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Cafeteros vs Caribbean Storm Islands Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 01:05
Final 82-73
12-21 22-18 27-14 21-20
Position#3
Record14-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#2
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game62.3
ColombiaLBPLBP - Final
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cafeteros v Caribbean Storm Islands
12 Oct 2023
CAFE77
CARI74
01 Jul 2023
CAFE70
CARI92
30 Jun 2023
CAFE82
CARI73
27 May 2023
CAFE90
CARI81
26 May 2023
CAFE88
CARI51
21 May 2022
CAFE117
CARI106
13 May 2022
CAFE93
CARI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caribbean Storm Islands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-73
99
73
+26
90avg 70
H07/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
69-67
69
67
+2
52avg 70
H09/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
65avg 70
A12/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
68avg 70
H15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 70
H16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
92-86
92
86
+6
78avg 70
A19/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
54avg 70
H23/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
65-64
65
64
+1
52avg 70
H24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
61-65
61
65
-4
50avg 70
A27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
54-82
54
82
-28
39avg 70
A28/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-15
25-27
23-14
16-17
18-16
16-16
22-16
13-19
19-22
14-23
24-21
23-18
25-20
16-19
11-12
29-25
24-23
18-11
14-21
28-17
17-26
26-23
24-18
25-19
20-24
17-15
13-26
17-17
13-17
23-18
17-11
12-18
20-25
11-13
15-16
15-11
20-21
10-27
12-19
12-15
150.3Avg total
75.2Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.070.0148.9+9.070%
Season at home (10)83.467.9151.3+15.590%
Season away (10)74.672.0146.6+2.650%
Last 10 (10)75.275.1150.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)67.875.8143.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.784.7164.3-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.372.9146.2+0.456%
vs Weaker (18)87.872.4160.3+15.489%
This opponent (Caribbean Storm Islands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caribbean Storm IslandsColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIslands
Date
Competition
Cafeteros
#3
L
51-88
51
88
-37
37avg 69
A27/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
81-90
81
90
-9
66avg 69
A27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
83-53
83
53
+30
76avg 69
H08/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
72-54
72
54
+18
60avg 69
H08/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 69
A12/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
84-32
84
32
+52
86avg 69
H16/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
W
79-63
79
63
+16
76avg 69
H20/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
W
83-76
83
76
+7
76avg 69
A22/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
65-61
65
61
+4
66avg 69
H27/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
82-54
82
54
+28
82avg 69
H28/06
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
18-19
9-19
12-25
20-19
18-24
14-20
29-27
23-19
18-11
27-14
15-9
23-14
23-9
11-16
15-15
15-18
21-23
27-13
16-15
21-6
26-5
23-16
14-5
22-15
20-16
13-17
24-15
20-24
18-17
24-15
21-20
25-20
13-11
16-15
11-15
21-20
27-10
19-12
15-12
139.9Avg total
75.9Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.462.3136.8+12.183%
Season at home (10)72.855.3128.1+17.590%
Season away (8)76.571.1147.6+5.475%
Last 10 (10)75.964.0139.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)78.657.2135.8+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.570.9142.5+0.655%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.872.9147.7+1.967%
vs Weaker (10)75.454.7130.1+20.7100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
CafeterosCaribbean Storm Islands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
60-42
60
42
+18
H07/06
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H09/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A12/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H23/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A28/06
LBP
78.8Avg total
38.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.378.1+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.137.982.0+6.275%-
Last 30 away (14)36.936.673.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.178.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.441.877.2-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.044.782.7-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.638.975.4-2.344%-
vs Weaker (18)43.335.378.6+8.183%-
This opponent (Caribbean Storm Islands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caribbean Storm IslandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cafeteros
#3
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A27/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H08/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H08/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A12/06
LBP
Bucaros
#5
W
47-11
47
11
+36
H16/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H20/06
LBP
Titanes de Barranquilla
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A22/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H27/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H28/06
LBP
72.9Avg total
40.4Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.070.8+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.830.868.6+7.174%-
Last 30 away (11)37.936.774.6+1.245%-
Last 10 (10)40.432.572.9+7.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.628.871.4+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.535.571.0-0.155%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.836.776.4+3.156%-
vs Weaker (10)38.826.865.6+12.080%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.317.7
43.9%
48.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.98.4
27.2%
31.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.414.3
66.8%
66.7%14.3
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caribbean Storm Islandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caribbean Storm Islands: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.1
49.4%
48.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.0
30.0%
31.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.610.1
69.2%
66.7%10.1
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
LLWLWWWLWW
Caribbean Storm Islands
WWWWWWWWLL
#3
League position
#2
+0.0
Net rating
+16.7
95.8
Offensive rating
100.5
95.8
Defensive rating
83.8
42.6%
Effective FG%
47.5%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
42.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.21
27.2%
3-point %
30.0%
46.0%
Assist %
70.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 100.5Defence95.8 · 83.8Shooting42.6% · 47.5%3-point %27.2% · 30.0%Ball care16.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.8% · 29.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Caribbean Storm Islands
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands54-82
27/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands61-65
24/06/23HPiratas de Bogota65-64
23/06/23HPiratas de Bogota67-82
19/06/23APiratas de Bogota92-86
16/06/23HMotilones del Norte84-72
15/06/23HMotilones del Norte81-76
12/06/23AMotilones del Norte80-84
09/06/23HCimarrones del Choco69-67
07/06/23HCimarrones del Choco99-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/23HCafeteros82-54
27/06/23HCafeteros65-61
22/06/23ATitanes de Barranquilla83-76
20/06/23HTitanes de Barranquilla79-63
16/06/23HBucaros84-32
12/06/23ABucaros79-69
08/06/23HSabios de Manizales72-54
08/06/23HSabios de Manizales83-53
27/05/23ACafeteros81-90
27/05/23ACafeteros51-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL70%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game79.083.474.6
Allowed / game70.067.972.0
Point differential+9.1+15.5+2.6
Avg total148.9151.3146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caribbean Storm Islands
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %83%90%75%
Points / game74.472.876.5
Allowed / game62.355.371.1
Point differential+12.1+17.5+5.4
Avg total136.8128.1147.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caribbean Storm Islands1815383%74.462.3+12.1
2 Titanes de Barranquilla1813572%81.969.5+12.4
3 Cafeteros2014670%79.070.0+9.1
4 Piratas de Bogota2214864%79.172.5+6.6
5 Bucaros1810856%73.170.8+2.3
6 Motilones del Norte1971237%75.275.0+0.2
7 Cimarrones del Choco1551033%67.571.7-4.2
8 Sabios de Manizales121118%64.986.2-21.2
9 Corsarios Cartagena160160%53.084.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros1222272182
Caribbean Storm Islands2118142073
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