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Caen vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-79
19-20 18-27 15-17 14-15
Position#17
Record9-18
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Nantes 🏆
France
Position#6
Record14-13
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game84.1
FrancePro BRound 28· Palais des Sports Caen la mer
Other2025-26
Meetings · Caen v Nantes
08 Dec 2026
CAEN v NANT
upcoming
20 Mar 2026
CAEN66
NANT79
29 Oct 2024
CAEN89
NANT77
11 Jan 2019
CAEN69
NANT81
12 Jan 2018
CAEN91
NANT95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Challans
#21
W
78-76
78
76
+2
72avg 77
H09/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
71-90
71
90
-19
66avg 77
A16/01
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 77
H23/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
54-90
54
90
-36
34avg 77
A30/01
Pro B
Vichy
#7
L
86-90
86
90
-4
82avg 77
A06/02
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
70-78
70
78
-8
68avg 77
H13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
58-87
58
87
-29
48avg 77
A17/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
82-71
82
71
+11
77avg 77
H06/03
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
59-71
59
71
-12
53avg 77
A13/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
104-95 OT
104
95
+9
78avg 77
H17/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-31
22-9
24-23
19-13
17-17
12-22
26-20
16-31
17-15
21-19
31-27
13-18
8-24
16-23
19-25
11-18
26-23
20-22
20-21
20-24
16-14
17-21
22-23
15-20
23-17
7-27
14-22
14-21
28-15
13-9
23-31
18-16
16-16
24-18
5-17
14-20
15-18
27-23
21-23
16-15
157.1Avg total
74.4Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.783.6162.3-4.933%
Season at home (13)85.684.2169.8+1.562%
Season away (14)72.383.1155.4-10.97%
Last 10 (10)74.482.7157.1-8.340%
Last 5 (5)74.680.4155.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)78.385.4163.7-7.119%
vs Similar (6)78.379.3157.7-1.050%
vs Weaker (2)78.571.0149.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Quimper
#20
L
71-76
71
76
-5
54avg 81
A11/01
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 81
H16/01
Pro B
ASA
#12
W
96-80
96
80
+16
101avg 81
A23/01
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 81
H30/01
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
95-105
95
105
-10
96avg 81
A07/02
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
107-85
107
85
+22
108avg 81
H13/02
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
61avg 81
A17/02
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
91-75
91
75
+16
68avg 81
H06/03
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
99-105
99
105
-6
86avg 81
A13/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
95-72
95
72
+23
97avg 81
H17/03
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
15-22
21-14
19-27
22-24
24-15
20-19
25-19
20-26
27-21
34-23
15-10
19-23
20-23
18-22
21-15
31-27
18-29
19-27
27-22
26-17
17-25
27-11
37-32
18-33
27-20
19-18
13-26
23-21
28-21
23-14
17-19
18-35
33-25
25-21
23-24
23-17
17-13
26-21
29-21
175.5Avg total
90.0Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.684.1168.8+0.552%
Season at home (14)83.880.6164.4+3.257%
Season away (13)85.588.0173.5-2.546%
Last 10 (10)90.085.5175.5+4.550%
Last 5 (5)93.886.8180.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.395.7174.0-17.333%
vs Similar (18)85.585.8171.3-0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.678.4162.0+5.262%
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.1+1.1
CaenNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Challans
#21
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H09/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A16/01
Pro B
Evreux
#19
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H23/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A30/01
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A06/02
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H13/02
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H06/03
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/03
Pro B
74.1Avg total
35.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.677.8-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.038.178.1+1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)36.740.977.6-4.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.838.374.1-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.235.672.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.639.477.0-1.838%-
vs Similar (6)40.840.080.8+0.850%-
vs Weaker (2)37.536.574.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimper
#20
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A11/01
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/01
Pro B
ASA
#12
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A23/01
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H30/01
Pro B
Orleans
#3
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A07/02
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/02
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A17/02
Pro B
Quimper
#20
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H06/03
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A13/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H17/03
Pro B
89.2Avg total
44.2Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.245.686.8-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.243.383.5-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.247.990.1-5.720%-
Last 10 (10)44.245.089.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)46.045.491.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.351.392.7-10.00%-
vs Similar (18)41.846.388.1-4.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.541.080.5-1.525%-
This opponent (Caen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.2
51.9%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.1
27.7%
32.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
71.4%13.6
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
53.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
32.8%26.7
🏀 Free throws26.818.4
68.7%
71.4%18.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caen
WLWLLLLWLW
Nantes
WLWLWLLWWL
#17
League position
#6
-11.8
Net rating
+0.3
85.8
Offensive rating
98.0
97.5
Defensive rating
97.6
47.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
19.0%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
27.7%
3-point %
34.2%
68.0%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.8 · 98.0Defence97.5 · 97.6Shooting47.5% · 53.1%3-point %27.7% · 34.2%Ball care18.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds19.0% · 33.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Caen   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Caen wins
4
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
21/11/25Nantes v Caen87-78
08/04/25Nantes v Caen82-87
29/10/24Caen v Nantes89-77
23/04/19Nantes v Caen90-92 OT
11/01/19Caen v Nantes69-81
24/04/18Nantes v Caen81-74 OT
12/01/18Caen v Nantes91-95 OT
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26HHyeres-Toulon104-95 OT
13/03/26ARouen59-71
06/03/26HAda Blois82-71
17/02/26ADenain-Voltaire58-87
13/02/26HOrleans70-78
06/02/26AVichy86-90
30/01/26APau-Orthez54-90
23/01/26HEvreux82-79
16/01/26AChalons-Reims71-90
09/01/26HChallans78-76
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/26HChalons-Reims95-72
13/03/26AAda Blois99-105
06/03/26HQuimper91-75
17/02/26APau-Orthez77-97
13/02/26HRouen107-85
07/02/26AOrleans95-105
30/01/26HDenain-Voltaire78-83
23/01/26AASA96-80
16/01/26HAda Blois91-77
11/01/26AQuimper71-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caen
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%62%7%
Points / game78.785.672.3
Allowed / game83.684.283.1
Point differential-4.9+1.5-10.9
Avg total162.3169.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%15%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)71% (7)0% (5)
Overtime %7%15%0%
Nantes
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW52%
HomeWLWWW57%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %52%57%46%
Points / game84.683.885.5
Allowed / game84.180.688.0
Point differential+0.5+3.2-2.5
Avg total168.8164.4173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne2722581%89.679.6+10.0
2 Orleans2617965%81.278.0+3.2
3 Ada Blois2617965%82.980.0+2.9
4 Pau-Orthez27171063%87.881.1+6.7
5 Vichy27161159%81.477.3+4.1
6 Denain-Voltaire27161159%85.683.0+2.5
7 Poitiers27151256%82.479.9+2.6
8 Chalons-Reims27151256%81.281.4-0.2
9 La Rochelle27151256%78.379.8-1.5
10 ASA26141254%84.184.3-0.2
11 Nantes27141352%84.684.1+0.5
12 Hyeres-Toulon27141352%85.585.1+0.4
13 Aix Maurienne26131350%85.885.6+0.2
14 Antibes27131448%82.581.3+1.2
15 St. Chamond26121446%86.382.8+3.5
16 Evreux27101737%80.184.9-4.7
17 Rouen27101737%81.086.2-5.2
18 Caen2791833%78.783.6-4.9
19 Quimper2662023%74.985.9-11.0
20 Challans272257%76.086.1-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caen1918151466
Nantes2027171579
← all games of the day
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