Cairns vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 77-94

14-23 31-24 17-27 15-20

Position#4

Record14-10

FormWWLWW

Points / game72.3

Allowed / game73.5

Cairns

Gold Coast 🏆

Position#3

Record13-9

FormWWLWW

Points / game84.4

Allowed / game79.2

NBL

Other2011-12

Meetings · Cairns v Gold Coast

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gold Coast winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

72-67

A07/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

61-59

A13/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

74-80

-6

H20/01

NBL

Adelaide

87-75

+12

A22/01

NBL

Gold Coast

49-76

-27

A29/01

NBL

Townsville

85-81

H03/02

NBL

Perth

76-67

H10/02

NBL

Townsville

43-75

-32

A17/02

NBL

Melbourne United

77-56

+21

H18/02

NBL

Perth

83-78

A26/02

NBL

18-16

16-21

15-13

23-17

14-12

7-21

25-8

15-18

19-24

20-18

9-20

26-18

12-24

27-11

18-18

30-22

14-21

9-19

14-23

12-13

22-15

20-23

18-21

25-22

10-12

19-14

28-15

19-26

8-16

13-22

13-24

9-13

27-15

22-16

20-14

8-11

20-18

18-31

26-9

19-20

142.1Avg total

70.7Scored

71.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	72.3	73.5	145.8	-1.2	58%
Season at home (11)	76.5	71.7	148.2	+4.7	73%
Season away (13)	68.8	75.0	143.8	-6.2	46%
Last 10 (10)	70.7	71.4	142.1	-0.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	72.8	71.4	144.2	+1.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	74.3	74.6	148.9	-0.2	67%
vs Similar (21)	72.0	73.6	145.6	-1.6	52%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

96-102

102

-6

A07/01

NBL

Perth

80-92

-12

A13/01

NBL

Melbourne United

73-60

+13

A15/01

NBL

Melbourne United

92-78

+14

H21/01

NBL

Cairns

76-49

+27

H29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-50

+41

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

84-72

+12

A10/02

NBL

Townsville

66-80

-14

H19/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

94-86

A24/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

85-72

+13

H26/02

NBL

27-24

28-33

20-21

21-24

22-21

14-25

21-22

23-24

18-15

23-18

15-14

17-13

26-15

24-17

16-24

26-22

21-14

19-9

23-14

13-12

26-17

21-12

16-11

28-10

19-21

28-15

18-15

12-23

18-18

20-22

16-17

21-22

30-21

16-22

27-21

18-23

28-17

14-14

25-18

157.8Avg total

83.7Scored

74.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	84.4	79.2	163.5	+5.2	59%
Season at home (12)	84.8	76.6	161.4	+8.2	67%
Season away (10)	83.8	82.3	166.1	+1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	74.1	157.8	+9.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	72.0	156.0	+12.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	92.3	95.7	188.0	-3.3	50%
vs Similar (10)	83.7	86.2	169.9	-2.5	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	85.5	74.5	160.0	+11.0	71%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsGold Coast

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	18.5	35.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	17.0	35.2	+1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.6	19.7	35.3	-4.1	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	17.3	33.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	15.2	32.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	17.2	18.3	35.6	-1.1	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	16.5	18.6	35.1	-2.1	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.3	21.2	44.5	+2.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.0	26.5	49.5	-3.5	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.4	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.3	21.1	38.4	-3.8	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	44%	-
vs Similar (21)	18.8	18.9	37.6	-0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.7	44.8	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	20.7	44.6	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	22.9	45.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.3	26.0	48.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.6	23.3	45.9	-0.7	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.6	18.8	42.4	+4.9	79%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

34-37

-3

A07/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

21-33

-12

A13/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

39-42

-3

H20/01

NBL

Adelaide

39-35

A22/01

NBL

Gold Coast

23-40

-17

A29/01

NBL

Townsville

42-38

H03/02

NBL

Perth

29-26

H10/02

NBL

Townsville

21-38

-17

A17/02

NBL

Melbourne United

49-31

+18

H18/02

NBL

Perth

38-49

-11

A26/02

NBL

70.4Avg total

33.5Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.3	38.0	73.3	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.5	34.2	72.7	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	32.9	40.8	73.7	-7.9	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	36.9	70.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	36.4	72.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	35.4	39.1	74.6	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar (21)	35.2	37.5	72.7	-2.2	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

55-57

-2

A07/01

NBL

Perth

36-46

-10

A13/01

NBL

Melbourne United

41-33

A15/01

NBL

Melbourne United

50-32

+18

H21/01

NBL

Cairns

40-23

+17

H29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

47-29

+18

H04/02

NBL

Sydney

38-42

-4

A10/02

NBL

Townsville

30-41

-11

H19/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-43

A24/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-40

H26/02

NBL

82.0Avg total

43.4Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	43.0	88.8	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.1	42.1	88.2	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.4	44.1	89.5	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	38.6	82.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.0	81.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	45.3	52.5	97.8	-7.2	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.2	44.3	89.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	46.4	38.1	84.4	+8.3	79%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	16.8	34.3	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.4	16.5	33.9	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	16.9	34.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	16.5	35.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.6	37.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	18.7	16.0	34.7	+2.7	56%	-
vs Similar (21)	17.1	17.1	34.2	+0.0	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.9	36.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	20.1	40.0	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	43%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	17.6	36.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.2	19.4	39.7	+0.8	44%	-
vs Similar (21)	17.7	17.2	34.9	+0.5	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	16.2	39.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.2	21.3	39.5	-3.1	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.3	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	34.6	70.6	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.7	34.8	70.5	+0.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.2	34.5	70.8	+1.7	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	34.5	71.7	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	35.0	72.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	38.9	35.4	74.3	+3.4	67%	-
vs Similar (21)	34.8	34.3	69.0	+0.5	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	38.7	78.6	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	37.7	77.8	+2.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.7	39.9	79.6	-0.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	35.5	75.8	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	33.0	74.6	+8.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	44.7	39.5	84.2	+5.2	50%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.1	41.4	79.5	-3.3	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	39.1	36.4	75.6	+2.7	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Gold Coast wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/12	Gold Coast v Cairns	76-49
02/12/11	Cairns v Gold Coast	87-78
16/10/11	Gold Coast v Cairns	82-91
19/01/11	Gold Coast v Cairns	90-85
07/01/11	Cairns v Gold Coast	86-82
13/11/10	Cairns v Gold Coast	96-76
29/10/10	Gold Coast v Cairns	92-81
09/01/10	Cairns v Gold Coast	66-79
04/12/09	Gold Coast v Cairns	69-68
23/10/09	Gold Coast v Cairns	80-63

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/12	A	Perth	83-78
18/02/12	H	Melbourne United	77-56
17/02/12	A	Townsville	43-75
10/02/12	H	Perth	76-67
03/02/12	H	Townsville	85-81
29/01/12	A	Gold Coast	49-76
22/01/12	A	Adelaide	87-75
20/01/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	74-80
13/01/12	A	Illawarra Hawks	61-59
07/01/12	A	Adelaide	72-67

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	85-72
24/02/12	A	Illawarra Hawks	94-86
19/02/12	H	Townsville	66-80
10/02/12	A	Sydney	84-72
04/02/12	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-50
29/01/12	H	Cairns	76-49
21/01/12	H	Melbourne United	92-78
15/01/12	A	Melbourne United	73-60
13/01/12	A	Perth	80-92
07/01/12	A	Sydney	96-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	58%
Home	WLWWW	73%
Away	WWLLW	46%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	58%	73%	46%
Points / game	72.3	76.5	68.8
Allowed / game	73.5	71.7	75.0
Point differential	-1.2	+4.7	-6.2
Avg total	145.8	148.2	143.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	18%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	70% (10)	80% (5)	60% (5)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Gold Coast

NBL 2011-12

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	59%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	LLWWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	59%	67%	50%
Points / game	84.4	84.8	83.8
Allowed / game	79.2	76.6	82.3
Point differential	+5.2	+8.2	+1.5
Avg total	163.5	161.4	166.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	58%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	23	17	6	74%	84.1	75.9	+8.2
2	Perth	24	16	8	67%	86.2	78.1	+8.1
3	Gold Coast	22	13	9	59%	84.4	79.2	+5.2
4	Cairns	24	14	10	58%	72.3	73.5	-1.2
5	Townsville	24	13	11	54%	80.1	78.9	+1.2
6	Melbourne United	25	11	14	44%	78.4	81.2	-2.8
7	Sydney	24	9	15	38%	81.5	87.5	-6.0
8	Adelaide	24	8	16	33%	82.7	87.8	-5.1
9	Illawarra Hawks	24	6	18	25%	73.8	80.5	-6.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	14	31	17	15	77
Gold Coast	23	24	27	20	94

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature