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FC Porto vs CA Queluz Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 99-94
27-19 30-26 22-16 20-33
Position#2
Record12-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.6
Allowed / game82.8
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
CA Queluz
Portugal
Position#9
Record5-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game88.8
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · FC Porto v CA Queluz
29 Dec 2026
POR v CA Q
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
POR99
CA Q94
13 Apr 2025
POR93
CA Q80
17 Dec 2024
POR89
CA Q75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CA Queluz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
103-78
103
78
+25
107avg 80
A27/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
98-79
98
79
+19
94avg 80
H03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-62
74
62
+12
68avg 80
H06/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
67-76
67
76
-9
60avg 80
A10/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
95avg 80
A24/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
85-62
85
62
+23
79avg 80
H01/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 80
A07/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 80
H14/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
115-69
115
69
+46
110avg 80
A14/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
88-72
88
72
+16
73avg 80
H21/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
26-22
18-18
28-22
25-21
30-17
26-18
17-23
15-23
28-11
14-17
17-11
19-13
18-15
22-23
8-25
26-35
30-26
24-20
21-22
27-15
17-21
18-8
23-18
21-21
21-21
20-16
20-18
24-23
27-18
23-27
25-20
32-23
29-15
29-19
25-12
13-20
21-18
22-17
32-17
167.7Avg total
91.2Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)91.682.8174.4+8.871%
Season at home (8)90.075.4165.4+14.688%
Season away (9)93.089.3182.3+3.756%
Last 10 (10)91.276.5167.7+14.780%
Last 5 (5)93.873.4167.2+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)80.287.6167.8-7.536%
vs Similar (4)76.885.5162.2-8.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.782.2176.8+12.577%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
67avg 75
A20/12
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
82-84
82
84
-2
77avg 75
H27/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
70-91
70
91
-21
56avg 75
H03/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
81-91
81
91
-10
73avg 75
A10/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
69avg 75
A24/01
LPB
Braga
#7
W
83-82
83
82
+1
79avg 75
H01/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
96-103
96
103
-7
84avg 75
A07/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
84-92
84
92
-8
85avg 75
H14/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
68-106
68
106
-38
56avg 75
A14/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
110-114
110
114
-4
115avg 75
H21/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
17-24
19-16
21-23
15-23
26-16
24-26
17-19
25-28
19-23
13-18
13-22
27-18
15-23
17-26
22-24
17-28
25-16
20-11
13-28
20-26
22-18
20-22
21-16
26-33
19-19
17-20
34-31
17-20
20-17
26-21
21-34
21-27
13-30
13-24
21-25
33-36
27-26
32-29
18-23
175.9Avg total
82.5Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.488.8172.2-5.429%
Season at home (9)84.491.1175.6-6.722%
Season away (8)82.286.2168.5-4.038%
Last 10 (10)82.593.4175.9-10.910%
Last 5 (5)88.299.4187.6-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.094.7172.7-16.70%
vs Similar (15)82.785.1167.9-2.440%
vs Weaker (4)90.086.2176.2+3.850%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.4-4.4
FC PortoCA Queluz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A27/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H03/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A10/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A24/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H01/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A07/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H14/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
61-38
61
38
+23
A14/03
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H21/03
LPB
87.4Avg total
48.0Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.885.4-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.379.9+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)43.446.790.1-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.039.487.4+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.439.085.4+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.943.881.7-5.918%-
vs Similar (4)33.546.880.2-13.20%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.640.090.6+10.685%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/12
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H03/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/01
LPB
Braga
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/02
LPB
Vitoria
#10
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A07/02
LPB
Esgueira
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H14/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-57
34
57
-23
A14/03
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H21/03
LPB
89.9Avg total
42.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.886.3-3.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.844.386.1-2.525%-
Last 30 away (14)41.245.386.5-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.347.689.9-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)43.650.494.0-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.647.184.7-9.518%-
vs Similar (15)43.042.985.9+0.133%-
vs Weaker (4)46.845.292.0+1.550%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.7
56.5%
52.7%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.3
34.2%
32.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.7
69.7%
70.4%14.7
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.916.9
48.4%
52.7%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.6
36.2%
32.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.7
75.9%
70.4%16.7
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWWWWLLWWW
CA Queluz
LLLLWLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
+16.9
Net rating
-12.3
103.3
Offensive rating
94.8
86.4
Defensive rating
107.1
54.3%
Effective FG%
51.1%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
14.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.2%
3-point %
36.2%
64.5%
Assist %
68.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 94.8Defence86.4 · 107.1Shooting54.3% · 51.1%3-point %34.2% · 36.2%Ball care14.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds34.3% · 26.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 10%
■ FC Porto   ■ CA Queluz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FC Porto wins
0
CA Queluz wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25CA Queluz v FC Porto97-103
13/04/25FC Porto v CA Queluz93-80
21/12/24CA Queluz v FC Porto62-81
17/12/24FC Porto v CA Queluz89-75
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HBenfica88-72
14/03/26AVitoria115-69
14/02/26HImortal99-88
07/02/26ASporting CP82-76
01/02/26HOliveirense85-62
24/01/26AVasco Da Gama101-103
10/01/26AEsgueira67-76
06/01/26HOvarense74-62
03/01/26HBraga98-79
27/12/25AGalitos Barreiro103-78
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HVasco Da Gama110-114
14/03/26ABenfica68-106
14/02/26HEsgueira84-92
07/02/26AVitoria96-103
01/02/26HBraga83-82
24/01/26AImortal75-83
10/01/26AGalitos Barreiro81-91
03/01/26HSporting CP70-91
27/12/25HOvarense82-84
20/12/25AOliveirense76-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %71%88%56%
Points / game91.690.093.0
Allowed / game82.875.489.3
Point differential+8.8+14.6+3.7
Avg total174.4165.4182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%88%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CA Queluz
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLWLL22%
AwayLLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %29%22%38%
Points / game83.484.482.2
Allowed / game88.891.186.2
Point differential-5.4-6.7-4.0
Avg total172.2175.6168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)40% (5)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1816289%96.276.3+19.9
2 Sporting CP1815383%88.377.6+10.8
3 FC Porto1712571%91.682.8+8.8
4 Ovarense1812667%82.879.8+3.0
5 Oliveirense1810856%86.783.6+3.1
6 Imortal1871139%85.985.9+0.1
7 Braga1871139%79.782.1-2.4
8 Esgueira1871139%85.490.3-4.8
9 Vitoria1861233%82.390.4-8.1
10 CA Queluz1751229%83.488.8-5.4
11 Galitos Barreiro1851328%82.693.3-10.8
12 Vasco Da Gama1851328%83.597.4-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2730222099
CA Queluz1926163394
← all games of the day
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