Caceres vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 19:45

Final 62-70

17-17 8-20 17-9 20-24

Position#15

Record3-10

FormLLLLL

Points / game69.0

Allowed / game77.8

Caceres

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#7

Record10-3

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game73.6

Primera FEBRound 14

Other2022-23

Meetings · Caceres v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caceres winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caceres

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

74-86

-12

A22/10

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

69-79

-10

H28/10

Primera FEB

Castello

79-75

A04/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

66-79

-13

H20/11

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

64-60

A26/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

70-76

-6

A02/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

67-78

-11

H07/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

63-73

-10

A10/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

60-86

-26

H16/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

78-94

-16

A20/12

Primera FEB

18-30

21-13

19-24

16-19

14-15

12-14

14-26

29-24

31-13

20-20

10-15

18-27

20-13

13-25

19-15

14-26

21-11

20-20

8-17

15-12

9-23

20-18

15-18

26-17

20-21

22-21

12-17

13-19

9-14

16-19

23-18

15-22

14-19

15-28

15-16

16-23

19-29

19-26

16-19

24-20

147.6Avg total

69.0Scored

78.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	69.0	77.8	146.8	-8.8	23%
Season at home (6)	66.3	80.0	146.3	-13.7	0%
Season away (7)	71.3	76.0	147.3	-4.7	43%
Last 10 (10)	69.0	78.6	147.6	-9.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	67.6	81.4	149.0	-13.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	75.4	81.3	156.7	-5.9	27%
vs Similar (15)	75.7	80.2	155.9	-4.5	53%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#16

97-79

+18

A23/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

81-70

+11

H30/10

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

75-70

A05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

90-60

+30

H20/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

85-89

-4

A25/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

72-79

-7

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

68-64

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

77-52

+25

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

82-76

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

68-63

H20/12

Primera FEB

19-17

21-24

31-18

26-20

14-14

27-20

22-19

18-17

24-18

19-18

16-12

16-22

25-16

28-18

19-17

18-9

31-18

12-28

21-18

21-25

21-16

10-25

21-17

20-21

19-15

17-19

18-12

14-18

25-15

22-15

16-13

14-9

23-16

18-22

22-17

19-21

13-19

18-17

16-12

21-15

149.7Avg total

79.5Scored

70.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	80.5	73.6	154.1	+6.8	77%
Season at home (7)	81.9	69.0	150.9	+12.9	86%
Season away (6)	78.8	79.0	157.8	-0.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	70.2	149.7	+9.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	66.8	140.2	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	72.0	79.0	151.0	-7.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	70.3	72.7	143.0	-2.4	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	79.9	68.0	147.9	+12.0	82%

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CaceresEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.9	37.0	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.2	38.5	-1.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	18.8	36.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	21.2	35.4	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	13%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.3	17.4	35.7	+0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.6	36.0	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	16.5	36.2	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	16.4	37.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	16.2	36.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.9	17.3	33.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	20.4	16.5	36.8	+3.9	68%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.4	40.8	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	53%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.1	20.5	38.6	-2.5	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.0	37.3	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.6	16.7	36.4	+2.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	25.0	35.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.6	17.2	36.9	+2.4	64%	-

CaceresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

39-43

-4

A22/10

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

26-29

-3

H28/10

Primera FEB

Castello

51-33

+18

A04/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

33-38

-5

H20/11

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

41-31

+10

A26/11

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

29-41

-12

A02/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

42-42

H07/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

25-33

-8

A10/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

29-47

-18

H16/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

38-55

-17

A20/12

Primera FEB

74.5Avg total

35.3Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	38.9	76.5	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	37.7	75.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	40.2	77.5	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	39.2	74.5	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.6	43.6	76.2	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	38.8	39.9	78.7	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.3	37.9	74.3	-1.6	53%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melilla

#16

40-41

-1

A23/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

41-34

H30/10

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

43-36

A05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

53-34

+19

H20/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

43-46

-3

A25/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

31-41

-10

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-34

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

47-30

+17

H11/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

41-38

A17/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-36

-5

H20/12

Primera FEB

77.6Avg total

40.6Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	34.7	73.2	+3.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.7	33.4	72.1	+5.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.4	36.3	74.7	+2.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	37.0	77.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.8	73.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	41.0	72.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.1	36.9	72.0	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.0	33.7	73.7	+6.3	64%	-

This opponent (Caceres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	20.6	37.3	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	21.3	38.7	-4.0	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.8	35.9	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	18.5	33.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	16.3	21.1	37.4	-4.7	7%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-2.9	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.6	38.9	+3.8	87%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	18.2	40.8	+4.4	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	16.7	36.4	+3.0	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	15.5	35.7	+4.7	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	14.2	32.8	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.1	17.0	39.1	+5.2	91%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.9	39.5	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.2	39.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.3	20.3	40.5	+0.0	47%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.2	34.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.6	15.8	33.4	+1.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.7	36.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	16.8	34.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.3	16.3	32.6	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	17.8	17.3	35.1	+0.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	41.4	78.9	-4.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.8	41.5	79.3	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	41.3	78.5	-4.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	39.4	73.1	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	37.8	72.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	36.6	41.3	77.9	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	38.3	41.5	79.9	-3.2	27%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	34.8	73.6	+4.1	77%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.2	34.1	74.2	+6.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.1	35.7	72.8	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	33.2	72.1	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	31.0	67.2	+5.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.1	35.9	71.0	-0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	39.9	34.3	74.2	+5.6	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Cacerestheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Caceres wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
27/03/22	Estudiantes v Caceres	83-76
19/11/21	Caceres v Estudiantes	62-71

Cacereslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/22	A	Forca Lleida	78-94
16/12/22	H	Iraurgi SB	60-86
10/12/22	A	San Pablo Burgos	63-73
07/12/22	H	Palencia	67-78
02/12/22	A	Ourense	70-76
26/11/22	A	Albacete	64-60
20/11/22	H	Estela	66-79
04/11/22	A	Castello	79-75
28/10/22	H	Gipuzkoa	69-79
22/10/22	A	MoraBanc Andorra	74-86

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/22	H	Albacete	68-63
17/12/22	A	Estela	82-76
11/12/22	H	Castello	77-52
07/12/22	A	Gipuzkoa	68-64
04/12/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	72-79
25/11/22	A	Alicante	85-89
20/11/22	H	Oviedo	90-60
05/11/22	A	Almansa	75-70
30/10/22	H	Real Valladolid	81-70
23/10/22	A	Melilla	97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caceres

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	23%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	WWLLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	23%	0%	43%
Points / game	69.0	66.3	71.3
Allowed / game	77.8	80.0	76.0
Point differential	-8.8	-13.7	-4.7
Avg total	146.8	146.3	147.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	-	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	77%
Home	WWLWW	86%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	7	6
Win %	77%	86%	67%
Points / game	80.5	81.9	78.8
Allowed / game	73.6	69.0	79.0
Point differential	+6.8	+12.9	-0.2
Avg total	154.1	150.9	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	57%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	13	12	1	92%	84.8	69.7	+15.2
2	Palencia	13	12	1	92%	81.4	68.5	+12.8
3	Estudiantes	13	10	3	77%	80.5	73.6	+6.8
4	Forca Lleida	13	10	3	77%	82.3	77.9	+4.4
5	Real Valladolid	13	9	4	69%	76.5	70.1	+6.4
6	San Pablo Burgos	13	8	5	62%	79.5	76.2	+3.4
7	Alicante	13	8	5	62%	76.8	75.0	+1.8
8	Gipuzkoa	14	8	6	57%	73.8	69.9	+3.9
9	Leyma Coruna	13	7	6	54%	81.9	76.2	+5.8
10	Estela	13	6	7	46%	73.5	77.0	-3.5
11	Castello	13	4	9	31%	74.5	76.8	-2.3
12	Melilla	13	4	9	31%	76.9	79.7	-2.8
13	Ourense	13	4	9	31%	72.8	80.9	-8.2
14	Oviedo	13	4	9	31%	70.5	79.8	-9.3
15	Almansa	14	4	10	29%	72.9	81.6	-8.8
16	Albacete	13	3	10	23%	72.7	78.4	-5.7
17	Caceres	13	3	10	23%	69.0	77.8	-8.8
18	Iraurgi SB	13	2	11	15%	72.6	83.3	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Caceres	17	8	17	20	62
Estudiantes	17	20	9	24	70

← all games of the day

Caceres vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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