Avg total
44.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.443.286.5+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.340.986.1+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.745.286.9-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.186.4+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.684.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)44.447.291.6-2.950%-
vs Similar (16)43.643.487.0+0.244%-
vs Weaker (6)41.337.278.5+4.250%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Krosno
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/05
1 Liga
Krosno
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A24/05
1 Liga
Leszno
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/09
1 Liga
Polonia Warszawa
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/09
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#14
W
62-34
62
34
+28
A01/10
1 Liga
WKK Wroclaw
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A05/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H18/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#8
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A25/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H02/11
1 Liga
Poli. Opolska
#13
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A08/11
1 Liga
81.1Avg total
41.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.284.0+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.985.0+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)43.639.583.1+4.160%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.581.1+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.278.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)39.643.182.7-3.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.239.384.4+5.970%-
This opponent (Pelplin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pelplintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pelplin: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.9
54.0%
52.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
31.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws25.617.8
69.5%
70.0%17.8
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.5
50.0%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.6
38.3%
31.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws25.117.7
70.5%
70.0%17.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pelplin
LWLWLWLWWL
Bydgoszcz
WLWWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#1
-2.4
Net rating
+11.9
113.6
Offensive rating
115.7
116.0
Defensive rating
103.8
53.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.8%
3-point %
38.3%
65.0%
Assist %
62.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 115.7Defence116.0 · 103.8Shooting53.9% · 53.2%3-point %35.8% · 38.3%Ball care16.0% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.8% · 32.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Pelplin   ■ Bydgoszcz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pelplin wins
7
Bydgoszcz wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Pelplin v Bydgoszcz95-107
13/04/25Bydgoszcz v Pelplin114-78
12/04/25Bydgoszcz v Pelplin98-77
15/02/25Pelplin v Bydgoszcz77-92
06/11/24Bydgoszcz v Pelplin92-84
20/01/24Pelplin v Bydgoszcz48-67
11/10/23Bydgoszcz v Pelplin95-90 OT
Pelplinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/25ALeszno86-95
02/11/25HPoli. Opolska94-77
25/10/25ALancut70-77
19/10/25HLKS Lodz83-72
11/10/25AGKS Tychy89-105
04/10/25HKotwica Kolobrzeg84-80
01/10/25AStarogard Gdanski91-96
27/09/25HSpojnia Stargard107-102
21/09/25AMiners Katowice82-59
16/04/25HBydgoszcz95-107
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25APoli. Opolska84-81
02/11/25HLKS Lodz74-85
25/10/25AKotwica Kolobrzeg91-89 OT
18/10/25HSpojnia Stargard92-79
05/10/25AWKK Wroclaw83-75
01/10/25AInowroclaw110-65
28/09/25HPolonia Warszawa89-78
19/09/25ALeszno83-66
24/05/25AKrosno80-89
18/05/25HKrosno87-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pelplin
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game87.392.083.6
Allowed / game84.882.886.4
Point differential+2.6+9.2-2.8
Avg total172.1174.8170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bydgoszcz
1 Liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%67%100%
Points / game88.285.090.2
Allowed / game77.280.775.2
Point differential+11.0+4.3+15.0
Avg total165.5165.7165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Starogard Gdanski98189%86.676.0+10.6
2 Bydgoszcz87188%88.277.2+11.0
3 LKS Lodz97278%84.074.9+9.1
4 GKS Tychy107370%88.383.0+5.3
5 Polonia Warszawa107370%85.584.4+1.1
6 Pelplin95456%87.384.8+2.6
7 Lancut95456%83.683.1+0.4
8 Kotwica Kolobrzeg84450%77.476.0+1.4
9 Spojnia Stargard84450%82.982.1+0.8
10 R. Rzeszow84450%79.580.0-0.5
11 WKK Wroclaw104640%76.680.6-4.0
12 Leszno104640%76.481.1-4.7
13 Poznan93633%78.377.0+1.3
14 Inowroclaw93633%76.885.4-8.7
15 Miners Katowice82625%78.185.0-6.9
16 Poli. Opolska81712%79.486.5-7.1
17 Zubry Bialystok8080%73.086.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pelplin2015141968
Bydgoszcz1419312185
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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