Cairns Marlins vs Rockhampton Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Jul 2025

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 80-83

20-22 26-16 14-28 20-17

Position#12

Record3-9

FormLLWLL

Points / game86.9

Allowed / game100.0

Cairns Marlins

Rockhampton Rockets 🏆

Position#8

Record5-6

FormLLLWW

Points / game93.4

Allowed / game94.4

NBL1 North

Other2025

Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Rockhampton Rockets

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Rockhampton Rockets winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns Marlins Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Logan Thunder

#10

89-85

A10/05

NBL1 North

Brisbane Capitals

75-111

111

-36

H17/05

NBL1 North

Rockhampton Rockets

81-109

109

-28

A30/05

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

103-108 OT

103

108

-5

A31/05

NBL1 North

Sunshine Coast Phoenix

63-79

-16

H06/06

NBL1 North

Southern District

90-104

104

-14

H14/06

NBL1 North

Northside Wizards

91-102

102

-11

H20/06

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

93-90

H06/07

NBL1 North

South West Metro Pirates

77-92

-15

A12/07

NBL1 North

Ipswich Force

96-110

110

-14

A13/07

NBL1 North

26-24

23-21

21-24

19-16

16-22

19-28

16-30

24-31

23-31

21-20

13-30

24-28

26-18

25-27

18-19

25-30

10-22

16-20

19-23

18-14

25-17

21-22

22-36

22-29

20-23

32-23

24-27

15-29

22-14

20-22

27-19

24-35

22-27

23-27

19-19

13-19

16-30

24-28

29-27

27-25

184.8Avg total

85.8Scored

99.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	86.9	100.0	186.9	-13.1	25%
Season at home (5)	82.4	97.2	179.6	-14.8	20%
Season away (7)	90.1	102.0	192.1	-11.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	85.8	99.0	184.8	-13.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	89.4	99.6	189.0	-10.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	85.9	98.7	184.6	-12.7	26%
vs Similar (6)	90.3	89.5	179.8	+0.8	67%
vs Weaker (1)	104.0	86.0	190.0	+18.0	100%

This opponent (Rockhampton Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rockhampton Rockets Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville Heat

#11

67-89

-22

H09/05

NBL1 North

Gold Coast Rollers

103-98

103

H24/05

NBL1 North

Cairns Marlins

#12

109-81

109

+28

H30/05

NBL1 North

Northside Wizards

81-90

-9

A06/06

NBL1 North

Southern District

117-96

117

+21

A07/06

NBL1 North

Brisbane Capitals

90-99

-9

A08/06

NBL1 North

South West Metro Pirates

100-106

100

106

-6

H15/06

NBL1 North

Sunshine Coast Phoenix

85-112

112

-27

A21/06

NBL1 North

Ipswich Force

103-87

103

+16

H28/06

NBL1 North

Logan Thunder

#10

93-81

+12

H12/07

NBL1 North

20-16

15-22

14-34

18-17

28-18

28-37

16-24

31-19

31-23

20-21

30-13

28-24

20-26

10-23

22-16

29-25

35-30

29-22

26-20

27-24

27-25

19-23

14-24

30-27

30-23

28-28

23-24

19-31

25-38

19-27

24-17

17-30

37-22

23-16

14-30

29-19

20-22

23-27

26-17

24-15

188.7Avg total

94.8Scored

93.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	93.4	94.4	187.7	-1.0	45%
Season at home (6)	95.8	90.3	186.2	+5.5	67%
Season away (5)	90.4	99.2	189.6	-8.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	94.8	93.9	188.7	+0.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	94.2	97.0	191.2	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	101.1	106.0	207.1	-4.9	38%
vs Similar (11)	88.9	92.9	181.8	-4.0	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	102.1	90.6	192.7	+11.5	82%

This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Cairns MarlinsRockhampton Rockets

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	24.5	45.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.5	44.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	26.2	47.3	-5.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	22.8	43.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.5	25.2	45.7	-4.7	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.3	22.5	45.8	+0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	20.0	53.0	+13.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.8	25.7	51.5	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.9	25.3	52.2	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.6	26.2	50.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.3	24.3	51.6	+3.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	26.0	53.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	27.9	31.1	59.0	-3.2	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.8	24.3	48.1	-0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	26.2	23.3	49.5	+2.9	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	23.3	46.0	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	22.3	45.4	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	24.1	46.5	-1.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.8	46.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	24.4	48.4	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	22.3	24.1	46.4	-1.7	35%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.7	20.5	44.2	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	21.0	47.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	25.2	47.5	-2.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	24.7	48.3	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	25.7	46.7	-4.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	24.6	46.0	-3.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	24.2	46.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.8	28.4	52.1	-4.6	12%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.5	24.5	44.0	-5.1	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	24.1	23.5	47.6	+0.5	36%	-

Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Logan Thunder

#10

49-45

A10/05

NBL1 North

Brisbane Capitals

35-50

-15

H17/05

NBL1 North

Rockhampton Rockets

44-51

-7

A30/05

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

51-45

A31/05

NBL1 North

Sunshine Coast Phoenix

26-42

-16

H06/06

NBL1 North

Southern District

46-39

H14/06

NBL1 North

Northside Wizards

52-46

H20/06

NBL1 North

Mackay Meteors

42-36

H06/07

NBL1 North

South West Metro Pirates

45-54

-9

A12/07

NBL1 North

Ipswich Force

40-58

-18

A13/07

NBL1 North

89.6Avg total

43.0Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	47.7	91.9	-3.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	44.8	89.8	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.5	50.3	93.8	-6.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	46.6	89.6	-3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	46.6	91.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	42.8	49.3	92.1	-6.4	35%	-
vs Similar (6)	47.0	43.0	90.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	59.0	41.0	100.0	+18.0	100%	-

This opponent (Rockhampton Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Rockhampton RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Townsville Heat

#11

35-38

-3

H09/05

NBL1 North

Gold Coast Rollers

56-55

H24/05

NBL1 North

Cairns Marlins

#12

51-44

H30/05

NBL1 North

Northside Wizards

30-49

-19

A06/06

NBL1 North

Southern District

64-52

+12

A07/06

NBL1 North

Brisbane Capitals

46-48

-2

A08/06

NBL1 North

South West Metro Pirates

58-51

H15/06

NBL1 North

Sunshine Coast Phoenix

44-65

-21

A21/06

NBL1 North

Ipswich Force

60-38

+22

H28/06

NBL1 North

Logan Thunder

#10

43-49

-6

H12/07

NBL1 North

97.6Avg total

48.7Scored

48.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.1	50.9	99.0	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	50.5	50.0	100.5	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.7	51.9	97.5	-6.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.7	48.9	97.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	50.2	100.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	51.6	59.5	111.1	-7.9	25%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.3	48.8	92.1	-5.5	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	50.3	46.8	97.1	+3.5	55%	-

This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	23.0	44.3	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	22.0	44.8	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	23.9	43.9	-4.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	25.4	46.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.6	49.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	20.6	24.3	44.9	-3.8	35%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	83%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	20.7	43.6	+2.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.4	42.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.0	22.9	45.9	+0.1	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	21.4	42.8	+0.1	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	23.5	20.3	43.7	+3.2	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	24.6	46.1	-3.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	26.6	46.8	-6.5	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	22.8	45.5	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	25.6	46.7	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	27.4	47.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	22.0	23.7	45.7	-1.7	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.2	27.5	47.7	-7.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	28.0	47.0	-9.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.3	23.3	49.6	+3.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	22.4	47.3	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.7	24.1	51.9	+3.6	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	23.1	48.3	+2.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.4	48.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	26.5	23.6	50.1	+2.9	75%	-
vs Similar (11)	24.2	22.7	46.9	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	28.4	23.5	51.9	+4.8	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	47.6	90.4	-4.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.9	48.6	91.6	-5.7	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.6	46.8	89.4	-4.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	51.0	92.9	-9.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	53.0	97.4	-8.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	42.5	48.0	90.6	-5.5	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.3	46.5	89.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	45.0	90.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.9	44.6	93.6	+4.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.3	44.4	91.7	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	50.6	44.9	95.5	+5.7	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	45.0	91.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	46.8	90.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	49.5	46.5	96.0	+3.0	62%	-
vs Similar (11)	45.6	44.1	89.7	+1.5	64%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	51.8	43.8	95.6	+8.0	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns Marlins wins

Rockhampton Rockets wins

Date	Game	Score
30/05/25	Rockhampton Rockets v Cairns Marlins	109-81
06/07/24	Rockhampton Rockets v Cairns Marlins	94-91
09/06/24	Cairns Marlins v Rockhampton Rockets	90-82
01/07/23	Cairns Marlins v Rockhampton Rockets	91-90
28/05/23	Rockhampton Rockets v Cairns Marlins	79-82
28/05/22	Cairns Marlins v Rockhampton Rockets	103-97
07/05/22	Rockhampton Rockets v Cairns Marlins	97-83
01/08/21	Rockhampton Rockets v Cairns Marlins	89-86
04/06/21	Cairns Marlins v Rockhampton Rockets	92-85

Cairns Marlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/07/25	A	Ipswich Force	96-110
12/07/25	A	South West Metro Pirates	77-92
06/07/25	H	Mackay Meteors	93-90
20/06/25	H	Northside Wizards	91-102
14/06/25	H	Southern District	90-104
06/06/25	H	Sunshine Coast Phoenix	63-79
31/05/25	A	Mackay Meteors	103-108 OT
30/05/25	A	Rockhampton Rockets	81-109
17/05/25	H	Brisbane Capitals	75-111
10/05/25	A	Logan Thunder	89-85

Rockhampton Rocketslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/07/25	H	Logan Thunder	93-81
28/06/25	H	Ipswich Force	103-87
21/06/25	A	Sunshine Coast Phoenix	85-112
15/06/25	H	South West Metro Pirates	100-106
08/06/25	A	Brisbane Capitals	90-99
07/06/25	A	Southern District	117-96
06/06/25	A	Northside Wizards	81-90
30/05/25	H	Cairns Marlins	109-81
24/05/25	H	Gold Coast Rollers	103-98
09/05/25	H	Townsville Heat	67-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins

NBL1 North 2025

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	25%
Home	LLLLW	20%
Away	WLLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	25%	20%	29%
Points / game	86.9	82.4	90.1
Allowed / game	100.0	97.2	102.0
Point differential	-13.1	-14.8	-11.9
Avg total	186.9	179.6	192.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	8%	0%	14%

Rockhampton Rockets

NBL1 North 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	45%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	45%	67%	20%
Points / game	93.4	95.8	90.4
Allowed / game	94.4	90.3	99.2
Point differential	-1.0	+5.5	-8.8
Avg total	187.7	186.2	189.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brisbane Capitals	12	8	4	67%	100.4	92.7	+7.8
2	Sunshine Coast Phoenix	12	8	4	67%	91.7	87.0	+4.7
3	Mackay Meteors	13	8	5	62%	97.1	94.7	+2.4
4	Gold Coast Rollers	12	7	5	58%	96.9	93.1	+3.8
5	Ipswich Force	13	7	6	54%	96.6	97.7	-1.1
6	Southern District	13	7	6	54%	94.8	97.0	-2.2
7	South West Metro Pirates	12	6	6	50%	91.3	91.2	+0.2
8	Northside Wizards	13	6	7	46%	86.7	86.8	-0.2
9	Rockhampton Rockets	11	5	6	45%	93.4	94.4	-1.0
10	Logan Thunder	13	5	8	38%	95.8	96.2	-0.4
11	Townsville Heat	12	4	8	33%	87.4	88.2	-0.8
12	Cairns Marlins	12	3	9	25%	86.9	100.0	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns Marlins	20	26	14	20	80
Rockhampton Rockets	22	16	28	17	83

← all games of the day

Cairns Marlins vs Rockhampton Rockets Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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