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Cairns Marlins vs Southern District Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 90-104
25-17 21-22 22-36 22-29
Position#12
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game100.3
vs
Position#1
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game93.4
Allowed / game100.9
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Cairns Marlins v Southern District
14 Jun 2025
CAIR90
SOUT104
06 May 2023
CAIR70
SOUT98
11 Jun 2021
CAIR85
SOUT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Marlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern District winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns MarlinsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
75-129
75
129
-54
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
95-87
95
87
+8
H12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
84-111
84
111
-27
A03/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
101-99
101
99
+2
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
75-111
75
111
-36
H17/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
81-109
81
109
-28
A30/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
A31/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H06/06
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
24-29
6-46
24-25
31-30
21-19
13-20
26-25
30-21
34-15
16-14
15-37
21-20
24-40
23-30
16-21
18-35
22-22
32-22
29-20
26-24
23-21
21-24
19-16
16-22
19-28
16-30
24-31
23-31
21-20
13-30
24-28
26-18
25-27
18-19
25-30
10-22
16-20
19-23
18-14
186.9Avg total
85.7Scored
101.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.1100.3185.4-15.129%
Season at home (2)69.095.0164.0-26.00%
Season away (5)91.6102.4194.0-10.840%
Last 10 (10)85.7101.2186.9-15.530%
Last 5 (5)82.298.4180.6-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)88.298.5186.7-10.435%
vs Similar (8)92.289.8182.0+2.562%
vs Weaker (2)97.588.0185.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Southern District) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern DistrictAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
85-112
85
112
-27
A13/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
93-69
93
69
+24
A20/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A27/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
110-109
110
109
+1
A02/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
83-89
83
89
-6
H10/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H17/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
107-114
107
114
-7
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
96-117
96
117
-21
H07/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
95-103
95
103
-8
A13/06
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-32
17-24
20-33
16-23
32-19
14-14
21-27
26-9
23-23
24-29
22-20
21-28
27-29
22-27
32-27
29-26
9-30
27-17
23-24
21-24
13-21
25-19
19-26
26-23
15-30
24-17
21-17
23-15
32-32
24-21
30-34
21-27
30-35
22-29
20-26
24-27
26-37
24-23
27-22
18-21
190.9Avg total
92.2Scored
98.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.4100.9194.3-7.429%
Season at home (3)87.395.0182.3-7.733%
Season away (4)98.0105.2203.2-7.225%
Last 10 (10)92.298.7190.9-6.530%
Last 5 (5)92.8100.4193.2-7.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.2101.2187.5-15.00%
vs Similar (13)91.789.1180.8+2.654%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)93.587.9181.5+5.662%
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -8.1-8.1Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Cairns MarlinsSouthern District
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns MarlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A05/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#6
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A06/07
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#10
W
64-36
64
36
+28
H12/07
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A03/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A09/05
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A10/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H17/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A30/05
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A31/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H06/06
NBL1 North
94.4Avg total
45.1Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.148.494.5-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.747.494.1-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)45.549.594.9-4.040%-
Last 10 (10)45.149.394.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.046.687.6-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)44.650.294.8-5.635%-
vs Similar (8)46.943.890.6+3.162%-
vs Weaker (2)58.049.0107.0+9.050%-
This opponent (Southern District) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern DistrictLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A13/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A20/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A27/07
NBL1 North
Logan Thunder
#10
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A02/05
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H10/05
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/05
NBL1 North
Brisbane Capitals
#4
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
52-64
52
64
-12
H07/06
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A13/06
NBL1 North
97.0Avg total
46.2Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.244.790.9+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.243.487.6+0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)47.845.793.5+2.147%-
Last 10 (10)46.250.897.0-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)47.052.899.8-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.047.093.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (13)44.243.587.7+0.846%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.345.293.5+3.146%-
This opponent (Cairns Marlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cairns Marlins wins
3
Southern District wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix63-79
31/05/25AMackay Meteors103-108 OT
30/05/25ARockhampton Rockets81-109
17/05/25HBrisbane Capitals75-111
10/05/25ALogan Thunder89-85
09/05/25AGold Coast Rollers101-99
03/05/25ATownsville Heat84-111
12/07/24HIpswich Force95-87
06/07/24ARockhampton Rockets91-94
05/07/24AMackay Meteors75-129
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/06/25ATownsville Heat95-103
07/06/25HRockhampton Rockets96-117
31/05/25ABrisbane Capitals107-114
17/05/25HNorthside Wizards83-79
10/05/25HBrisbane Capitals83-89
03/05/25ASunshine Coast Phoenix80-95
02/05/25ALogan Thunder110-109
27/07/24AMackay Meteors90-100
20/07/24ALogan Thunder93-69
13/07/24AMackay Meteors85-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Marlins
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%0%40%
Points / game85.169.091.6
Allowed / game100.395.0102.4
Point differential-15.1-26.0-10.8
Avg total185.4164.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %14%0%20%
Southern District
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game93.487.398.0
Allowed / game100.995.0105.2
Point differential-7.4-7.7-7.2
Avg total194.3182.3203.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brisbane Capitals76186%96.384.9+11.4
2 Sunshine Coast Phoenix86275%90.481.2+9.1
3 Mackay Meteors64267%100.397.7+2.7
4 Logan Thunder84450%97.693.9+3.8
5 Townsville Heat84450%89.686.8+2.9
6 Northside Wizards84450%85.885.1+0.6
7 Ipswich Force84450%90.192.8-2.6
8 Gold Coast Rollers73443%97.196.4+0.7
9 Rockhampton Rockets73443%92.393.1-0.9
10 Southern District72529%93.4100.9-7.4
11 Cairns Marlins72529%85.1100.3-15.1
12 South West Metro Pirates51420%88.097.4-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Marlins2521222290
Southern District17223629104
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