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Esgueira vs CA Queluz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 93-104
24-23 29-26 13-34 27-21
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game92.8
Esgueira
Portugal
Vs
42%
58%
■ ESGU 42%■ CA Q 58%
Pythia win probability
Projected 88-90
Projected total 177.3
CA Queluz 🏆
Portugal
Position#7
Record1-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game94.0
PortugalLPBRound 5· Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira
Other2026-27
Meetings · Esgueira v CA Queluz
31 Oct 2026
ESGU93
CA Q104
01 Nov 2025
ESGU81
CA Q101
22 Feb 2025
ESGU82
CA Q81
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Esgueira host CA Queluz in the LPB. Pythia makes CA Queluz the favourite at 58% and projects 88-90, about 177 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Esgueira are 0-4 this season (73.8 scored, 92.8 allowed a game), form LLLLL; CA Queluz are 1-2 this season (84.0 scored, 94.0 allowed a game), form LWLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost
41.9%fair 2.39
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz winWon
58.1%fair 1.72
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
97-83 OT
97
83
+14
89avg 68
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
87-93
87
93
-6
76avg 68
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
65-107
65
107
-42
50avg 68
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
86-85
86
85
+1
74avg 68
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-109
67
109
-42
58avg 68
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
66avg 68
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
64-84
64
84
-20
28avg 68
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#8
L
60-88
60
88
-28
38avg 68
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
91-95
91
95
-4
80avg 68
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
80-104
80
104
-24
40avg 68
A24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-15
19-22
18-20
17-21
15-23
30-29
25-20
25-25
13-31
17-31
10-20
21-27
16-23
26-20
23-15
21-27
20-30
9-25
17-27
18-25
18-23
21-19
16-18
25-16
7-25
20-17
12-26
17-20
8-23
18-23
17-22
27-25
19-24
14-22
31-24
24-23
8-32
20-24
28-25
170.3Avg total
77.0Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.892.8166.5-19.00%
Season at home (2)77.589.5167.0-12.00%
Season away (2)70.096.0166.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)77.093.3170.3-16.320%
Last 5 (5)73.691.2164.8-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.390.0168.3-11.728%
vs Similar (8)85.991.0176.9-5.125%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
56avg 78
A14/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
110-114
110
114
-4
115avg 78
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 78
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 78
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 78
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
52avg 78
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 78
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 78
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 78
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 78
H24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
13-30
13-24
21-25
33-36
27-26
32-29
18-23
19-27
26-30
16-22
33-20
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
177.8Avg total
86.3Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.094.0178.0-10.033%
Season at home (2)82.599.5182.0-17.00%
Season away (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.391.5177.8-5.240%
Last 5 (5)85.287.8173.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.993.8173.7-13.99%
vs Similar (13)81.783.2164.9-1.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.083.7175.7+8.367%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Over 160.5
Over 160.5
84.1%
Under 160.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5Actual: Over 165.5
Over 165.5
75.5%
Under 165.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5Actual: Over 170.5
Over 170.5
65.0%
Under 170.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Esgueira total 80.5Actual: Esgueira over 80.5
Over 80.5
74.6%
Under 80.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esgueira total 84.5Actual: Esgueira over 84.5
Over 84.5
60.8%
Under 84.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esgueira total 88.5Actual: Esgueira over 88.5
Over 88.5
45.6%
Under 88.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CA Queluz total 77Actual: CA Queluz over 77
Over 77
89.9%
Under 77
10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CA Queluz total 81Actual: CA Queluz over 81
Over 81
81.0%
Under 81
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CA Queluz total 85Actual: CA Queluz over 85
Over 85
68.3%
Under 85
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Esgueira -3Actual: CA Queluz +3
ESGU -3
33.1%
CA Q +3
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
ESGU
No market prices yet.
CA Q
No market prices yet.
Spread Esgueira 0Actual: CA Queluz 0
ESGU 0
41.9%
CA Q 0
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
ESGU
No market prices yet.
CA Q
No market prices yet.
Spread Esgueira +3Actual: CA Queluz -3
ESGU +3
50.9%
CA Q -3
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
ESGU
No market prices yet.
CA Q
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -10.3-10.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
EsgueiraCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/04
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H18/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A25/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H14/05
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H03/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#8
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A10/10
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H16/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A24/10
LPB
83.9Avg total
36.0Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.847.387.1-7.513%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.747.589.2-5.727%-
Last 30 away (15)37.847.184.9-9.30%-
Last 10 (10)36.047.983.9-11.910%-
Last 5 (5)34.247.281.4-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.547.786.2-9.211%-
vs Similar (8)41.547.088.5-5.512%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A14/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#4
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
89.5Avg total
44.0Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.844.487.2-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.844.488.2-0.631%-
Last 30 away (14)41.744.386.0-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.589.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)43.640.083.6+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.947.988.8-7.027%-
vs Similar (13)42.542.585.0+0.131%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.042.089.0+5.067%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.616.5
47.7%
50.8%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.6
30.8%
31.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.814.1
67.8%
71.4%14.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.2
50.0%
50.8%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.19.1
36.3%
31.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws24.418.1
74.2%
71.4%18.1
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira
LLLLLLWLLW
CA Queluz
LWLWLWWLLL
#12
League position
#7
-17.1
Net rating
-5.8
82.5
Offensive rating
94.3
99.6
Defensive rating
100.1
47.0%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.8%
3-point %
36.3%
57.9%
Assist %
68.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence82.5 · 94.3Defence99.6 · 100.1Shooting47.0% · 51.7%3-point %30.8% · 36.3%Ball care16.7% · 14.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Esgueira   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira wins
2
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26CA Queluz v Esgueira84-92
01/11/25Esgueira v CA Queluz81-101
19/04/25CA Queluz v Esgueira86-73
22/02/25Esgueira v CA Queluz82-81
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AOliveirense80-104
16/10/26HFC Porto91-95
10/10/26ASporting CP60-88
03/10/26HCD Povoa64-84
14/05/26HSporting CP73-85
10/05/26ASporting CP67-109
25/04/26AFC Porto86-85
18/04/26HBenfica65-107
11/04/26AVitoria87-93
04/04/26HImortal97-83 OT
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84
29/03/26AFC Porto94-99
21/03/26HVasco Da Gama110-114
14/03/26ABenfica68-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.877.570.0
Allowed / game92.889.596.0
Point differential-19.0-12.0-26.0
Avg total166.5167.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game84.082.587.0
Allowed / game94.099.583.0
Point differential-10.0-17.0+4.0
Avg total178.0182.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica54180%87.475.0+12.4
2 Ovarense54180%81.874.0+7.8
3 FC Porto54180%93.486.0+7.4
4 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
5 Oliveirense43175%93.890.8+3.0
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira51420%86.289.2-3.0
11 Portimonense5050%76.088.6-12.6
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira2429132793
CA Queluz23263421104
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