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Ovarense vs CA Queluz Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-74
16-25 16-13 24-14 17-22
Position#4
Record13-6
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#9
Record6-13
FormLLLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game89.1
PortugalLPBRound 20· Arena de Ovar
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ovarense v CA Queluz
14 Nov 2026
OVAR v CA Q
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
OVAR73
CA Q74
11 Jan 2025
OVAR86
CA Q84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
46avg 74
A06/01
LPB
Braga
#7
W
86-74
86
74
+12
79avg 74
A11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
79-76
79
76
+3
75avg 74
A24/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
110-66
110
66
+44
112avg 74
A31/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 74
A07/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 74
H14/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
101avg 74
A14/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
75-91
75
91
-16
64avg 74
H21/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
70-89
70
89
-19
63avg 74
A28/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
83-60
83
60
+23
84avg 74
H04/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
11-28
17-14
11-17
25-20
32-13
19-28
10-13
17-23
24-29
15-14
23-10
24-9
35-15
23-22
28-20
19-32
28-20
28-11
22-19
17-23
18-17
21-19
26-26
26-21
22-21
17-22
22-23
23-22
19-23
16-24
17-22
13-24
14-18
21-23
22-24
20-14
24-21
22-9
17-16
164.8Avg total
85.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.878.8161.6+4.168%
Season at home (9)80.177.7157.8+2.467%
Season away (10)85.379.8165.1+5.570%
Last 10 (10)85.179.7164.8+5.460%
Last 5 (5)83.485.0168.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.184.5158.6-10.523%
vs Similar (6)84.277.8162.0+6.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.277.4164.5+9.891%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 78
H03/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
81-91
81
91
-10
73avg 78
A10/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 78
A24/01
LPB
Braga
#7
W
83-82
83
82
+1
79avg 78
H01/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 78
A07/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
85avg 78
H14/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
56avg 78
A14/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
110-114
110
114
-4
115avg 78
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
94-99
94
99
-5
82avg 78
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 78
H04/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
19-23
13-18
13-22
27-18
15-23
17-26
22-24
17-28
25-16
20-11
13-28
20-26
22-18
20-22
21-16
26-33
19-19
17-20
34-31
17-20
20-17
26-21
21-34
21-27
13-30
13-24
21-25
33-36
27-26
32-29
18-23
19-27
26-30
16-22
33-20
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
179.7Avg total
85.2Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.489.1173.5-4.732%
Season at home (10)85.190.4175.5-5.330%
Season away (9)83.687.7171.2-4.133%
Last 10 (10)85.294.5179.7-9.320%
Last 5 (5)89.499.0188.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.197.0177.1-16.90%
vs Similar (15)82.084.2166.2-2.240%
vs Weaker (4)90.086.2176.2+3.850%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.0-2.0
OvarenseCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/01
LPB
Braga
#7
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A24/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
59-24
59
24
+35
A31/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A07/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H14/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H21/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A28/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H04/04
LPB
84.2Avg total
43.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.781.2-0.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.240.979.2-2.738%-
Last 30 away (17)42.340.582.8+1.841%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.884.2+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.880.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.741.777.4-6.015%-
vs Similar (6)44.040.084.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)44.439.884.2+4.555%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H03/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/01
LPB
Braga
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A14/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H21/03
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A29/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
92.8Avg total
43.6Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.445.787.1-4.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.245.187.4-2.919%-
Last 30 away (14)40.546.386.8-5.829%-
Last 10 (10)43.649.292.8-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)44.252.096.2-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.349.287.5-10.99%-
vs Similar (15)42.343.285.5-0.927%-
vs Weaker (4)46.845.292.0+1.550%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.4
53.5%
52.7%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.4
34.3%
32.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws22.815.9
69.7%
70.4%15.9
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.1
49.2%
52.7%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.1
36.7%
32.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws24.318.7
77.0%
70.4%18.7
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLLWLWWWWL
CA Queluz
WLLLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#9
+6.7
Net rating
-10.2
95.5
Offensive rating
95.4
88.8
Defensive rating
105.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
22.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.3%
3-point %
36.7%
61.4%
Assist %
68.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.5 · 95.4Defence88.8 · 105.6Shooting52.7% · 51.7%3-point %34.3% · 36.7%Ball care17.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds23.9% · 22.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Ovarense   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ovarense wins
0
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25CA Queluz v Ovarense82-84
11/01/25Ovarense v CA Queluz86-84
26/10/24CA Queluz v Ovarense86-87
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HFC Porto83-60
28/03/26ABenfica70-89
21/03/26HVitoria75-91
14/03/26AImortal107-100 OT
14/02/26HSporting CP82-85
07/02/26AOliveirense97-82
31/01/26AVasco Da Gama110-66
24/01/26AEsgueira79-76
11/01/26ABraga86-74
06/01/26AFC Porto62-74
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84
29/03/26AFC Porto94-99
21/03/26HVasco Da Gama110-114
14/03/26ABenfica68-106
14/02/26HEsgueira84-92
07/02/26AVitoria96-103
01/02/26HBraga83-82
24/01/26AImortal75-83
10/01/26AGalitos Barreiro81-91
03/01/26HSporting CP70-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW68%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %68%67%70%
Points / game82.880.185.3
Allowed / game78.877.779.8
Point differential+4.1+2.4+5.5
Avg total161.6157.8165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%22%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
CA Queluz
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW32%
HomeLWLLW30%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%30%33%
Points / game84.485.183.6
Allowed / game89.190.487.7
Point differential-4.7-5.3-4.1
Avg total173.5175.5171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1917289%96.876.6+20.2
2 Sporting CP1916384%89.677.7+11.8
3 FC Porto1913668%90.383.4+6.9
4 Ovarense1913668%82.878.8+4.1
5 Oliveirense1910953%86.584.0+2.5
6 Braga1981142%80.882.2-1.4
7 Esgueira1981142%86.189.9-3.8
8 Imortal1971237%85.886.5-0.7
9 CA Queluz1961332%84.489.1-4.7
10 Vitoria1961332%82.490.9-8.6
11 Galitos Barreiro1951426%82.594.1-11.6
12 Vasco Da Gama1951426%83.498.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense1616241773
CA Queluz2513142274
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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