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CD Povoa vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 68-71 (OT)
22-20 15-17 14-13 8-9 9-12
Position#1
Record26-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game68.3
CD Povoa
Portugal
vs
Portimonense 🏆
Portugal
Position#6
Record18-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game75.5
PortugalProligaProliga - Semi-finals· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Meetings · CD Povoa v Portimonense
07 Nov 2026
CD P84
PORT74
17 May 2026
CD P90
PORT86
16 May 2026
CD P68
PORT71
01 May 2026
CD P71
PORT66
25 Nov 2023
CD P81
PORT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
72avg 76
H01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
67avg 76
A07/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
94-58
94
58
+36
92avg 76
H14/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
90-69
90
69
+21
79avg 76
A22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
75-48
75
48
+27
67avg 76
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
80avg 76
A04/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 76
H18/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 76
A25/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
71-66
71
66
+5
57avg 76
H01/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
77avg 76
A09/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
25-12
16-21
22-16
14-15
22-22
11-13
19-16
32-14
19-15
23-19
20-10
19-17
29-10
23-23
19-19
18-12
17-13
22-14
18-9
20-30
19-19
18-14
30-14
23-25
23-20
22-14
13-16
12-23
19-9
22-18
20-25
25-17
13-20
12-11
21-18
17-16
23-27
18-20
23-18
153.7Avg total
82.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.568.3152.8+16.290%
Season at home (14)85.164.6149.7+20.6100%
Season away (15)83.971.8155.7+12.180%
Last 10 (10)82.471.3153.7+11.180%
Last 5 (5)81.076.6157.6+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)84.568.3152.8+16.290%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
60avg 77
A28/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
84avg 77
H07/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
89-91
89
91
-2
93avg 77
H14/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 77
A21/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 77
A28/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 77
H07/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
63avg 77
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 77
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
60avg 77
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
96avg 77
H09/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
15-20
14-11
16-19
15-14
22-22
13-11
16-19
24-22
23-28
27-22
15-19
17-21
25-18
26-20
22-24
17-29
17-13
22-17
18-22
14-20
16-24
27-7
19-16
16-23
10-15
18-19
19-16
16-11
16-18
8-18
23-12
17-25
20-13
11-12
18-21
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
152.2Avg total
75.6Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.475.5154.9+3.962%
Season at home (15)80.975.9156.9+5.067%
Season away (14)77.775.1152.8+2.657%
Last 10 (10)75.676.6152.2-1.040%
Last 5 (5)71.672.6144.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)75.077.7152.7-2.733%
vs Similar (8)75.475.9151.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (16)82.774.8157.5+7.975%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
CD PovoaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H14/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A04/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A25/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/05
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A09/05
Proliga
77.4Avg total
41.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.435.177.5+7.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.334.479.7+10.986%-
Last 30 away (16)39.835.875.6+4.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.136.377.4+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)42.434.777.1+7.769%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A28/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H07/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H14/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A21/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H07/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
76.3Avg total
36.4Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.074.6+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.837.476.2+1.356%-
Last 30 away (14)36.436.472.9+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.976.3-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.871.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.238.573.7-3.333%-
vs Similar (8)38.039.877.8-1.838%-
vs Weaker (16)38.435.073.4+3.462%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.822.2
46.4%
50.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.7
33.6%
30.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.711.6
58.9%
67.4%11.6
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.4
55.6%
50.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
30.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws24.615.4
62.6%
67.4%15.4
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWLWWWWWLW
Portimonense
LLWLWLWLWL
#1
League position
#6
+11.6
Net rating
-8.2
88.0
Offensive rating
77.3
76.4
Defensive rating
85.5
47.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
13.7%
Turnover %
20.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.6%
3-point %
30.0%
57.6%
Assist %
74.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence88.0 · 77.3Defence76.4 · 85.5Shooting47.8% · 51.4%3-point %33.6% · 30.0%Ball care13.7% · 20.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CD Povoa wins
1
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
09/05/26Portimonense v CD Povoa90-93 OT
01/05/26CD Povoa v Portimonense71-66
07/03/26Portimonense v CD Povoa79-75 OT
06/04/24Portimonense v CD Povoa72-74
25/11/23CD Povoa v Portimonense81-74 OT
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26APortimonense93-90 OT
01/05/26HPortimonense71-66
25/04/26AMaia73-75
18/04/26HCAB Madeira81-75
04/04/26AGinasio87-77
28/03/26HIlliabum75-48
22/03/26AImortal B90-69
14/03/26HGinasio Olhanense94-58
07/03/26APortimonense75-79 OT
01/03/26HMaia85-76
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT
01/05/26ACD Povoa66-71
25/04/26HIlliabum63-59
18/04/26AMaia63-73
07/04/26HImortal B76-67
28/03/26ACAB Madeira74-81
21/03/26AGinasio Olhanense90-83
14/03/26HGinasio89-91
07/03/26HCD Povoa79-75 OT
28/02/26AIlliabum66-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game84.585.183.9
Allowed / game68.364.671.8
Point differential+16.2+20.6+12.1
Avg total152.8149.7155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%71%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Portimonense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game79.480.977.7
Allowed / game75.575.975.1
Point differential+3.9+5.0+2.6
Avg total154.9156.9152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)56% (9)33% (3)
Overtime %14%20%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2926390%84.568.3+16.2
2 CAB Madeira2923679%84.175.6+8.4
3 Lusitania2820871%83.875.2+8.6
4 Maia28181064%83.274.2+9.0
5 Galomar28181064%84.279.1+5.1
6 Illiabum29181162%75.869.9+5.9
7 Portimonense29181162%79.475.5+3.9
8 Ginasio28131546%77.881.0-3.2
9 Imortal B28131546%76.280.9-4.6
10 Sampaense28121643%70.377.8-7.5
11 Ginasio Olhanense28111739%78.079.0-1.0
12 Benfica Lisboa B28101836%72.072.8-0.8
13 Santo Andre2891932%74.177.2-3.1
14 CB Queluz2891932%70.979.3-8.4
15 Sangalhos2852318%69.986.2-16.2
16 Academica2832511%64.878.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
CD Povoa2215148968
Portimonense20171391271
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