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Cimarrones del Choco vs Cafeteros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 46-80
7-21 12-28 14-17 13-14
Position#7
Record5-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game72.2
Cimarrones del Choco
Colombia
vs
Cafeteros 🏆
Colombia
Position#3
Record16-7
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game70.3
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin (Quibdo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros
29 Sep 2023
CIMA46
CAFE80
18 May 2023
CIMA63
CAFE55
17 May 2023
CIMA50
CAFE65
19 Nov 2021
CIMA68
CAFE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
62-78
62
78
-16
44avg 54
H23/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
52-75
52
75
-23
25avg 54
H24/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 54
A30/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
106-89
106
89
+17
108avg 54
A31/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
73-99
73
99
-26
45avg 54
A07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
67-69
67
69
-2
59avg 54
A09/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
68avg 54
H11/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
59-67
59
67
-8
37avg 54
A16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
67avg 54
A17/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
58avg 54
A27/09
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
11-10
20-21
16-18
9-25
17-20
17-17
9-13
22-25
15-20
28-20
18-26
18-14
32-20
24-21
32-34
15-35
27-25
14-23
17-16
16-18
16-16
16-22
19-13
15-11
14-28
16-14
36-21
14-18
8-19
15-15
22-15
15-29
25-26
25-14
21-25
25-13
21-23
14-23
12-21
155.7Avg total
74.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.872.2140.1-4.431%
Season at home (7)63.764.1127.9-0.457%
Season away (9)71.078.6149.6-7.611%
Last 10 (10)74.181.6155.7-7.520%
Last 5 (5)73.076.8149.8-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)62.472.2134.5-9.818%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (19)80.070.1150.1+9.968%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
81-76
81
76
+5
68avg 70
H15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 70
H16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
92-86
92
86
+6
78avg 70
A19/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
67-82
67
82
-15
54avg 70
H23/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
65-64
65
64
+1
52avg 70
H24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
61-65
61
65
-4
50avg 70
A27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
54-82
54
82
-28
39avg 70
A28/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
75avg 70
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 70
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
74-52
74
52
+22
72avg 70
H25/09
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
16-19
11-12
29-25
24-23
18-11
14-21
28-17
17-26
26-23
24-18
25-19
20-24
17-15
13-26
17-17
13-17
23-18
17-11
12-18
20-25
11-13
15-16
15-11
20-21
10-27
12-19
12-15
12-21
22-18
27-14
21-20
17-26
12-30
21-18
20-18
24-14
10-16
19-11
21-11
147.4Avg total
73.0Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.570.3148.8+8.370%
Season at home (13)81.568.9150.5+12.685%
Season away (10)74.672.0146.6+2.650%
Last 10 (10)73.074.4147.4-1.460%
Last 5 (5)68.272.8141.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.784.7164.3-5.00%
vs Similar (11)73.874.6148.5-0.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.269.2154.4+16.188%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
Cimarrones del ChocoCafeteros
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H23/05
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H24/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A31/05
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A07/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H11/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A17/06
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/09
LBP
77.4Avg total
35.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.435.571.0-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.932.868.7+3.156%-
Last 30 away (14)34.938.673.6-3.729%-
Last 10 (10)35.042.477.4-7.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.274.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)28.338.767.0-10.50%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (19)39.633.773.3+5.968%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H15/06
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H16/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H23/06
LBP
Piratas de Bogota
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H24/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A27/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A28/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/09
LBP
76.4Avg total
35.7Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.877.4+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.938.880.7+3.169%-
Last 30 away (14)36.936.673.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)35.740.776.4-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.642.273.8-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.044.782.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (11)35.640.576.1-4.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.634.777.2+7.988%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.120.5
45.5%
48.8%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.4%
31.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws15.710.7
68.2%
66.7%10.7
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.916.7
44.1%
48.8%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.6
30.4%
31.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.913.7
65.6%
66.7%13.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
LLLWLLWLLL
Cafeteros
WLWLLWLWWW
#7
League position
#3
-9.6
Net rating
-0.9
91.1
Offensive rating
95.4
100.6
Defensive rating
96.3
46.5%
Effective FG%
44.7%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.4%
3-point %
30.4%
46.6%
Assist %
49.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 95.4Defence100.6 · 96.3Shooting46.5% · 44.7%3-point %32.4% · 30.4%Ball care19.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds22.8% · 30.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Cafeteros
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cimarrones del Choco wins
5
Cafeteros wins
DateGameScore
09/06/23Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco69-67
07/06/23Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco99-73
18/05/23Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros63-55
17/05/23Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros50-65
20/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco75-80
19/11/21Cimarrones del Choco v Cafeteros68-73
17/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco57-71
03/11/21Cafeteros v Cimarrones del Choco69-66
Cimarrones del Chocolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/23ASabios de Manizales72-80
17/06/23APiratas de Bogota86-94
16/06/23APiratas de Bogota59-67
11/06/23HPiratas de Bogota81-74
09/06/23ACafeteros67-69
07/06/23ACafeteros73-99
31/05/23ASabios de Manizales106-89
30/05/23ASabios de Manizales83-91
24/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands52-75
23/05/23HCaribbean Storm Islands62-78
Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/23HTigrillos de Antioqui74-52
02/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands70-92
01/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands82-73
28/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands54-82
27/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands61-65
24/06/23HPiratas de Bogota65-64
23/06/23HPiratas de Bogota67-82
19/06/23APiratas de Bogota92-86
16/06/23HMotilones del Norte84-72
15/06/23HMotilones del Norte81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLWLLW57%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%57%11%
Points / game67.863.771.0
Allowed / game72.264.178.6
Point differential-4.4-0.4-7.6
Avg total140.1127.9149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW70%
HomeLWWLW85%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %70%85%50%
Points / game78.581.574.6
Allowed / game70.368.972.0
Point differential+8.3+12.6+2.6
Avg total148.8150.5146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%46%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caribbean Storm Islands2218482%76.563.8+12.7
2 Titanes de Barranquilla2116576%83.469.8+13.6
3 Cafeteros2316770%78.570.3+8.3
4 Piratas de Bogota2516964%80.673.0+7.6
5 Bucaros21111052%75.372.9+2.5
6 Motilones del Norte2291341%75.675.5+0.1
7 Tigrillos de Antioqui31233%60.371.0-10.7
8 Cimarrones del Choco1651131%67.872.2-4.4
9 Sabios de Manizales1521313%65.984.9-19.1
10 Corsarios Cartagena180180%55.485.8-30.4
11 Condores de Cundinamarca2020%80.0111.0-31.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco712141346
Cafeteros2128171480
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