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Gold Coast vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2012
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 92-78
26-15 24-17 16-24 26-22
Position#3
Record7-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#6
Record9-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.8
AustraliaNBL
Other2011-12
Meetings · Gold Coast v Melbourne United
21 Jan 2012
GOLD92
MELB78
31 Dec 2011
GOLD72
MELB79
21 Nov 2010
GOLD82
MELB85
30 Jan 2010
GOLD99
MELB91
14 Oct 2009
GOLD98
MELB86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gold Coast winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gold CoastAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville
#5
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A26/11
NBL
Cairns
#4
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A02/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
85-106
85
106
-21
A08/12
NBL
Perth
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
96-77
96
77
+19
H23/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
H31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A07/01
NBL
Perth
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A15/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
23-22
22-19
20-18
27-22
24-21
16-17
28-22
23-21
17-21
18-18
20-27
31-25
19-33
21-24
14-24
18-25
15-27
25-15
19-7
24-27
28-14
31-17
13-19
31-23
21-20
6-12
14-24
27-24
28-33
20-21
21-24
22-21
14-25
21-22
23-24
18-15
23-18
15-14
17-13
167.3Avg total
83.9Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.583.7168.2+0.947%
Season at home (7)86.984.3171.1+2.657%
Season away (8)82.583.1165.6-0.638%
Last 10 (10)83.983.4167.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.482.0165.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.392.7183.0-2.457%
vs Similar (15)84.686.1170.7-1.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)84.479.5163.9+4.950%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
L
80-89
80
89
-9
H25/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
98-108 OT
98
108
-10
A02/12
NBL
Cairns
#4
L
77-79 OT
77
79
-2
A10/12
NBL
Townsville
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H18/12
NBL
Cairns
#4
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H23/12
NBL
Gold Coast
#3
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A31/12
NBL
Perth
#2
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H08/01
NBL
Gold Coast
#3
L
60-73
60
73
-13
H15/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A19/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
25-14
14-23
20-23
25-26
22-15
24-29
16-17
14-13
19-21
18-19
16-14
15-17
26-9
21-31
31-23
19-19
24-17
15-17
9-12
23-31
20-21
12-6
24-14
28-16
11-17
8-20
20-19
27-26
18-14
16-28
18-22
15-18
18-23
14-15
13-17
21-21
12-22
20-29
24-19
159.6Avg total
77.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.180.8160.9-0.747%
Season at home (10)78.377.7156.0+0.660%
Season away (9)82.184.3166.4-2.233%
Last 10 (10)77.781.9159.6-4.230%
Last 5 (5)72.479.6152.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.981.9158.7-5.033%
vs Similar (15)82.180.9162.9+1.253%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Gold CoastMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H19/11
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A26/11
NBL
Cairns
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A02/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A08/12
NBL
Perth
#2
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H17/12
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H23/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H31/12
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A07/01
NBL
Perth
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A15/01
NBL
90.8Avg total
45.5Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.743.689.3+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.143.690.6+3.571%-
Last 30 away (16)44.443.688.1+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.545.390.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)47.244.091.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)45.149.995.0-4.743%-
vs Similar (15)45.142.387.5+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.140.587.6+6.675%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H25/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A02/12
NBL
Cairns
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A10/12
NBL
Townsville
#5
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H18/12
NBL
Cairns
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H23/12
NBL
Gold Coast
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A31/12
NBL
Perth
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A06/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H08/01
NBL
Gold Coast
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H15/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/01
NBL
79.2Avg total
40.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.479.5+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.037.977.9+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)40.241.181.4-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.979.2+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.880.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.340.880.1-1.540%-
vs Similar (15)40.938.078.9+2.947%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Gold Coast) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Gold Coast wins
4
Melbourne United wins
Gold Coastlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/12AMelbourne United73-60
13/01/12APerth80-92
07/01/12ASydney96-102
31/12/11HMelbourne United72-79
23/12/11HAdelaide96-77
17/12/11HPerth77-74
08/12/11ANew Zealand Breakers85-106
02/12/11ACairns78-87
26/11/11AAdelaide95-82
19/11/11HTownsville87-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/12ANew Zealand Breakers77-91
15/01/12HGold Coast60-73
08/01/12HNew Zealand Breakers79-90
06/01/12APerth67-72
31/12/11AGold Coast79-72
23/12/11HCairns67-65
18/12/11HTownsville93-80
10/12/11ACairns77-79 OT
02/12/11ANew Zealand Breakers98-108 OT
25/11/11HSydney80-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gold Coast
NBL 2011-12
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW47%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayLLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%57%38%
Points / game84.586.982.5
Allowed / game83.784.383.1
Point differential+0.9+2.6-0.6
Avg total168.2171.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%43%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Melbourne United
NBL 2011-12
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game80.178.382.1
Allowed / game80.877.784.3
Point differential-0.7+0.6-2.2
Avg total160.9156.0166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %16%10%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth1813572%87.779.1+8.6
2 New Zealand Breakers1813572%85.176.7+8.3
3 Townsville148657%84.784.1+0.6
4 Cairns179853%72.773.9-1.2
5 Melbourne United1991047%80.180.8-0.7
6 Gold Coast157847%84.583.7+0.9
7 Sydney1981142%84.989.4-4.4
8 Adelaide1651131%85.190.4-5.2
9 Illawarra Hawks1641225%74.081.7-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gold Coast2624162692
Melbourne United1517242278
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