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Nantes vs Caen Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-87
23-26 24-25 15-18 20-18
Position#17
Record13-18
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Caen 🏆
France
Position#15
Record15-15
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game80.5
FrancePro BRound 32· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2024-25
Meetings · Nantes v Caen
12 Mar 2027
NANT v CAEN
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
NANT87
CAEN78
08 Apr 2025
NANT82
CAEN87
23 Apr 2019
NANT90
CAEN92
24 Apr 2018
NANT81
CAEN74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
W
81-76
81
76
+5
96avg 95
A31/01
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
99avg 95
A04/02
Pro B
Rouen
#14
W
87-83
87
83
+4
104avg 95
H07/02
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
90-86
90
86
+4
109avg 95
A28/02
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
87avg 95
H07/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
78-73
78
73
+5
89avg 95
A11/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
88-96
88
96
-8
100avg 95
H14/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
85-75
85
75
+10
98avg 95
A21/03
Pro B
Chartres
#21
L
74-84
74
84
-10
90avg 95
H28/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
106avg 95
A04/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-22
18-19
29-16
23-21
20-18
17-23
29-20
27-28
13-17
24-18
23-20
25-17
23-29
18-24
24-16
15-27
22-18
15-20
21-13
17-29
24-17
17-11
20-16
26-23
23-30
12-19
27-24
22-12
23-23
24-24
16-16
20-31
18-26
21-21
15-6
15-13
19-16
33-19
21-27
164.1Avg total
83.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)81.983.9165.8-2.042%
Season at home (15)84.383.3167.7+1.040%
Season away (16)79.684.4164.0-4.844%
Last 10 (10)83.380.8164.1+2.570%
Last 5 (5)82.680.6163.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)79.485.4164.8-6.131%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.285.0170.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (3)85.076.7161.7+8.367%
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCaen
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
64-98
64
98
-34
66avg 88
H24/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
59-79
59
79
-20
63avg 88
A01/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
80-96
80
96
-16
93avg 88
H04/02
Pro B
Evreux
#18
L
79-82
79
82
-3
97avg 88
H08/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
77-67
77
67
+10
94avg 88
A28/02
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
84-72
84
72
+12
100avg 88
H14/03
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 88
A18/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
92-106
92
106
-14
112avg 88
A21/03
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
76-67
76
67
+9
91avg 88
H28/03
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
88avg 88
A04/04
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
18-21
12-26
12-23
12-20
15-20
15-21
17-18
23-29
21-32
26-12
10-23
20-20
18-27
15-13
26-22
19-10
20-25
19-10
19-22
15-13
21-18
30-19
18-22
18-18
18-22
19-25
22-15
30-31
17-27
29-24
16-24
23-22
18-17
21-15
14-13
21-27
22-23
15-22
22-22
160.9Avg total
76.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.380.5157.8-3.250%
Season at home (15)77.980.1158.0-2.153%
Season away (15)76.680.9157.5-4.347%
Last 10 (10)76.884.1160.9-7.330%
Last 5 (5)81.883.8165.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.984.0159.9-8.035%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.572.8149.3+3.767%
vs Weaker (3)82.069.3151.3+12.7100%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: -2.8-2.8
NantesCaen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A31/01
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A04/02
Pro B
Rouen
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H07/02
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/02
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H07/03
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/03
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H14/03
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A21/03
Pro B
Chartres
#21
L
38-57
38
57
-19
H28/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A04/04
Pro B
84.5Avg total
40.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.384.5-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.244.487.6-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)39.542.481.9-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.684.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.085.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.941.881.6-1.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.545.089.5-0.540%-
vs Weaker (3)39.342.782.0-3.333%-
This opponent (Caen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CaenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H24/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A01/02
Pro B
Ada Blois
#3
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H04/02
Pro B
Evreux
#18
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H08/02
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A28/02
Pro B
Chartres
#21
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/03
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A18/03
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A21/03
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H28/03
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A04/04
Pro B
84.1Avg total
39.1Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.178.9-1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.040.779.7-1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)38.639.578.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.145.084.1-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.843.181.9-4.435%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.734.572.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (3)41.332.073.3+9.3100%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.3
49.9%
52.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.7%
33.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws28.021.5
76.8%
73.2%21.5
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caen: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.0
50.5%
52.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.7
32.7%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.312.0
73.6%
73.2%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
WLWLWLWWWW
Caen
LWLLWWLLLL
#17
League position
#15
+3.5
Net rating
-9.8
106.4
Offensive rating
104.6
102.9
Defensive rating
114.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
49.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.47
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.7%
3-point %
32.7%
68.7%
Assist %
70.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 104.6Defence102.9 · 114.4Shooting51.3% · 49.9%3-point %35.7% · 32.7%Ball care20.1% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 32.8%Free throws0.47 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Nantes   ■ Caen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Nantes wins
2
Caen wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24Caen v Nantes89-77
23/04/19Nantes v Caen90-92 OT
11/01/19Caen v Nantes69-81
24/04/18Nantes v Caen81-74 OT
12/01/18Caen v Nantes91-95 OT
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25AAix Maurienne88-75
28/03/25HChartres74-84
21/03/25ADenain-Voltaire85-75
14/03/25HChalons-Reims88-96
11/03/25AHyeres-Toulon78-73
07/03/25HOrleans73-78
28/02/25ASt. Chamond90-86
07/02/25HRouen87-83
04/02/25AEvreux89-82
31/01/25AFos-sur-Mer81-76
Caenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/25AAntibes80-94
28/03/25HRoanne76-67
21/03/25AAix Maurienne92-106
18/03/25AASA77-80
14/03/25HChartres84-72
28/02/25AHyeres-Toulon77-67
08/02/25HEvreux79-82
04/02/25HAda Blois80-96
01/02/25ABoulazac59-79
24/01/25HPau-Orthez64-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW42%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%40%44%
Points / game81.984.379.6
Allowed / game83.983.384.4
Point differential-2.0+1.0-4.8
Avg total165.8167.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)33% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caen
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeLLLWW53%
AwayLWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%53%47%
Points / game77.377.976.6
Allowed / game80.580.180.9
Point differential-3.2-2.1-4.3
Avg total157.8158.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %10%13%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois3122971%86.579.5+6.9
2 Boulazac3122971%80.073.6+6.4
3 Orleans3122971%83.378.3+5.0
4 Roanne31191261%85.982.5+3.4
5 ASA31181358%84.580.7+3.8
6 Aix Maurienne31181358%89.086.4+2.6
7 Pau-Orthez31181358%82.680.3+2.4
8 Poitiers31181358%83.981.7+2.2
9 Antibes31171455%80.079.6+0.4
10 St. Chamond30151550%86.185.0+1.1
11 Caen30151550%77.380.5-3.2
12 Rouen31151648%82.679.8+2.7
13 Denain-Voltaire31151648%80.979.5+1.4
14 Vichy31151648%79.978.8+1.2
15 Nantes31131842%81.983.9-2.0
16 Chalons-Reims31131842%80.584.4-3.9
17 Hyeres-Toulon31102132%74.380.5-6.3
18 Evreux3182326%79.284.7-5.5
19 Fos-sur-Mer3182326%73.581.3-7.8
20 Chartres3182326%77.788.5-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes2324152082
Caen2625181887
← all games of the day
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