Cairns vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 91-76

24-18 20-18 14-24 33-16

Position#1

Record13-6

FormLWWLW

Points / game82.1

Allowed / game78.1

Cairns 🏆

Perth

Position#4

Record12-5

FormLWLWW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game73.2

NBLRound 14

Other2014-15

Meetings · Cairns v Perth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

69-65

H22/11

NBL

Perth

66-84

-18

A28/11

NBL

Townsville

91-82

H30/11

NBL

Adelaide

85-80

H06/12

NBL

Townsville

77-61

+16

H12/12

NBL

Adelaide

86-90

-4

A19/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

83-59

+24

H21/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

100-93

100

A27/12

NBL

Adelaide

77-84 OT

-7

H31/12

NBL

Townsville

79-75

A03/01

NBL

16-14

22-15

18-19

13-17

10-31

27-21

14-16

15-16

25-25

19-23

24-16

23-18

24-17

24-21

13-22

24-20

16-16

19-9

28-17

14-19

21-31

27-17

15-25

23-17

22-16

22-17

20-19

19-7

26-30

28-15

16-16

30-32

16-16

15-17

20-19

21-20

14-23

18-13

21-18

26-21

158.6Avg total

81.3Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	82.1	78.1	160.2	+4.0	68%
Season at home (9)	79.4	71.7	151.1	+7.8	78%
Season away (10)	84.5	83.9	168.4	+0.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	81.3	77.3	158.6	+4.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.0	80.2	165.2	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	99.0	94.0	193.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	79.9	81.1	161.1	-1.2	50%
vs Weaker (15)	83.7	79.1	162.7	+4.6	73%

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

85-66

+19

A16/11

NBL

Adelaide

84-74

+10

A21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

76-91

-15

A23/11

NBL

Cairns

84-66

+18

H28/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

79-55

+24

H05/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

66-77

-11

A11/12

NBL

Adelaide

97-76

+21

H14/12

NBL

Sydney

74-78

-4

A18/12

NBL

Melbourne United

81-80 OT

A28/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

86-77

A31/12

NBL

27-21

24-23

18-10

16-12

25-15

11-13

25-25

23-21

23-31

15-16

27-20

11-24

31-10

21-27

16-14

16-15

22-24

20-11

15-11

22-9

19-13

25-19

8-22

14-23

22-21

27-14

17-24

31-17

14-18

14-25

23-22

23-13

21-22

14-11

18-14

18-24

25-26

18-18

24-18

19-15

155.2Avg total

81.2Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	79.9	73.2	153.2	+6.7	71%
Season at home (8)	80.5	67.0	147.5	+13.5	88%
Season away (9)	79.4	78.8	158.2	+0.7	56%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	74.0	155.2	+7.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	77.6	158.4	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	79.9	78.3	158.2	+1.6	60%
vs Weaker (20)	83.0	71.7	154.6	+11.3	80%

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsPerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-1.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.2	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	21.9	40.9	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.1	21.5	39.6	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	27%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	20.4	42.4	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	19.2	42.3	+3.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.1	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	16.8	38.9	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.8	37.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.8	21.9	42.6	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.1	17.2	39.3	+4.9	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	19.7	40.5	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	65%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

38-29

H22/11

NBL

Perth

37-52

-15

A28/11

NBL

Townsville

44-48

-4

H30/11

NBL

Adelaide

48-38

+10

H06/12

NBL

Townsville

35-25

+10

H12/12

NBL

Adelaide

48-48

A19/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-33

+11

H21/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

54-45

A27/12

NBL

Adelaide

31-33

-2

H31/12

NBL

Townsville

32-36

-4

A03/01

NBL

79.8Avg total

41.1Scored

38.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	40.8	81.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.8	37.5	75.4	+0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.1	43.2	86.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	38.7	79.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	39.0	80.8	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	45.0	47.0	92.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.9	43.4	82.2	-4.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.3	37.9	80.3	+4.4	67%	-

This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

51-44

A16/11

NBL

Adelaide

36-28

A21/11

NBL

Melbourne United

38-47

-9

A23/11

NBL

Cairns

52-37

+15

H28/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-35

H05/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

44-32

+12

A11/12

NBL

Adelaide

49-35

+14

H14/12

NBL

Sydney

28-43

-15

A18/12

NBL

Melbourne United

35-33

A28/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

43-44

-1

A31/12

NBL

79.6Avg total

41.8Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	38.6	81.7	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	35.9	80.3	+8.6	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.7	41.3	83.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	37.8	79.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	37.4	77.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.9	37.8	78.7	+3.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (20)	44.2	39.0	83.2	+5.2	70%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	18.5	38.1	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	15.0	36.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.7	19.7	39.5	+0.0	47%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.5	37.2	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.4	16.1	35.6	+3.3	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.5	22.5	44.9	+0.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.7	39.5	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.4	43.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	28.0	52.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	71%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.3	20.6	41.9	+0.7	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.5	36.3	+1.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	16.0	36.2	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	18.9	36.5	-1.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.3	36.6	+2.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (20)	19.3	16.6	35.9	+2.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	39.2	80.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.1	36.9	77.0	+3.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	37.4	77.1	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.8	81.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	45.0	43.0	88.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	41.1	37.8	78.9	+3.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.0	40.3	81.3	+0.7	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.5	35.0	73.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	32.7	72.2	+6.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.5	37.3	74.8	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	35.3	73.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	38.4	77.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.0	39.6	77.6	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (20)	38.8	32.7	71.5	+6.0	80%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
28/11/14	Perth v Cairns	84-66
30/01/14	Perth v Cairns	94-99 OT
31/12/13	Cairns v Perth	99-90
30/11/13	Cairns v Perth	75-85 OT
14/11/13	Perth v Cairns	75-68
17/03/13	Perth v Cairns	70-53
01/03/13	Cairns v Perth	78-72
18/01/13	Perth v Cairns	86-64
05/01/13	Cairns v Perth	66-85
11/03/12	Perth v Cairns	94-59

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/15	A	Townsville	79-75
31/12/14	H	Adelaide	77-84 OT
27/12/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	100-93
21/12/14	H	New Zealand Breakers	83-59
19/12/14	A	Adelaide	86-90
12/12/14	H	Townsville	77-61
06/12/14	H	Adelaide	85-80
30/11/14	H	Townsville	91-82
28/11/14	A	Perth	66-84
22/11/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	69-65

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/12/14	A	Illawarra Hawks	86-77
28/12/14	A	Melbourne United	81-80 OT
18/12/14	A	Sydney	74-78
14/12/14	H	Adelaide	97-76
11/12/14	A	New Zealand Breakers	66-77
05/12/14	H	Illawarra Hawks	79-55
28/11/14	H	Cairns	84-66
23/11/14	A	Melbourne United	76-91
21/11/14	A	Adelaide	84-74
16/11/14	A	Sydney	85-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	68%
Home	WWWWL	78%
Away	LLLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	68%	78%	60%
Points / game	82.1	79.4	84.5
Allowed / game	78.1	71.7	83.9
Point differential	+4.0	+7.8	+0.6
Avg total	160.2	151.1	168.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	44%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	5%	11%	0%

Perth

NBL 2014-15

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	71%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LLLWW	56%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	71%	88%	56%
Points / game	79.9	80.5	79.4
Allowed / game	73.2	67.0	78.8
Point differential	+6.7	+13.5	+0.7
Avg total	153.2	147.5	158.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	75%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	20	15	5	75%	83.7	79.8	+3.9
2	Perth	17	12	5	71%	79.9	73.2	+6.7
3	Cairns	19	13	6	68%	82.1	78.1	+4.0
4	Melbourne United	18	10	8	56%	85.6	83.2	+2.4
5	Sydney	18	7	11	39%	83.2	85.1	-1.8
6	Adelaide	18	7	11	39%	85.9	89.8	-3.8
7	Townsville	19	7	12	37%	84.7	86.4	-1.7
8	Illawarra Hawks	19	3	16	16%	76.1	85.3	-9.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cairns	24	20	14	33	91
Perth	18	18	24	16	76

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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