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CA Queluz vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 101-84
30-20 25-20 23-19 23-25
Position#1
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#3
Record15-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game76.9
PortugalProligaProliga - Semi-finals· Pavilhão Henrique Miranda
Other2023-24
Meetings · CA Queluz v Maia
27 Apr 2024
CA Q101
MAIA84
18 Feb 2024
CA Q69
MAIA72
05 Mar 2022
CA Q88
MAIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CA Queluz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#4
W
79-76
79
76
+3
77avg 77
H04/02
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
58avg 77
H18/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
75-92
75
92
-17
60avg 77
A25/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
82-77
82
77
+5
73avg 77
H02/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
69-74
69
74
-5
60avg 77
A10/03
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
80-68
80
68
+12
81avg 77
A16/03
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
81-54
81
54
+27
80avg 77
H24/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
86avg 77
A30/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H13/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 77
A20/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
20-22
14-13
24-21
24-13
14-21
16-27
15-11
19-30
24-17
15-27
17-18
17-20
19-19
16-18
30-20
12-24
19-17
22-18
16-15
16-21
16-19
28-12
20-16
20-12
15-10
24-16
22-16
14-24
27-18
28-21
21-23
16-15
21-18
23-11
19-19
31-24
18-18
15-17
21-20
153.0Avg total
78.9Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.876.1159.9+7.783%
Season at home (11)84.972.9157.8+12.091%
Season away (12)82.879.0161.8+3.875%
Last 10 (10)78.974.1153.0+4.870%
Last 5 (5)83.070.0153.0+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)93.091.8184.8+1.225%
vs Similar (6)79.581.8161.3-2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.374.8159.1+9.584%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#16
W
91-68
91
68
+23
86avg 64
H04/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
H10/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
72-69
72
69
+3
57avg 64
A18/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 64
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
68-80
68
80
-12
53avg 64
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
55avg 64
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
W
84-79
84
79
+5
80avg 64
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
44-88
44
88
-44
29avg 64
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
79-85
79
85
-6
69avg 64
H20/04
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
24-18
26-21
14-9
13-23
19-19
18-23
16-21
13-24
21-14
27-16
11-15
22-29
20-16
14-18
26-19
18-19
16-14
22-20
24-20
21-16
19-16
12-28
16-20
23-23
15-17
18-25
15-18
17-24
17-16
28-19
22-20
11-21
10-17
14-23
9-27
24-31
18-18
17-15
20-21
153.7Avg total
74.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.276.9153.1-0.765%
Season at home (12)77.277.1154.3+0.267%
Season away (11)75.176.6151.7-1.564%
Last 10 (10)74.479.3153.7-4.950%
Last 5 (5)69.283.0152.2-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)71.682.3153.9-10.740%
vs Similar (11)79.177.1156.2+2.073%
vs Weaker (8)90.183.0173.1+7.175%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
CA QueluzMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H04/02
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H18/02
Proliga
Braga
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Proliga
Maia
#3
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A16/03
Proliga
Braga
#8
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H24/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A30/03
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H13/04
Proliga
Maia
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A20/04
Proliga
76.5Avg total
38.3Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.380.7+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.036.278.2+5.879%-
Last 30 away (16)40.942.082.9-1.125%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.276.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.874.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.239.885.0+5.575%-
vs Similar (6)40.544.284.7-3.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.837.478.2+3.458%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sampaense
#16
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H04/02
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H10/02
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A18/02
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A02/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H10/03
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H16/03
Proliga
Galitos Barreiro
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A23/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H29/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#4
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A13/04
Proliga
CA Queluz
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H20/04
Proliga
76.3Avg total
36.8Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.979.2-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.178.3+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.780.0-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.576.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.874.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.239.576.7-2.330%-
vs Similar (11)37.239.877.0-2.627%-
vs Weaker (8)45.441.086.4+4.488%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.6
52.4%
50.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.18.9
29.6%
31.2%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.412.6
61.8%
69.3%12.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.4
48.0%
50.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.9
29.8%
31.2%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.811.8
66.3%
69.3%11.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CA Queluz
WWWWWLWLLW
Maia
LLWLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#3
+1.4
Net rating
-7.3
97.8
Offensive rating
94.9
96.4
Defensive rating
102.2
48.8%
Effective FG%
46.7%
46.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.7%
Turnover %
20.7%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.6%
3-point %
29.8%
66.7%
Assist %
46.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 94.9Defence96.4 · 102.2Shooting48.8% · 46.7%3-point %29.6% · 29.8%Ball care18.7% · 20.7%Off. rebounds27.5% · 30.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ CA Queluz   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CA Queluz wins
1
Maia wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Maia v CA Queluz79-85
16/03/24Maia v CA Queluz68-80
18/02/24CA Queluz v Maia69-72
05/03/22CA Queluz v Maia88-76
05/02/22Maia v CA Queluz68-78
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AMaia85-79
13/04/24HSangalhos79-63
30/03/24AIlliabum90-86
24/03/24HBraga81-54
16/03/24AMaia80-68
10/03/24ASangalhos69-74
02/03/24HIlliabum82-77
25/02/24ABraga75-92
18/02/24HMaia69-72
04/02/24HCAB Madeira79-76
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HCA Queluz79-85
13/04/24ACAB Madeira44-88
29/03/24HSanto Andre84-79
23/03/24AGalitos Barreiro71-83
16/03/24HCA Queluz68-80
10/03/24HCAB Madeira80-73
02/03/24ASanto Andre89-82 OT
18/02/24ACA Queluz72-69
10/02/24HGalitos Barreiro66-86
04/02/24HSampaense91-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CA Queluz
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW91%
AwayLLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %83%91%75%
Points / game83.884.982.8
Allowed / game76.172.979.0
Point differential+7.7+12.0+3.8
Avg total159.9157.8161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)80% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maia
Proliga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL65%
HomeLWLWL67%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game76.277.275.1
Allowed / game76.977.176.6
Point differential-0.7+0.2-1.5
Avg total153.1154.3151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%8%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won89% (9)100% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CA Queluz2319483%83.876.1+7.7
2 Galitos Barreiro2418675%83.576.2+7.3
3 Maia2315865%76.276.9-0.7
4 CAB Madeira2213959%82.076.8+5.2
5 Vasco Da Gama22121055%85.082.5+2.5
6 Sangalhos22121055%74.773.3+1.4
7 Barreirense22121055%74.876.0-1.1
8 Braga24131154%77.674.6+3.0
9 Illiabum24131154%76.874.2+2.6
10 Santo Andre24131154%80.378.8+1.5
11 Galitos Aveiro22101245%76.275.7+0.5
12 Imortal B2291341%75.576.6-1.0
13 Benfica Lisboa B2291341%72.076.3-4.2
14 Academica2251723%63.274.3-11.0
15 Ginasio Olhanense2241818%76.983.4-6.5
16 Sampaense2241818%73.682.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CA Queluz30252323101
Maia2020192584
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