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Cafeteros vs Caribbean Storm Islands Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-74
15-13 14-21 25-18 23-22
Position#3
Record22-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#2
Record22-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game66.0
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Evangelista Mora (Cali)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cafeteros v Caribbean Storm Islands
12 Oct 2023
CAFE77
CARI74
01 Jul 2023
CAFE70
CARI92
30 Jun 2023
CAFE82
CARI73
27 May 2023
CAFE90
CARI81
26 May 2023
CAFE88
CARI51
21 May 2022
CAFE117
CARI106
13 May 2022
CAFE93
CARI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cafeteros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Caribbean Storm Islands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CafeterosColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCafeteros
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
54-82
54
82
-28
39avg 71
A28/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
82-73
82
73
+9
75avg 71
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
70-92
70
92
-22
58avg 71
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
74-52
74
52
+22
72avg 71
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-46
80
46
+34
79avg 71
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-61
100
61
+39
38avg 71
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
W
78-71
78
71
+7
67avg 71
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
81-46
81
46
+35
78avg 71
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 71
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
100-55
100
55
+45
104avg 71
A11/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
10-27
12-19
12-15
12-21
22-18
27-14
21-20
17-26
12-30
21-18
20-18
24-14
10-16
19-11
21-11
21-7
28-12
17-14
14-13
29-18
29-20
26-11
16-12
16-20
16-23
21-13
25-15
24-15
20-10
16-16
21-5
21-22
20-21
18-15
22-13
15-10
28-20
31-8
26-17
144.9Avg total
80.0Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)80.267.8148.0+12.476%
Season at home (15)82.768.5151.3+14.287%
Season away (14)77.567.0144.5+10.564%
Last 10 (10)80.064.9144.9+15.180%
Last 5 (5)88.060.8148.8+27.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.091.0181.0-1.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.274.3148.5-0.258%
vs Weaker (17)84.563.2147.6+21.388%
This opponent (Caribbean Storm Islands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caribbean Storm IslandsColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIslands
Date
Competition
Cafeteros
#3
W
82-54
82
54
+28
82avg 73
H28/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 73
A01/07
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
92-70
92
70
+22
89avg 73
A02/07
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
84avg 73
H25/09
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
88-51
88
51
+37
88avg 73
A26/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
97-75
97
75
+22
96avg 73
H30/09
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
L
71-78
71
78
-7
69avg 73
H03/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
112-57
112
57
+55
113avg 73
A05/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
111-106 OT
111
106
+5
no box
H06/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
66-63
66
63
+3
60avg 73
A11/10
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-10
19-12
15-12
21-12
18-22
14-27
20-21
26-17
30-12
18-21
18-20
29-22
13-17
19-20
29-19
18-15
25-13
22-15
23-8
30-19
20-21
23-22
24-13
20-16
23-16
13-21
15-25
28-20
28-13
33-16
23-8
19-38
28-20
26-22
25-18
17-14
16-19
16-19
17-11
159.6Avg total
88.2Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.366.0145.3+13.381%
Season at home (14)78.463.6141.9+14.886%
Season away (13)80.268.6148.8+11.677%
Last 10 (10)88.271.4159.6+16.880%
Last 5 (5)91.475.8167.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.879.6155.4-3.840%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.374.0147.3-0.744%
vs Weaker (16)82.461.1143.4+21.3100%
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +5.4+5.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +5.4+5.4
CafeterosCaribbean Storm Islands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CafeterosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A28/06
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H01/07
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
29-56
29
56
-27
H02/07
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H25/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
49-19
49
19
+30
A29/09
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H01/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#2
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A03/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A05/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A11/10
LBP
76.5Avg total
39.4Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.776.7+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.938.180.0+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)37.935.173.0+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.176.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.635.879.4+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.048.088.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.340.776.0-5.333%-
vs Weaker (17)43.433.276.6+10.188%-
This opponent (Caribbean Storm Islands) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Caribbean Storm IslandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cafeteros
#3
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H28/06
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A01/07
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
56-29
56
29
+27
A02/07
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H25/09
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A26/09
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H30/09
LBP
Cafeteros
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#10
W
56-33
56
33
+23
A05/10
LBP
Tigrillos de Antioqui
#8
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H06/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A11/10
LBP
81.3Avg total
45.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.633.474.0+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.931.671.5+8.481%-
Last 30 away (14)41.335.576.8+5.857%-
Last 10 (10)45.735.681.3+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.839.285.0+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.639.077.6-0.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.634.274.8+6.367%-
vs Weaker (16)41.231.272.4+10.075%-
This opponent (Cafeteros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cafeterostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cafeteros: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.6
54.6%
48.8%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.3
33.1%
31.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.110.1
66.9%
66.7%10.1
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Caribbean Storm Islandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caribbean Storm Islands: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.5 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.921.3
49.7%
48.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.9
38.9%
31.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
66.7%13.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cafeteros
WWWWWWWLWL
Caribbean Storm Islands
WWWLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#2
+20.2
Net rating
+20.9
104.5
Offensive rating
108.6
84.3
Defensive rating
87.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.7%
41.7%
Opp. effective FG%
42.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.4%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.1%
3-point %
38.9%
59.5%
Assist %
59.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 108.6Defence84.3 · 87.7Shooting52.5% · 52.7%3-point %33.1% · 38.9%Ball care17.9% · 18.4%Off. rebounds26.6% · 33.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Cafeteros   ■ Caribbean Storm Islands
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Cafeteroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23ASabios de Manizales100-55
09/10/23HCimarrones del Choco81-71
05/10/23ATigrillos de Antioqui81-46
03/10/23ACaribbean Storm Islands78-71
01/10/23HSabios de Manizales100-61
29/09/23ACimarrones del Choco80-46
25/09/23HTigrillos de Antioqui74-52
02/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands70-92
01/07/23HCaribbean Storm Islands82-73
28/06/23ACaribbean Storm Islands54-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23ACimarrones del Choco66-63
06/10/23HTigrillos de Antioqui111-106 OT
05/10/23ASabios de Manizales112-57
03/10/23HCafeteros71-78
30/09/23HCimarrones del Choco97-75
26/09/23ATigrillos de Antioqui88-51
25/09/23HSabios de Manizales90-78
02/07/23ACafeteros92-70
01/07/23ACafeteros73-82
28/06/23HCafeteros82-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cafeteros
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayLWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %76%87%64%
Points / game80.282.777.5
Allowed / game67.868.567.0
Point differential+12.4+14.2+10.5
Avg total148.0151.3144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Caribbean Storm Islands
LBP 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayLWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %81%86%77%
Points / game79.378.480.2
Allowed / game66.063.668.6
Point differential+13.3+14.8+11.6
Avg total145.3141.9148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%64%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Titanes de Barranquilla2722581%88.972.5+16.4
2 Caribbean Storm Islands2722581%79.366.0+13.3
3 Cafeteros2922776%80.267.8+12.4
4 Piratas de Bogota31201165%81.475.6+5.8
5 Bucaros28151354%78.175.0+3.1
6 Motilones del Norte28121643%77.676.0+1.6
7 Cimarrones del Choco2271532%68.473.6-5.2
8 Tigrillos de Antioqui72529%71.682.4-10.9
9 Corsarios Cartagena2632312%63.885.5-21.7
10 Sabios de Manizales2021810%65.988.2-22.3
11 Condores de Cundinamarca9090%71.2101.4-30.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cafeteros1514252377
Caribbean Storm Islands1321182274
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