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Cal Poly vs Nicholls State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 72-75 (OT)
27-21 35-41 10-13
Position#337
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#83
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game61.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nicholls State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#129
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H26/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#129
L
66-68 OT
66
68
-2
H27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
57-71
57
71
-14
A06/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
54-70
54
70
-16
A07/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#253
W
87-82
87
82
+5
A10/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#83
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Westcliff
#474
W
86-53
86
53
+33
H10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H12/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
36-35
26-32
40-34
23-33
34-38
24-31
30-39
36-32
51-50
27-34
24-24
32-23
54-30
23-30
34-30
26-22
31-36
21-34
36-53
130.9Avg total
63.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)64.264.5128.8-0.225%
Season at home (3)66.757.0123.7+9.733%
Season away (1)57.087.0144.0-30.00%
Last 10 (10)63.367.6130.9-4.320%
Last 5 (5)61.663.2124.8-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)59.572.8132.3-13.39%
vs Similar (4)65.070.5135.5-5.50%
vs Weaker (3)87.056.7143.7+30.3100%
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#319
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
A28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
W
80-67
80
67
+13
A05/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H12/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
45-79
45
79
-34
H14/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A10/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
120-52
120
52
+68
H13/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
101-44
101
44
+57
H13/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
60-89
60
89
-29
A15/11
NCAA
TCU
#117
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-30
56-38
52-45
33-40
34-37
46-30
39-36
49-40
31-36
14-43
31-29
31-29
57-29
63-23
35-22
66-22
28-48
32-41
30-24
20-39
149.1Avg total
79.4Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.661.2139.8+17.460%
Season at home (2)110.548.0158.5+62.5100%
Season away (3)57.370.0127.3-12.733%
Last 10 (10)79.469.7149.1+9.770%
Last 5 (5)78.661.2139.8+17.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)64.282.5146.8-18.20%
vs Similar (6)69.767.3137.0+2.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)83.569.4152.9+14.185%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +2.8+2.82nd half2nd half: +0.1+0.12nd half: +6.5+6.5
Cal PolyNicholls State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#129
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H26/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#129
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H27/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A06/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#17
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A07/03
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#253
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A10/03
NCAA
UC Irvine
#83
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Westcliff
#474
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H10/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#69
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#274
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A20/11
NCAA
56.8Avg total
26.3Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.032.961.9-3.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.832.363.1-1.533%-
Last 30 away (15)27.233.560.7-6.320%-
Last 10 (10)26.330.556.8-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)25.828.654.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)27.934.061.9-6.117%-
vs Similar (4)30.230.260.5+0.050%-
vs Weaker (3)35.727.763.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Nicholls State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nicholls StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Christian
#319
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H25/02
NCAA
New Orleans
#252
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A28/02
NCAA
McNeese State
#239
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#249
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H12/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#14
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H14/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A10/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H13/11
NCAA
Carver Bible
#629
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H13/11
NCAA
Baylor
#16
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A15/11
NCAA
TCU
#117
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A19/11
NCAA
70.0Avg total
36.4Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.033.770.6+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.332.271.5+7.157%-
Last 30 away (16)34.934.969.9+0.056%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.670.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.466.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.540.574.0-7.025%-
vs Similar (6)32.232.364.5-0.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.132.771.8+6.470%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
0
Nicholls State wins
No previous meetings.
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/21ASanta Clara57-87
16/11/21HSacramento State57-58
12/11/21HNorth Dakota St57-60
10/11/21HWestcliff86-53
12/03/21AUC Irvine51-58
10/03/21ACS Fullerton87-82
07/03/21AUC Santa Barbara54-70
06/03/21AUC Santa Barbara57-71
27/02/21HUC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21HUC Davis61-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/21ATCU50-63
15/11/21ABaylor60-89
13/11/21HCarver Bible101-44
13/11/21HCarver Bible120-52
10/11/21ANorthern Iowa62-58
14/03/21HAbilene Christian45-79
12/03/21HNorthwestern St.88-76
05/03/21AMcNeese State80-67
28/02/21ANew Orleans105-101 OT
25/02/21HHouston Christian83-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game64.266.757.0
Allowed / game64.557.087.0
Point differential-0.2+9.7-30.0
Avg total128.8123.7144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nicholls State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game78.6110.557.3
Allowed / game61.248.070.0
Point differential+17.4+62.5-12.7
Avg total139.8158.5127.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego440100%80.859.5+21.2
2 UC Irvine43175%72.850.2+22.5
3 UC Santa Barbara32167%88.362.7+25.7
4 UC Davis32167%74.372.3+2.0
5 UC Riverside53260%69.663.2+6.4
6 CS Fullerton42250%71.069.0+2.0
7 Hawaii42250%78.076.5+1.5
8 Long Beach State31233%84.091.0-7.0
9 CSU Bakersfield31233%69.076.3-7.3
10 Cal Poly41325%64.264.5-0.2
11 CS Northridge41325%61.074.2-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 TX A&M Commerce110100%65.062.0+3.0
2 Texas A&M-CC54180%75.666.8+8.8
3 Stephen F. Austin43175%79.073.2+5.8
4 Nicholls State53260%78.661.2+17.4
5 SE Louisiana42250%83.266.5+16.8
6 UTRGV42250%74.080.0-6.0
7 New Orleans41325%71.272.2-1.0
8 Houston Christian41325%67.570.8-3.2
9 McNeese State41325%71.278.5-7.2
10 Lamar51420%68.474.2-5.8
11 Northwestern St.51420%67.479.8-12.4
12 Incarnate Word4040%64.282.0-17.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Cal Poly27351072
Nicholls State21411375
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