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Portimonense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 90-93 (OT)
16-17 27-23 20-18 18-23 9-12
Position#6
Record18-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#1
Record25-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game67.5
PortugalProligaProliga - Semi-finals· Pavilhão Desportivo da Boavista
Other2025-26
Meetings · Portimonense v CD Povoa
06 Mar 2027
PORT v CD P
upcoming
09 May 2026
PORT90
CD P93
07 Mar 2026
PORT79
CD P75
06 Apr 2024
PORT72
CD P74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portimonense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortimonensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H21/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A28/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H07/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H14/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A21/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A28/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H07/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A01/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
21-13
19-6
19-26
21-23
15-20
14-11
16-19
15-14
22-22
13-11
16-19
24-22
23-28
27-22
15-19
17-21
25-18
26-20
22-24
17-29
17-13
22-17
18-22
14-20
16-24
27-7
19-16
16-23
10-15
18-19
19-16
16-11
16-18
8-18
23-12
17-25
20-13
11-12
18-21
149.1Avg total
74.4Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.074.9153.9+4.164%
Season at home (14)80.374.7155.0+5.671%
Season away (14)77.775.1152.8+2.657%
Last 10 (10)74.474.7149.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)68.470.2138.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)72.074.6146.6-2.640%
vs Similar (9)76.877.9154.7-1.144%
vs Weaker (16)82.774.8157.5+7.975%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A21/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A07/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
94-58
94
58
+36
H14/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
75-48
75
48
+27
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A04/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H18/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
A25/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H01/05
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
10-21
18-18
25-11
22-27
25-12
16-21
22-16
14-15
22-22
11-13
19-16
32-14
19-15
23-19
20-10
19-17
29-10
23-23
19-19
18-12
17-13
22-14
18-9
20-30
19-19
18-14
30-14
23-25
23-20
22-14
13-16
12-23
19-9
22-18
20-25
25-17
13-20
12-11
21-18
149.9Avg total
80.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.267.5151.8+16.789%
Season at home (14)85.164.6149.7+20.6100%
Season away (14)83.370.5153.8+12.879%
Last 10 (10)80.169.8149.9+10.370%
Last 5 (5)77.468.2145.6+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.068.0129.0-7.00%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)84.267.5151.8+16.789%
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.1-4.1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +5.3+5.3
PortimonenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortimonenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maia
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H21/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A28/02
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H07/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H14/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A21/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A28/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H07/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A18/04
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H25/04
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A01/05
Proliga
76.2Avg total
36.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.374.7+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.375.7+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)36.337.373.6-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)36.140.176.2-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)31.838.270.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.638.271.8-4.620%-
vs Similar (9)37.740.878.4-3.133%-
vs Weaker (16)38.435.073.4+3.462%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A21/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H14/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H28/03
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A04/04
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/04
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A25/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H01/05
Proliga
76.4Avg total
39.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.035.077.0+7.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.334.779.0+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.835.375.1+4.553%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.676.4+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.675.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.039.069.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)42.534.476.9+8.171%-
This opponent (Portimonense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portimonensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portimonense: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.4
54.5%
50.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.6
29.6%
30.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws24.015.4
64.2%
67.4%15.4
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.122.8
47.4%
50.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.5
30.4%
30.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.811.7
59.1%
67.4%11.7
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portimonense
LWLWLWLWLW
CD Povoa
WLWWWWWLWL
#6
League position
#1
-7.5
Net rating
+10.9
76.7
Offensive rating
87.0
84.2
Defensive rating
76.1
50.6%
Effective FG%
46.8%
44.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
20.5%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.6%
3-point %
30.4%
73.5%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence76.7 · 87.0Defence84.2 · 76.1Shooting50.6% · 46.8%3-point %29.6% · 30.4%Ball care20.5% · 14.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Portimonense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Portimonense wins
3
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
01/05/26CD Povoa v Portimonense71-66
07/03/26Portimonense v CD Povoa79-75 OT
06/04/24Portimonense v CD Povoa72-74
25/11/23CD Povoa v Portimonense81-74 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26ACD Povoa66-71
25/04/26HIlliabum63-59
18/04/26AMaia63-73
07/04/26HImortal B76-67
28/03/26ACAB Madeira74-81
21/03/26AGinasio Olhanense90-83
14/03/26HGinasio89-91
07/03/26HCD Povoa79-75 OT
28/02/26AIlliabum66-73
21/02/26HMaia78-74
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26HPortimonense71-66
25/04/26AMaia73-75
18/04/26HCAB Madeira81-75
04/04/26AGinasio87-77
28/03/26HIlliabum75-48
22/03/26AImortal B90-69
14/03/26HGinasio Olhanense94-58
07/03/26APortimonense75-79 OT
01/03/26HMaia85-76
21/02/26ACAB Madeira70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portimonense
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL64%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%71%57%
Points / game79.080.377.7
Allowed / game74.974.775.1
Point differential+4.1+5.6+2.6
Avg total153.9155.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)62% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %11%14%7%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWL79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %89%100%79%
Points / game84.285.183.3
Allowed / game67.564.670.5
Point differential+16.7+20.6+12.8
Avg total151.8149.7153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%71%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2825389%84.267.5+16.7
2 CAB Madeira2923679%84.175.6+8.4
3 Lusitania2820871%83.875.2+8.6
4 Maia28181064%83.274.2+9.0
5 Galomar28181064%84.279.1+5.1
6 Portimonense28181064%79.074.9+4.1
7 Illiabum29181162%75.869.9+5.9
8 Ginasio28131546%77.881.0-3.2
9 Imortal B28131546%76.280.9-4.6
10 Sampaense28121643%70.377.8-7.5
11 Ginasio Olhanense28111739%78.079.0-1.0
12 Benfica Lisboa B28101836%72.072.8-0.8
13 Santo Andre2891932%74.177.2-3.1
14 CB Queluz2891932%70.979.3-8.4
15 Sangalhos2852318%69.986.2-16.2
16 Academica2832511%64.878.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Portimonense16272018990
CD Povoa172318231293
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