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Bydgoszcz vs Trefl Sopot Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.4/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game93.9
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 21· Sisu Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Bydgoszcz v Trefl Sopot
05 Mar 2027
BYDG v TSO
upcoming
03 Feb 2023
BYDG80
TSO91
13 Feb 2022
BYDG105
TSO90
17 Oct 2020
BYDG77
TSO82
04 Apr 2020
BYDG v TSO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bydgoszcz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trefl Sopot win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BydgoszczPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBydgoszcz
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 80
A23/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
57avg 80
A24/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
W
96-87
96
87
+9
84avg 80
H27/05
1 Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
105-95
105
95
+10
103avg 80
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
67avg 80
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
96-110
96
110
-14
92avg 80
A16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
77-100
77
100
-23
57avg 80
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
82avg 80
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
70-62
70
62
+8
no box
H06/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
16-22
26-23
19-16
20-15
18-26
13-21
18-26
20-20
18-21
30-19
28-27
29-21
30-22
27-35
19-17
22-20
13-26
27-15
12-14
18-22
29-38
22-30
27-20
28-24
15-28
13-29
21-19
21-28
15-15
21-14
19-19
22-17
11-13
18-16
19-16
26-24
28-20
22-20
15-23
171.4Avg total
84.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.188.0174.1-1.957%
Season at home (4)85.079.8164.8+5.275%
Season away (3)87.799.0186.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)84.986.5171.4-1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.889.2174.0-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)77.0100.0177.0-23.00%
vs Similar (10)84.283.8168.0+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.177.9164.0+8.179%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
77avg 78
H16/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
78-85
78
85
-7
62avg 78
A19/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
73-88
73
88
-15
61avg 78
A21/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
63-102
63
102
-39
51avg 78
H02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
L
82-96
82
96
-14
70avg 78
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
81-91
81
91
-10
83avg 78
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
80avg 78
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#7
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
77avg 78
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
76-106
76
106
-30
no box
A14/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
11-13
24-20
27-24
18-22
24-23
14-16
22-24
32-22
21-18
11-24
9-24
20-25
19-26
8-26
16-25
26-21
21-29
14-17
21-29
7-29
22-22
23-21
29-19
19-22
24-23
18-27
21-16
28-21
15-15
14-21
19-19
17-18
15-23
21-23
24-20
8-27
16-21
32-23
20-35
168.8Avg total
78.0Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.393.9172.1-15.60%
Season at home (3)77.094.3171.3-17.30%
Season away (4)79.293.5172.8-14.20%
Last 10 (10)78.090.8168.8-12.810%
Last 5 (5)80.691.8172.4-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)79.092.3171.3-13.310%
vs Similar (14)80.189.1169.1-9.029%
vs Weaker (6)93.584.2177.7+9.3100%
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.7-2.7
BydgoszczTrefl Sopot
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BydgoszczLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LKS Lodz
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A23/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/05
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H27/05
1 Liga
Zielona Gora
#6
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H03/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H09/10
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A16/10
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#5
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A24/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#16
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A31/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#14
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H06/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#9
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
85.4Avg total
41.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.082.9-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.282.6+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)40.342.983.2-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.585.4-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)42.645.888.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.052.095.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (10)41.944.486.3-2.530%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.340.280.5+0.147%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H16/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A19/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#6
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A21/05
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H02/10
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#4
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H17/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Bydgoszcz
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H31/10
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A14/11
Energa Basket Liga
82.3Avg total
38.2Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.184.2-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.944.584.4-4.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.443.784.1-3.320%-
Last 10 (10)38.244.182.3-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)34.244.278.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.544.683.1-6.130%-
vs Similar (14)39.044.483.4-5.414%-
vs Weaker (6)45.542.588.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Bydgoszcz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bydgoszcztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bydgoszcz: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.8
51.3%
54.3%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.5
35.3%
32.9%34.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
71.3%16.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.617.4
48.9%
54.3%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.0
30.7%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.117.2
77.8%
71.3%17.2
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bydgoszcz
WWWLLLWWLW
Trefl Sopot
LLLLLLLLLW
#7
League position
#16
-2.9
Net rating
-13.7
93.4
Offensive rating
87.7
96.3
Defensive rating
101.4
52.1%
Effective FG%
47.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
35.3%
3-point %
30.7%
61.9%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 87.7Defence96.3 · 101.4Shooting52.1% · 47.6%3-point %35.3% · 30.7%Ball care16.7% · 17.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Bydgoszcz   ■ Trefl Sopot
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bydgoszcz wins
5
Trefl Sopot wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Trefl Sopot v Bydgoszcz87-90 OT
03/02/23Bydgoszcz v Trefl Sopot80-91
15/10/22Trefl Sopot v Bydgoszcz90-71
13/02/22Bydgoszcz v Trefl Sopot105-90
24/10/21Trefl Sopot v Bydgoszcz81-86 OT
21/03/21Trefl Sopot v Bydgoszcz107-78
17/10/20Bydgoszcz v Trefl Sopot77-82
14/12/19Trefl Sopot v Bydgoszcz87-78
Bydgoszczlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HGornik Walbrzych91-87
06/11/26HLublin70-62
31/10/26ATrefl Sopot90-87 OT
24/10/26ASlask Wroclaw77-100
16/10/26ATorun96-110
09/10/26HGTK Gliwice74-75
03/10/26HZielona Gora105-95
27/05/26HLKS Lodz96-87
24/05/26ALKS Lodz69-88
23/05/26ALKS Lodz81-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATorun76-106
08/11/26AGTK Gliwice77-84
31/10/26HBydgoszcz87-90 OT
25/10/26ADabrowa Gornicza82-88
17/10/26HSzczecin81-91
11/10/26AGdynia82-96
02/10/26HDziki Warszawa63-102
21/05/26ADziki Warszawa73-88
19/05/26ADziki Warszawa78-85
16/05/26HDziki Warszawa81-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bydgoszcz
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game86.185.087.7
Allowed / game88.079.899.0
Point differential-1.9+5.2-11.3
Avg total174.1164.8186.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Trefl Sopot
Energa Basket Liga 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.377.079.2
Allowed / game93.994.393.5
Point differential-15.6-17.3-14.2
Avg total172.1171.3172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dabrowa Gornicza660100%91.782.8+8.8
2 Dziki Warszawa76186%88.972.3+16.6
3 Szczecin76186%88.480.1+8.3
4 Gdynia75271%83.174.6+8.6
5 Slask Wroclaw75271%85.783.3+2.4
6 Zielona Gora74357%84.484.6-0.1
7 Bydgoszcz74357%86.188.0-1.9
8 Torun73443%88.086.4+1.6
9 Gornik Walbrzych73443%85.084.4+0.6
10 GTK Gliwice73443%81.482.3-0.9
11 Anwil Wloclawek73443%77.381.9-4.6
12 Legia73443%76.981.4-4.6
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski72529%74.379.7-5.4
14 Lublin72529%74.981.9-7.0
15 Czarni Slupsk6060%81.087.5-6.5
16 Trefl Sopot7070%78.393.9-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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