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CA Queluz vs CAB Madeira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Projected 88-86
Projected total 173.5
Final 90-86
20-18 23-18 20-30 27-20
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game93.8
CA Queluz 🏆
Portugal
Vs
57%
43%
■ CA Q 57%■ CAB 43%
Pythia win probability
CAB Madeira
Portugal
Position#10
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game89.2
PortugalLPBRound 6· Pavilhão Henrique Miranda
Other2026-27
Meetings · CA Queluz v CAB Madeira
07 Nov 2026
CA Q90
CAB 86
04 Feb 2024
CA Q79
CAB 76
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

CA Queluz faces CAB Madeira on 7 November 2026 in the LPB, with the model favouring CA Queluz at 58% to 42% and projecting a close 88-86 finish for a total of 173.5 points and a 5% chance of overtime. CA Queluz, 2-2 overall with 89.0 points per game and 93.8 allowed, sits 7th in the league but has struggled at home, 0-2 with 82.5 points scored and 99.5 allowed; their last five games show three wins and two losses, including a 104-93 away win over Esgueira, a 72-89 home loss to Benfica, and a 87-83 away win over Portimonense. CAB Madeira, 1-4 overall with 86.2 points scored and 89.2 allowed, occupies 10th place and is 0-2 on the road, averaging 75.5 points and conceding 83.0; their last five games include one win and four losses, highlighted by a 109-113 home defeat to Oliveirense, a 82-93 away loss to FC Porto, and a 93-84 home win over Sporting CP.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CA Queluz winWon
57.2%fair 1.75
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CAB Madeira winLost
42.8%fair 2.34
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
110-114
110
114
-4
115avg 78
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 78
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 78
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 78
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
52avg 78
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 78
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 78
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 78
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 78
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 78
A31/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-36
27-26
32-29
18-23
19-27
26-30
16-22
33-20
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
23-24
26-29
34-13
21-27
180.1Avg total
89.9Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.093.8182.8-4.850%
Season at home (2)82.599.5182.0-17.00%
Season away (2)95.588.0183.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.990.2180.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)92.289.8182.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.993.8173.7-13.99%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.583.6166.1-1.150%
vs Weaker (7)93.785.0178.7+8.771%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadeira
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
80avg 77
A09/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-60
76
60
+16
77avg 77
H16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
81avg 77
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
52avg 77
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
66avg 77
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 77
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
54avg 77
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 77
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
76avg 77
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#6
L
109-113 OT
109
113
-4
102avg 77
H31/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
27-23
17-16
17-14
13-15
21-8
13-17
29-20
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
20-21
25-24
25-24
20-21
163.8Avg total
81.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.289.2175.4-3.020%
Season at home (3)93.393.3186.7+0.033%
Season away (2)75.583.0158.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)81.882.0163.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)86.289.2175.4-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.783.8164.4-3.133%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.075.2154.2+3.870%
vs Weaker (11)84.775.6160.4+9.182%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161Actual: Over 161
Over 161
77.3%
Under 161
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166Actual: Over 166
Over 166
66.9%
Under 166
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171Actual: Over 171
Over 171
55.0%
Under 171
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

CA Queluz total 80.5Actual: CA Queluz over 80.5
Over 80.5
75.7%
Under 80.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CA Queluz total 84.5Actual: CA Queluz over 84.5
Over 84.5
62.1%
Under 84.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CA Queluz total 88.5Actual: CA Queluz over 88.5
Over 88.5
46.8%
Under 88.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CAB Madeira total 77.5Actual: CAB Madeira over 77.5
Over 77.5
78.3%
Under 77.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CAB Madeira total 81.5Actual: CAB Madeira over 81.5
Over 81.5
65.3%
Under 81.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CAB Madeira total 85.5Actual: CAB Madeira over 85.5
Over 85.5
50.3%
Under 85.5
49.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CA Queluz -3Actual: CA Queluz -3
CA Q -3
48.2%
CAB +3
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
CA Q
No market prices yet.
CAB
No market prices yet.
Spread CA Queluz 0Actual: CA Queluz 0
CA Q 0
57.2%
CAB 0
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
CA Q
No market prices yet.
CAB
No market prices yet.
Spread CA Queluz +3Actual: CA Queluz +3
CA Q +3
66.1%
CAB -3
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
CA Q
No market prices yet.
CAB
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
CA QueluzCAB Madeira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A31/10
LPB
90.6Avg total
45.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.945.087.9-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.645.288.8-1.627%-
Last 30 away (15)42.244.987.1-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.190.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.491.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.947.988.8-7.027%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.243.285.4-1.125%-
vs Weaker (7)47.343.690.9+3.757%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A09/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#8
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H31/10
LPB
81.1Avg total
40.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.078.9+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.535.476.9+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.680.9-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.381.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.081.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.042.083.0-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.436.074.4+2.450%-
vs Weaker (11)43.236.579.7+6.682%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.2
52.7%
51.2%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
31.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
71.6%18.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.8
51.5%
51.2%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.4
36.1%
31.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
71.6%12.8
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CA Queluz
WLWLWLWWLL
CAB Madeira
LLWLLLLWWW
#7
League position
#10
+0.7
Net rating
+0.5
98.7
Offensive rating
92.5
98.0
Defensive rating
92.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.4%
3-point %
36.1%
63.5%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 92.5Defence98.0 · 92.1Shooting53.4% · 52.8%3-point %36.4% · 36.1%Ball care13.6% · 16.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ CA Queluz   ■ CAB Madeira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CA Queluz wins
0
CAB Madeira wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24CA Queluz v CAB Madeira79-76
01/12/23CAB Madeira v CA Queluz71-80
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AEsgueira104-93
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84
29/03/26AFC Porto94-99
21/03/26HVasco Da Gama110-114
CAB Madeiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HOliveirense109-113 OT
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72
16/05/26HIlliabum76-60
09/05/26AIlliabum88-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeLL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game89.082.595.5
Allowed / game93.899.588.0
Point differential-4.8-17.0+7.5
Avg total182.8182.0183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game86.293.375.5
Allowed / game89.293.383.0
Point differential-3.0+0.0-7.5
Avg total175.4186.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica65183%91.575.5+16.0
2 Braga54180%91.479.2+12.2
3 Ovarense54180%81.874.0+7.8
4 FC Porto54180%93.486.0+7.4
5 Oliveirense43175%93.890.8+3.0
6 CD Povoa53260%74.471.8+2.6
7 Sporting CP63350%81.875.5+6.3
8 CA Queluz42250%89.093.8-4.8
9 Vitoria62433%69.382.3-13.0
10 CAB Madeira51420%86.289.2-3.0
11 Portimonense5050%76.088.6-12.6
12 Esgueira6060%77.797.8-20.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CA Queluz2023202790
CAB Madeira1818302086
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