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California Baptist vs Seattle Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Projected 75-67
Projected total 141.3
Scheduled
Position#372
Record0-3
FormWLLLL
Points / game64.3
Allowed / game82.7
California Baptist
USA
Vs
76%
24%
■ CALI 76%■ SEAT 24%
Pythia win probability
Seattle
USA
Position#281
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · California Baptist v Seattle
17 Nov 2026
CALI v SEAT
upcoming
04 Jan 2025
CALI61
SEAT59
03 Feb 2024
CALI60
SEAT61
15 Feb 2023
CALI84
SEAT63
17 Jan 2022
CALI85
SEAT92
11 Mar 2021
CALI66
SEAT83
06 Mar 2021
CALI79
SEAT76
05 Mar 2021
CALI79
SEAT80
29 Feb 2020
CALI88
SEAT87
Sections
Game preview & prediction

California Baptist will host Seattle on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating California Baptist as the clear favourite at 76% versus Seattle's 24%. The model's confidence stems from California Baptist's 0-3 record and 64.3 points per game against 82.7 allowed, while Seattle has a 1-2 record, 70.3 points per game and 73.3 allowed. In home-only play California Baptist has gone 0-2, scoring 62.5 and conceding 76.0, whereas Seattle's lone road outing was a 0-1 loss, 73.0 points scored and 74.0 allowed. The last five games for California Baptist include a 62-81 loss to Chicago State, a 68-96 defeat to Oregon State and a 63-71 home loss to North Florida, while Seattle's recent five feature a 59-86 loss to UTSA, a 79-60 win over Portland State and a 73-74 loss to Hawaii. Historically Seattle has won 8 of 10 meetings, most recently defeating California Baptist 72-48 on 27 February 2025. Pythia projects a 75-67 score for California Baptist, with a total of 141.3 points and a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California Baptist win
75.6%fair 1.32
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Seattle win
24.4%fair 4.10
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

California BaptistUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H27/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
87-48
87
48
+39
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
82-75
82
75
+7
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H14/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
W
63-61
63
61
+2
A15/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A21/03
NCAA
North Florida
#311
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H04/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#41
L
68-96
68
96
-28
A07/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#236
L
62-81
62
81
-19
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-27
28-29
40-29
42-38
49-19
38-29
45-32
37-43
35-36
51-36
26-26
37-35
18-38
42-30
31-33
32-38
34-44
34-52
–
–
141.6Avg total
72.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)64.382.7147.0-18.30%
Season at home (2)62.576.0138.5-13.50%
Season away (1)68.096.0164.0-28.00%
Last 10 (10)72.169.5141.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)63.275.4138.6-12.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)63.874.5138.3-10.733%
vs Similar (13)71.069.5140.5+1.562%
vs Weaker (11)75.468.6144.0+6.773%
This opponent (Seattle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeattleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H16/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
87-80
87
80
+7
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H07/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#106
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A03/11
NCAA
Portland State
#262
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H08/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#187
L
59-86
59
86
-27
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-18
24-32
28-35
42-37
29-20
42-39
39-27
48-53
29-32
42-34
30-35
28-21
29-32
29-29
39-47
34-27
28-28
51-32
–
–
135.0Avg total
68.6Scored
66.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)70.373.3143.7-3.033%
Season at home (2)69.073.0142.0-4.050%
Season away (1)73.074.0147.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)68.666.4135.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)65.467.4132.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.977.5146.4-8.612%
vs Similar (8)66.465.9132.2+0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)67.964.4132.3+3.575%
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148.5
Over 148.5
32.6%
Under 148.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153.5
Over 153.5
22.6%
Under 153.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158.5
Over 158.5
14.7%
Under 158.5
85.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

California Baptist total 83.5
Over 83.5
18.6%
Under 83.5
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
California Baptist total 87.5
Over 87.5
9.9%
Under 87.5
90.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
California Baptist total 91.5
Over 91.5
4.6%
Under 91.5
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seattle total 62
Over 62
68.0%
Under 62
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seattle total 66
Over 66
52.4%
Under 66
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Seattle total 70
Over 70
36.5%
Under 70
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread California Baptist -3
CALI -3
68.5%
SEAT +3
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
CALI
No market prices yet.
SEAT
No market prices yet.
Spread California Baptist 0
CALI 0
75.6%
SEAT 0
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
CALI
No market prices yet.
SEAT
No market prices yet.
Spread California Baptist +3
CALI +3
82.3%
SEAT -3
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
CALI
No market prices yet.
SEAT
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +4.0+4.0
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +1.4+1.42nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: +4.0+4.0
California BaptistSeattle
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
California BaptistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#150
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H27/02
NCAA
Tarleton
#255
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H01/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#264
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H06/03
NCAA
Southern Utah
#329
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A08/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H14/03
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A15/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
18-38
18
38
-20
A21/03
NCAA
North Florida
#311
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H04/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#41
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
NCAA
66.9Avg total
35.3Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.831.465.2+2.359%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.228.762.8+5.569%-
Last 30 away (16)33.433.667.1-0.250%-
Last 10 (9)35.331.666.9+3.844%-
Last 5 (5)28.835.464.2-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.032.061.0-3.020%-
vs Similar (13)31.331.262.5+0.154%-
vs Weaker (11)38.831.470.2+7.582%-
This opponent (Seattle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SeattleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H16/02
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H22/02
NCAA
Pepperdine
#347
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A26/02
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#106
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Portland State
#262
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H08/11
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.9Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.130.864.9+3.348%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.628.863.4+5.856%-
Last 30 away (13)33.533.266.7+0.438%-
Last 10 (9)31.930.462.3+1.433%-
Last 5 (5)31.034.865.8-3.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.734.767.4-2.029%-
vs Similar (8)30.231.962.1-1.612%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)34.428.062.4+6.475%-
This opponent (California Baptist) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
California Baptist wins
8
Seattle wins
DateGameScore
28/02/25Seattle v California Baptist72-48
05/01/25California Baptist v Seattle61-59
15/03/24Seattle v California Baptist81-57
04/02/24California Baptist v Seattle60-61
06/01/24Seattle v California Baptist48-46
16/02/23California Baptist v Seattle84-63
31/12/22Seattle v California Baptist71-65
19/02/22Seattle v California Baptist67-64
18/01/22California Baptist v Seattle85-92 OT
12/03/21California Baptist v Seattle66-83
California Baptistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HChicago State62-81
07/11/26AOregon State68-96
04/11/26HNorth Florida63-71
21/03/26AKansas60-68
15/03/26AUtah Valley State63-61
14/03/26HUtah Tech86-72
08/03/26ASouthern Utah82-75
06/03/26HAbilene Christian87-48
01/03/26HTarleton82-67
27/02/26HUT Arlington68-56
Seattlelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HUTSA Roadrunners59-86
08/11/26HPortland State79-60
03/11/26AHawaii73-74
08/03/26APacific58-61
07/03/26HSan Diego Toreros58-56
01/03/26ALoyola Marymount71-66
26/02/26APepperdine87-80
22/02/26HPortland71-59
19/02/26HSt. Marys (CA)70-72
16/02/26HOregon State60-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California Baptist
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game64.362.568.0
Allowed / game82.776.096.0
Point differential-18.3-13.5-28.0
Avg total147.0138.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Seattle
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game70.369.073.0
Allowed / game73.373.074.0
Point differential-3.0-4.0-1.0
Avg total143.7142.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State220100%92.578.0+14.5
2 Southern Utah43175%108.264.8+43.5
3 UT Arlington43175%89.069.2+19.8
4 Tarleton32167%84.071.0+13.0
5 Utah Tech31233%83.090.0-7.0
6 Abilene Christian31233%71.083.7-12.7
7 California Baptist3030%64.382.7-18.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State330100%97.371.0+26.3
2 Santa Clara440100%85.872.5+13.2
3 San Francisco330100%72.763.3+9.3
4 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
5 St. Marys (CA)32167%96.781.7+15.0
6 San Diego Toreros32167%83.378.3+5.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Gonzaga21150%90.573.0+17.5
9 Portland42250%86.893.5-6.8
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State3030%67.777.0-9.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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