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Braga vs Portimonense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 105-71
28-18 33-21 17-18 27-14
Position#4
Record0-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game96.0
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Portimonense
Portugal
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game91.0
PortugalLPBRound 2· AMCO Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Braga v Portimonense
11 Oct 2026
BRAG105
PORT71
08 Mar 2025
BRAG71
PORT67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
70avg 73
A14/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
80avg 73
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
58avg 73
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
101-84
101
84
+17
107avg 73
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
66avg 73
A11/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
68-82
68
82
-14
58avg 73
H18/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 73
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 73
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 73
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#2
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 73
A03/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-33
14-18
20-18
21-18
29-24
14-20
22-28
22-24
15-22
24-22
11-23
23-13
11-19
40-22
29-22
21-21
17-28
15-26
27-30
18-24
21-17
19-29
12-21
16-15
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
19-24
15-22
24-24
14-20
18-22
18-22
23-33
20-17
19-26
9-26
20-23
35-21
167.5Avg total
79.1Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.096.0179.0-13.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.096.0179.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)79.188.4167.5-9.320%
Last 5 (5)75.285.8161.0-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.3-13.017%
vs Similar (9)80.983.3164.2-2.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.473.9157.3+9.678%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortimonense
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 76
A21/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 76
A28/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
76avg 76
H07/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
63avg 76
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
63-59
63
59
+4
54avg 76
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
60avg 76
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
96avg 76
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
71-68 OT
71
68
+3
58avg 76
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
81avg 76
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#6
L
82-91
82
91
-9
44avg 76
H03/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
25-18
26-20
22-24
17-29
17-13
22-17
18-22
14-20
16-24
27-7
19-16
16-23
10-15
18-19
19-16
16-11
16-18
8-18
23-12
17-25
20-13
11-12
18-21
16-17
27-23
20-18
18-23
20-22
17-15
13-14
9-8
19-23
26-21
16-18
22-21
20-34
19-19
16-16
27-22
153.7Avg total
76.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.091.0173.0-9.00%
Season at home (1)82.091.0173.0-9.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.177.6153.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)79.082.6161.6-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.979.4156.2-2.538%
vs Similar (8)75.475.9151.2-0.550%
vs Weaker (14)82.175.6157.7+6.471%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
BragaPortimonense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A14/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H18/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A03/10
LPB
84.0Avg total
38.3Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.979.4-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.140.777.8-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)38.043.081.0-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)38.345.784.0-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.681.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.183.0-9.217%-
vs Similar (9)38.143.781.8-5.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.834.472.2+3.356%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A21/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H07/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H09/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A16/05
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/05
Proliga
Oliveirense
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H03/10
LPB
76.9Avg total
36.5Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.976.0+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.938.277.1+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.337.674.9-0.340%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.476.9-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.482.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.041.079.0-3.038%-
vs Similar (8)38.039.877.8-1.838%-
vs Weaker (14)38.235.173.3+3.157%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.4
45.7%
51.1%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.6
30.9%
31.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.917.2
72.0%
71.1%17.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.1
49.7%
51.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.9
30.0%
31.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.514.9
63.4%
71.1%14.9
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
LLLWLLWLLL
Portimonense
LLWLLWLWLW
#4
League position
#11
-3.7
Net rating
-4.3
86.9
Offensive rating
81.7
90.6
Defensive rating
85.9
46.0%
Effective FG%
47.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
19.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.9%
3-point %
30.0%
73.1%
Assist %
70.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.9 · 81.7Defence90.6 · 85.9Shooting46.0% · 47.7%3-point %30.9% · 30.0%Ball care16.9% · 19.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Braga   ■ Portimonense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Braga wins
0
Portimonense wins
DateGameScore
03/05/25Portimonense v Braga74-80
08/03/25Braga v Portimonense71-67
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26AOvarense83-96
13/05/26HBenfica79-94
09/05/26ABenfica72-90
25/04/26AOvarense74-67
18/04/26HFC Porto68-82
11/04/26ABenfica77-108
04/04/26HVitoria101-84
28/03/26AImortal73-80
21/03/26HSporting CP87-96
14/03/26AOliveirense77-87
Portimonenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HOliveirense82-91
17/05/26ACD Povoa86-90 OT
16/05/26ACD Povoa71-68 OT
09/05/26HCD Povoa90-93 OT
01/05/26ACD Povoa66-71
25/04/26HIlliabum63-59
18/04/26AMaia63-73
07/04/26HImortal B76-67
28/03/26ACAB Madeira74-81
21/03/26AGinasio Olhanense90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential-13.0--13.0
Avg total179.0-179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Portimonense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game82.082.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential-9.0-9.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto110100%110.093.0+17.0
2 Ovarense220100%91.577.0+14.5
3 Benfica110100%84.071.0+13.0
4 CD Povoa220100%78.566.5+12.0
5 Oliveirense110100%91.082.0+9.0
6 Sporting CP21150%79.572.0+7.5
7 Vitoria21150%77.082.5-5.5
8 CAB Madeira2020%73.578.0-4.5
9 Portimonense1010%82.091.0-9.0
10 Braga1010%83.096.0-13.0
11 CA Queluz1010%93.0110.0-17.0
12 Esgueira2020%62.086.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga28331727105
Portimonense1821181471
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