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Cal Poly vs UC Davis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 52-58
26-24 26-34
Position#355
Record6-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.6
Allowed / game66.1
Cal Poly
USA
vs
UC Davis 🏆
USA
Position#150
Record16-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Davis
10 Jan 2026
CAL 84
UC D78
16 Jan 2025
CAL 54
UC D65
03 Feb 2024
CAL 52
UC D59
25 Feb 2023
CAL 52
UC D58
15 Jan 2022
CAL 82
UC D74
27 Feb 2021
CAL 66
UC D68
26 Feb 2021
CAL 61
UC D69
20 Feb 2020
CAL 62
UC D77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Davis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A21/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
52-70
52
70
-18
H27/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
36-65
36
65
-29
H29/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H05/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A11/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A19/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-20
34-45
29-39
23-31
16-37
20-28
27-35
35-33
25-36
31-33
28-28
26-27
28-20
25-44
27-26
35-44
21-36
41-47
31-27
25-32
122.4Avg total
55.6Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)59.666.1125.7-6.621%
Season at home (14)62.564.4126.9-1.936%
Season away (14)56.667.9124.5-11.27%
Last 10 (10)55.666.8122.4-11.20%
Last 5 (5)57.466.2123.6-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)58.267.2125.4-9.018%
vs Similar (7)61.064.9125.9-3.929%
vs Weaker (1)94.059.0153.0+35.0100%
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#88
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H21/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
79-58
79
58
+21
A27/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H03/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A10/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A12/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H16/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A18/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H20/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
44-41
20-29
45-34
40-22
39-36
37-38
35-37
37-31
38-32
27-33
38-39
32-38
42-46
39-34
34-28
31-39
45-39
33-31
43-35
142.2Avg total
72.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.170.5145.6+4.657%
Season at home (14)78.167.2145.3+10.979%
Season away (14)72.173.7145.9-1.636%
Last 10 (10)72.769.5142.2+3.250%
Last 5 (5)72.872.4145.2+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.082.3153.3-11.30%
vs Similar (13)72.675.8148.5-3.231%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)72.262.0134.2+10.292%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: +3.6+3.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: -6.9-6.92nd half: +3.6+3.6
Cal PolyUC Davis
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Davis
#150
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H27/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
16-37
16
37
-21
H29/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A03/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H05/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A11/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A19/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/02
NCAA
56.5Avg total
26.1Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.130.757.8-3.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.731.360.9-1.647%-
Last 30 away (15)24.530.154.6-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)26.130.456.5-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)27.027.454.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)26.531.958.4-5.532%-
vs Similar (7)25.728.153.9-2.443%-
vs Weaker (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (UC Davis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC DavisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Riverside
#88
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
L
20-29
20
29
-9
H21/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A27/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/02
NCAA
UC Riverside
#88
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A10/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H16/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A18/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#312
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H20/02
NCAA
65.2Avg total
32.4Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.365.7+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.531.065.5+3.567%-
Last 30 away (15)32.333.665.9-1.327%-
Last 10 (10)32.432.865.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.435.067.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.038.067.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (13)33.033.866.8-0.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)32.430.362.8+2.167%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cal Poly wins
6
UC Davis wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23UC Davis v Cal Poly65-63
09/03/22UC Davis v Cal Poly63-53
16/01/22Cal Poly v UC Davis82-74
27/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis66-68 OT
26/02/21Cal Poly v UC Davis61-69
21/02/20Cal Poly v UC Davis62-77
02/02/20UC Davis v Cal Poly66-51
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/23HUC Irvine56-59
19/02/23ACS Fullerton62-83
16/02/23HCSU Bakersfield62-70
11/02/23ACS Northridge53-64
10/02/23AUC Irvine54-55
05/02/23HHawaii56-69
03/02/23AUC Santa Barbara62-68
29/01/23HCS Fullerton36-65
27/01/23HLong Beach State52-70
21/01/23AUC Davis63-65
UC Davislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/23HUC San Diego76-66
18/02/23AUC Irvine76-78
16/02/23HCS Northridge73-62
12/02/23AUC Santa Barbara74-84
10/02/23AUC Riverside65-72
03/02/23HHawaii75-63
28/01/23ALong Beach State72-75
27/01/23ACSU Bakersfield79-58
21/01/23HCal Poly65-63
20/01/23HUC Riverside72-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL36%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%36%7%
Points / game59.662.556.6
Allowed / game66.164.467.9
Point differential-6.6-1.9-11.2
Avg total125.7126.9124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%7%
UC Davis
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%79%36%
Points / game75.178.172.1
Allowed / game70.567.273.7
Point differential+4.6+10.9-1.6
Avg total145.6145.3145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%57%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara2821775%70.364.6+5.7
2 UC Irvine2920969%76.267.3+8.9
3 Hawaii2819968%66.261.4+4.9
4 UC Riverside30201067%72.368.7+3.6
5 CS Fullerton30181260%69.264.5+4.7
6 UC Davis28161257%75.170.5+4.6
7 Long Beach State29151452%76.474.1+2.3
8 CSU Bakersfield29101934%61.764.9-3.3
9 UC San Diego29101934%68.572.5-4.0
10 CS Northridge2972224%64.268.7-4.4
11 Cal Poly2862221%59.666.1-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly262652
UC Davis243458
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