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CAB Madeira vs Portimonense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#11
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game89.2
PortugalLPBRound 20· Pavilhao Clube Amigos do Basquete
Other2026-27
Meetings · CAB Madeira v Portimonense
03 Apr 2027
CAB v PORT
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
CAB 81
PORT74
19 Dec 2025
CAB 80
PORT76
26 Apr 2025
CAB 94
PORT88
04 Jan 2025
CAB 59
PORT62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CAB Madeira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · CAB Madeira
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.9
78.8▼ 2.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.4
84.6▲ 3.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
56%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.0
18.4▼ 0.6
🔥 Form · Portimonense
3.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 74.8
78.8▲ 4.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.8
89.4▲ 9.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
57%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.4
19.6▲ 0.2
CAB MadeiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
W
97-78
97
78
+19
A01/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A09/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-60
76
60
+16
H16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A25/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
26-15
22-16
19-19
27-21
27-23
17-16
17-14
13-15
21-8
13-17
29-20
21-15
28-20
18-19
23-18
26-26
11-22
17-17
7-13
13-30
18-18
27-21
14-21
18-14
24-17
21-25
15-27
20-21
12-18
20-19
17-15
23-22
26-20
25-20
19-22
15-26
20-22
21-18
26-27
159.1Avg total
80.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.583.2163.8-2.825%
Season at home (2)85.583.5169.0+2.050%
Season away (2)75.583.0158.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)80.678.5159.1+2.150%
Last 5 (5)78.884.6163.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.180.1157.2-3.038%
vs Similar (10)79.075.2154.2+3.870%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.475.4162.8+12.083%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#5
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
71-105
71
105
-34
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
10-15
18-19
19-16
16-11
16-18
8-18
23-12
17-25
20-13
11-12
18-21
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
18-28
21-33
18-17
14-27
20-28
18-18
24-22
21-19
21-24
13-19
20-15
18-16
155.8Avg total
74.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.089.2166.2-12.20%
Season at home (2)82.589.0171.5-6.50%
Season away (2)71.589.5161.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)74.781.1155.8-6.420%
Last 5 (5)78.889.4168.2-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.881.4157.2-5.630%
vs Similar (8)75.577.0152.5-1.538%
vs Weaker (12)81.475.2156.7+6.267%
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
CAB MadeiraPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CAB MadeiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal B
#9
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A01/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A09/05
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H24/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A31/05
Proliga
Vitoria
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H03/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#6
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/10
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A25/10
LPB
82.0Avg total
41.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.679.2+3.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.734.777.4+8.180%-
Last 30 away (15)40.340.680.9-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)41.940.182.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.679.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.541.682.1-1.138%-
vs Similar (10)38.436.074.4+2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.836.381.2+8.583%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#5
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H17/10
LPB
Vitoria
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/10
LPB
79.9Avg total
37.0Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.376.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.639.277.8-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)36.539.475.9-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)37.042.979.9-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.049.488.4-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.743.280.9-5.530%-
vs Similar (8)37.140.177.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (12)37.535.573.0+2.050%-
This opponent (CAB Madeira) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CAB Madeiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CAB Madeira: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.317.8
53.5%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.6
35.0%
31.4%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.612.0
72.3%
70.6%12.0
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.8
51.7%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.3
28.3%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws23.013.9
60.4%
70.6%13.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CAB Madeira
LWLLLLWWWW
Portimonense
LLLLLWLLWL
#10
League position
#11
+3.2
Net rating
-9.6
92.9
Offensive rating
78.7
89.7
Defensive rating
88.3
53.0%
Effective FG%
47.8%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
21.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.0%
3-point %
28.3%
66.2%
Assist %
74.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 78.7Defence89.7 · 88.3Shooting53.0% · 47.8%3-point %35.0% · 28.3%Ball care16.8% · 21.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ CAB Madeira   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CAB Madeira wins
4
Portimonense wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26AFC Porto82-93
17/10/26HSporting CP93-84
10/10/26ACD Povoa69-73
03/10/26HVitoria78-83
31/05/26ACD Povoa72-90
30/05/26ACD Povoa61-78
24/05/26HCD Povoa90-72
16/05/26HIlliabum76-60
09/05/26AIlliabum88-74
01/05/26AImortal B97-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26AVitoria72-74
17/10/26HCA Queluz83-87
11/10/26ABraga71-105
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT
01/05/26ACD Povoa66-71
25/04/26HIlliabum63-59
18/04/26AMaia63-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CAB Madeira
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.585.575.5
Allowed / game83.283.583.0
Point differential-2.8+2.0-7.5
Avg total163.8169.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.082.571.5
Allowed / game89.289.089.5
Point differential-12.2-6.5-18.0
Avg total166.2171.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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