Cairns vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Nov 2018

Tip-off: 08:50

Final 83-88 (OT)

21-14 18-22 14-17 22-22 8-13

Position#8

Record1-6

FormLLLLL

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game93.1

Cairns

Perth 🏆

Position#1

Record7-1

FormLWWWW

Points / game94.6

Allowed / game83.4

NBL

Other2018-19

Meetings · Cairns v Perth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Perth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

86-93

-7

H03/02

NBL

Perth

85-83

A09/02

NBL

Perth

61-89

-28

A18/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

88-70

+18

A13/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-104

104

-11

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

83-91

-8

H26/10

NBL

Sydney

90-98 OT

-8

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

85-98

-13

H03/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-104

104

-23

A09/11

NBL

Melbourne United

80-87

-7

A11/11

NBL

22-29

22-24

20-23

22-17

26-21

20-23

21-16

18-23

19-20

11-27

10-21

21-21

19-18

21-19

20-17

28-16

28-27

20-20

16-21

29-36

20-12

12-26

30-24

21-29

20-18

18-23

23-18

23-25

19-29

21-22

21-15

24-32

21-30

24-27

12-25

24-22

18-17

28-26

21-19

13-25

174.9Avg total

83.2Scored

91.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	85.7	93.1	178.9	-7.4	14%
Season at home (3)	87.0	97.7	184.7	-10.7	0%
Season away (4)	84.8	89.8	174.5	-5.0	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	91.7	174.9	-8.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	95.6	179.4	-11.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	80.6	85.4	166.0	-4.9	31%
vs Similar (14)	79.9	82.9	162.7	-3.0	29%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

74-109

109

-35

A03/03

NBL

Adelaide

88-89

-1

H09/03

NBL

Adelaide

99-91

A11/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

101-61

101

+40

H14/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

88-73

+15

H20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

96-100

100

-4

A25/10

NBL

Melbourne United

101-96 OT

101

H27/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

92-78

+14

H03/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

90-87

H09/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

90-81

A11/11

NBL

18-19

26-31

18-26

12-33

28-15

21-25

18-23

21-26

23-23

25-18

26-32

25-18

28-16

28-18

17-10

28-17

28-19

19-13

20-18

21-23

26-34

26-23

17-21

27-22

20-22

21-20

25-26

18-16

27-26

22-21

23-24

20-7

25-21

13-16

21-24

31-26

36-21

18-21

17-17

19-22

178.4Avg total

91.9Scored

86.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	94.6	83.4	178.0	+11.2	88%
Season at home (5)	94.4	79.0	173.4	+15.4	100%
Season away (3)	95.0	90.7	185.7	+4.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	91.9	86.5	178.4	+5.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.8	88.4	182.2	+5.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	88.8	86.5	175.2	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	86.1	80.8	166.9	+5.3	67%

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CairnsPerth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	22.1	43.0	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	22.4	42.9	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	20.8	22.6	43.3	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	22.5	45.5	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.6	22.5	46.1	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	22.5	45.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.9	21.6	47.5	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	24.8	51.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	21.6	22.7	44.2	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	24.0	22.4	46.4	+1.6	61%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	22.1	39.7	-4.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.7	43.4	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.8	45.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	18.6	20.8	39.3	-2.2	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	21%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	18.8	40.8	+3.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	20.6	18.9	39.4	+1.7	56%	-

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

44-53

-9

H03/02

NBL

Perth

46-44

A09/02

NBL

Perth

30-47

-17

A18/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

40-37

A13/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-47

H21/10

NBL

Adelaide

32-38

-6

H26/10

NBL

Sydney

38-41

-3

A28/10

NBL

Melbourne United

40-51

-11

H03/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

45-57

-12

A09/11

NBL

Melbourne United

46-43

A11/11

NBL

86.7Avg total

40.9Scored

45.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	43.1	82.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	41.4	82.1	-0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	44.6	82.6	-6.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	45.8	86.7	-4.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	46.0	86.2	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	39.3	43.3	82.6	-4.0	44%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.3	42.8	82.1	-3.5	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

44-50

-6

A03/03

NBL

Adelaide

49-40

H09/03

NBL

Adelaide

48-41

A11/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

56-34

+22

H14/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-32

+15

H20/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

52-57

-5

A25/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-42

-1

H27/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

49-47

H03/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

38-37

H09/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

54-42

+12

A11/11

NBL

90.0Avg total

47.8Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.2	42.6	86.8	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	41.3	86.9	+4.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.1	43.7	86.8	-0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.8	42.2	90.0	+5.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	45.0	91.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	43.8	44.5	88.2	-0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.6	41.3	85.8	+3.3	61%	-

This opponent (Cairns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	18.0	36.5	+0.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.8	69%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.7	19.7	39.4	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.8	18.4	38.1	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.4	40.9	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.4	43.0	-1.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	21.8	20.1	41.8	+1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	44%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	24.6	46.9	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	26.6	47.6	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	21.8	22.9	44.6	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	20.4	41.2	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	21.8	20.9	42.8	+0.9	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.4	20.6	42.9	+1.8	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	40.7	81.4	+0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.8	39.2	80.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.7	42.0	82.7	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	44.5	86.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	46.8	89.2	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	40.9	41.2	82.1	-0.4	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.6	40.1	80.6	+0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	40.1	82.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.8	37.9	80.6	+4.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.0	42.1	84.1	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	43.1	85.5	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.0	84.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	43.6	41.0	84.6	+2.6	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	41.6	39.6	81.1	+2.0	61%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cairns wins

Perth wins

Date	Game	Score
18/02/18	Perth v Cairns	89-61
09/02/18	Perth v Cairns	83-85
31/12/17	Cairns v Perth	68-83
22/10/17	Cairns v Perth	90-69
25/01/16	Perth v Cairns	84-74
06/01/16	Cairns v Perth	71-61
17/12/15	Cairns v Perth	70-73
22/11/15	Perth v Cairns	91-90
01/03/15	Perth v Cairns	68-80
27/02/15	Cairns v Perth	71-64

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/18	A	Melbourne United	80-87
09/11/18	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-104
03/11/18	H	Melbourne United	85-98
28/10/18	A	Sydney	90-98 OT
26/10/18	H	Adelaide	83-91
21/10/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	93-104
13/10/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	88-70
18/02/18	A	Perth	61-89
09/02/18	A	Perth	85-83
03/02/18	H	Sydney	86-93

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/18	A	Illawarra Hawks	90-81
09/11/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	90-87
03/11/18	H	New Zealand Breakers	92-78
27/10/18	H	Melbourne United	101-96 OT
25/10/18	A	Brisbane Bullets	96-100
20/10/18	H	Brisbane Bullets	88-73
14/10/18	H	Illawarra Hawks	101-61
11/10/18	A	Adelaide	99-91
09/03/18	H	Adelaide	88-89
03/03/18	A	Adelaide	74-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	14%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	WLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	14%	0%	25%
Points / game	85.7	87.0	84.8
Allowed / game	93.1	97.7	89.8
Point differential	-7.4	-10.7	-5.0
Avg total	178.9	184.7	174.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	0%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	14%	0%	25%

Perth

NBL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	88%	100%	67%
Points / game	94.6	94.4	95.0
Allowed / game	83.4	79.0	90.7
Point differential	+11.2	+15.4	+4.3
Avg total	178.0	173.4	185.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	60%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	12%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	8	7	1	88%	94.6	83.4	+11.2
2	Melbourne United	10	7	3	70%	92.5	89.9	+2.6
3	Sydney	7	4	3	57%	90.3	86.4	+3.9
4	New Zealand Breakers	8	4	4	50%	90.1	90.9	-0.8
5	Brisbane Bullets	9	4	5	44%	86.6	88.2	-1.7
6	Adelaide	10	4	6	40%	92.1	92.8	-0.7
7	Illawarra Hawks	9	3	6	33%	88.0	95.0	-7.0
8	Cairns	7	1	6	14%	85.7	93.1	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Cairns	21	18	14	22	8	83
Perth	14	22	17	22	13	88

← all games of the day

Cairns vs Perth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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