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Cal Poly vs San Jose State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 81-77 (OT)
30-38 39-31 12-8
Position#364
Record2-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#335
Record5-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game62.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cal Poly v San Jose State
29 Nov 2023
CAL 81
SAN 77
13 Dec 2020
CAL 75
SAN 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Jose State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H25/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
72-73 OT
72
73
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
88-68
88
68
+20
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A10/03
NCAA
La Verne
#556
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A10/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A18/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
57-73
57
73
-16
A18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A20/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-24
26-34
29-28
33-34
35-40
53-28
32-26
22-38
47-33
33-29
33-51
43-46
31-41
35-39
31-22
30-38
22-35
35-38
26-26
32-41
136.6Avg total
66.4Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)66.373.2139.5-6.833%
Season at home (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
Season away (5)63.675.4139.0-11.820%
Last 10 (10)66.470.2136.6-3.830%
Last 5 (5)63.675.4139.0-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)59.269.4128.7-10.28%
vs Similar (5)59.464.6124.0-5.220%
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (San Jose State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
49-64
49
64
-15
A11/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#16
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H18/03
CBI
Radford
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A20/03
CBI
UC Irvine
#37
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H08/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
117-72
117
72
+45
H10/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H17/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
W
77-53
77
53
+24
A18/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H28/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
20-33
0-0
29-31
0-0
45-27
0-0
32-25
0-0
28-26
0-0
29-41
0-0
24-24
0-0
48-40
0-0
56-47
0-0
61-25
0-0
21-22
0-0
21-34
0-0
43-33
0-0
28-44
0-0
39-24
0-0
38-29
0-0
29-33
0-0
42-19
0-0
32-27
0-0
46-38
133.3Avg total
71.1Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.462.7138.1+12.771%
Season at home (5)81.866.0147.8+15.880%
Season away (2)59.554.5114.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)71.162.2133.3+8.960%
Last 5 (5)67.860.6128.4+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)65.169.1134.2-4.038%
vs Similar (13)69.263.6132.8+5.577%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)79.760.7140.3+19.067%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: +4.8+4.8
Cal PolySan Jose State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/03
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A10/03
NCAA
La Verne
#556
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Denver
#205
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A10/11
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/11
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
31-22
31
22
+9
A18/11
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
22-35
22
35
-13
A18/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A20/11
NCAA
63.8Avg total
31.2Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.330.958.2-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)27.830.558.3-2.758%-
Last 30 away (18)26.931.258.2-4.328%-
Last 10 (10)31.232.663.8-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.635.063.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)26.731.758.4-5.033%-
vs Similar (5)26.227.053.2-0.860%-
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (San Jose State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#10
L
20-33
20
33
-13
A11/03
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#16
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H18/03
CBI
Radford
#4
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A20/03
CBI
UC Irvine
#37
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H08/11
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H10/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
21-22
21
22
-1
A12/11
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#239
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H17/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#72
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A18/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H20/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#235
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H28/11
NCAA
63.3Avg total
33.7Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.631.062.6+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.631.265.8+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)28.230.859.0-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)33.729.663.3+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.827.860.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)28.431.760.1-3.331%-
vs Similar (13)32.130.562.5+1.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.331.771.0+7.7100%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cal Poly wins
1
San Jose State wins
DateGameScore
21/12/22San Jose State v Cal Poly65-43
13/12/20Cal Poly v San Jose State75-71
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23ACalifornia Baptist58-67
18/11/23APortland State57-73
18/11/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)61-60
12/11/23AWyoming66-80
10/11/23ADenver76-97
07/11/23HLa Verne80-62
10/03/23AUC Santa Barbara54-64
08/03/23ALong Beach State88-68
05/03/23HUC Riverside72-73 OT
25/02/23HUC Davis52-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/23HNorth Dakota St78-65
20/11/23HHampton71-52
18/11/23ANorfolk State77-53
17/11/23HAbilene Christian71-77
12/11/23ATexas Tech42-56
10/11/23HBethesda117-72
08/11/23HUC Irvine72-64
20/03/23ARadford57-67
18/03/23HSouthern Indiana77-52
11/03/23ASan Diego State49-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%100%20%
Points / game66.380.063.6
Allowed / game73.262.075.4
Point differential-6.8+18.0-11.8
Avg total139.5142.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Jose State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW71%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game75.481.859.5
Allowed / game62.766.054.5
Point differential+12.7+15.8+5.0
Avg total138.1147.8114.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hawaii440100%78.864.2+14.5
2 UC Irvine86275%79.265.2+14.0
3 CS Northridge64267%80.270.0+10.2
4 UC Santa Barbara53260%81.677.4+4.2
5 UC San Diego74357%78.071.0+7.0
6 UC Davis42250%68.869.5-0.8
7 Long Beach State84450%76.177.9-1.8
8 UC Riverside73443%71.072.0-1.0
9 CSU Bakersfield73443%64.670.7-6.1
10 Cal Poly62433%66.373.2-6.8
11 CS Fullerton62433%65.873.8-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevada440100%89.065.2+23.8
2 Colorado State770100%85.168.6+16.6
3 Utah State76186%81.164.4+16.7
4 New Mexico76186%82.669.0+13.6
5 San Diego State76186%80.368.0+12.3
6 Grand Canyon65183%81.068.2+12.8
7 Air Force86275%66.261.2+5.0
8 San Jose State75271%75.462.7+12.7
9 Wyoming64267%76.869.7+7.2
10 Boise State63350%69.368.5+0.8
11 UNLV63350%72.773.8-1.2
12 Fresno State63350%73.875.5-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Cal Poly30391281
San Jose State3831877
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