Estela vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 76-82

16-23 22-18 17-22 21-19

Position#11

Record6-5

FormWLLWL

Points / game71.3

Allowed / game73.6

Estela

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#7

Record8-3

FormWLLWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game74.4

Primera FEBRound 12

Other2022-23

Meetings · Estela v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estela winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estela

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

47-88

-41

A12/10

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

74-72

H16/10

Primera FEB

Castello

72-76

-4

A21/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

79-66

+13

A29/10

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

72-66

H05/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

79-66

+13

A20/11

Primera FEB

Palencia

67-77

-10

H26/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

62-89

-27

A03/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

77-49

+28

H06/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

79-91

-12

A11/12

Primera FEB

10-21

14-17

10-34

13-16

19-19

17-14

25-17

13-22

21-12

17-23

21-22

13-19

18-5

17-20

20-17

24-24

20-18

16-19

16-11

13-20

25-13

15-19

26-14

13-20

17-19

13-14

24-24

13-22

12-28

22-15

15-24

21-13

15-9

25-16

16-11

13-20

26-22

13-27

27-22

144.8Avg total

70.8Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	71.3	73.6	144.9	-2.4	55%
Season at home (5)	73.2	66.8	140.0	+6.4	80%
Season away (6)	69.7	79.3	149.0	-9.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	70.8	74.0	144.8	-3.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	74.4	147.2	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	65.8	83.4	149.2	-17.6	20%
vs Similar (9)	72.9	64.8	137.7	+8.1	89%
vs Weaker (16)	77.4	70.5	147.9	+6.9	75%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#13

104-86

104

+18

H11/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-73

H16/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

97-79

+18

A23/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

81-70

+11

H30/10

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

75-70

A05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

90-60

+30

H20/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

85-89

-4

A25/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

72-79

-7

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

68-64

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

77-52

+25

H11/12

Primera FEB

25-24

23-18

33-16

23-28

20-21

19-21

20-17

22-14

19-17

21-24

31-18

26-20

14-14

27-20

22-19

18-17

24-18

19-18

16-12

16-22

25-16

28-18

19-17

18-9

31-18

12-28

21-18

21-25

21-16

10-25

21-17

20-21

19-15

17-19

18-12

14-18

25-15

22-15

16-13

14-9

155.2Avg total

83.0Scored

72.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	81.5	74.4	155.8	+7.1	73%
Season at home (6)	84.2	70.0	154.2	+14.2	83%
Season away (5)	78.2	79.6	157.8	-1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	72.2	155.2	+10.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	68.8	147.2	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	72.0	79.0	151.0	-7.0	0%
vs Similar (7)	70.3	72.7	143.0	-2.4	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	81.2	68.4	149.6	+12.8	77%

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstelaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.5	35.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	16.7	36.1	+2.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	17.0	33.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.6	19.0	33.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	13.6	20.4	34.0	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.8	16.1	33.9	+1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.2	17.4	36.7	+1.8	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	16.8	36.9	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	16.8	36.9	+3.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	16.8	36.8	+3.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	17.4	39.7	+4.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.0	40.2	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.9	17.3	33.1	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.4	16.7	38.1	+4.7	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	15.7	34.1	+2.6	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	19.8	37.6	-1.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.3	36.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	15.6	33.9	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.2	18.5	36.8	-0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.8	16.5	36.4	+3.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	19.3	37.8	-0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	10.0	25.0	35.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.3	19.6	38.9	-0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	19.7	16.8	36.5	+2.9	64%	-

EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MoraBanc Andorra

24-38

-14

A12/10

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-33

H16/10

Primera FEB

Castello

38-35

A21/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

35-25

+10

A29/10

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

40-36

H05/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

38-33

A20/11

Primera FEB

Palencia

30-39

-9

H26/11

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

25-50

-25

A03/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

36-22

+14

H06/12

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

39-42

-3

A11/12

Primera FEB

69.4Avg total

34.1Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	35.4	71.4	+0.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.7	32.4	70.1	+5.3	93%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.4	38.0	72.4	-3.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	35.3	69.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	37.2	70.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	30.8	40.4	71.2	-9.6	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.1	31.7	67.8	+4.4	89%	-
vs Weaker (16)	37.5	35.9	73.4	+1.6	62%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#13

48-42

H11/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

39-42

-3

H16/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

40-41

-1

A23/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

41-34

H30/10

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

43-36

A05/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

53-34

+19

H20/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

43-46

-3

A25/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

31-41

-10

H04/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-34

A07/12

Primera FEB

Castello

47-30

+17

H11/12

Primera FEB

80.1Avg total

42.1Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	34.5	73.9	+4.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.0	33.3	73.3	+6.7	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.5	36.2	74.7	+2.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.0	80.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	41.0	72.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.1	36.9	72.0	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	41.1	33.5	74.6	+7.6	68%	-

This opponent (Estela) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	17.1	35.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	16.6	36.1	+2.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	16.6	21.4	38.0	-4.8	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.8	16.2	33.0	+0.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.5	16.3	36.8	+4.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.1	39.6	+3.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.1	18.5	41.5	+4.6	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	17.6	37.1	+1.8	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	15.9	37.6	+5.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.4	34.4	+3.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	19.6	38.4	-0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.4	17.7	40.0	+4.7	86%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.2	38.4	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.7	37.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.0	16.9	36.9	+3.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.4	18.2	37.6	+1.1	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	17.1	34.6	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.7	16.1	33.8	+1.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	18.5	35.8	-1.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.3	37.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	16.4	33.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.3	16.3	32.6	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	17.8	17.2	35.0	+0.5	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	35.5	73.7	+2.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	35.9	74.4	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	35.2	73.0	+2.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	38.7	75.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	37.2	76.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	35.0	43.0	78.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.8	33.1	69.9	+3.7	89%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.9	34.6	74.4	+5.3	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	35.2	74.2	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.8	34.5	75.3	+6.2	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.7	36.2	72.8	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	34.2	75.1	+6.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	31.8	68.2	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.1	35.9	71.0	-0.7	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	40.1	34.9	75.0	+5.2	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estelatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estela wins

Estudiantes wins

No previous meetings.

Estelalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/22	A	Forca Lleida	79-91
06/12/22	H	Iraurgi SB	77-49
03/12/22	A	San Pablo Burgos	62-89
26/11/22	H	Palencia	67-77
20/11/22	A	Caceres	79-66
05/11/22	H	Albacete	72-66
29/10/22	A	Ourense	79-66
21/10/22	A	Castello	72-76
16/10/22	H	Gipuzkoa	74-72
12/10/22	A	MoraBanc Andorra	47-88

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/12/22	H	Castello	77-52
07/12/22	A	Gipuzkoa	68-64
04/12/22	H	MoraBanc Andorra	72-79
25/11/22	A	Alicante	85-89
20/11/22	H	Oviedo	90-60
05/11/22	A	Almansa	75-70
30/10/22	H	Real Valladolid	81-70
23/10/22	A	Melilla	97-79
16/10/22	H	Leyma Coruna	81-73
11/10/22	H	Ourense	104-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estela

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	55%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	LWWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	55%	80%	33%
Points / game	71.3	73.2	69.7
Allowed / game	73.6	66.8	79.3
Point differential	-2.4	+6.4	-9.7
Avg total	144.9	140.0	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	20%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	73%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	LWWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	83%	60%
Points / game	81.5	84.2	78.2
Allowed / game	74.4	70.0	79.6
Point differential	+7.1	+14.2	-1.4
Avg total	155.8	154.2	157.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	67%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	12	11	1	92%	85.1	69.2	+15.8
2	Palencia	12	11	1	92%	80.9	67.2	+13.7
3	Forca Lleida	12	9	3	75%	81.3	77.9	+3.4
4	Estudiantes	11	8	3	73%	81.5	74.4	+7.1
5	Real Valladolid	12	8	4	67%	76.2	70.6	+5.7
6	San Pablo Burgos	12	8	4	67%	78.6	74.6	+4.0
7	Alicante	12	7	5	58%	77.5	75.6	+1.9
8	Gipuzkoa	11	6	5	55%	73.8	71.3	+2.5
9	Estela	11	6	5	55%	71.3	73.6	-2.4
10	Leyma Coruna	12	6	6	50%	79.7	74.6	+5.1
11	Castello	12	4	8	33%	73.9	74.8	-0.8
12	Almansa	12	4	8	33%	74.3	81.8	-7.5
13	Oviedo	12	4	8	33%	70.7	80.7	-10.0
14	Melilla	11	3	8	27%	76.0	79.7	-3.7
15	Albacete	12	3	9	25%	73.5	79.2	-5.8
16	Caceres	12	3	9	25%	68.2	76.5	-8.2
17	Ourense	12	3	9	25%	70.9	80.1	-9.2
18	Iraurgi SB	12	2	10	17%	71.7	83.0	-11.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estela	16	22	17	21	76
Estudiantes	23	18	22	19	82

← all games of the day

Estela vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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