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California vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 65-57
28-21 37-36
Position#281
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game64.7
Allowed / game69.2
vs
Position#130
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game58.2
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · California v Fresno State
28 Nov 2021
CALI65
FRES57
11 Dec 2019
CALI69
FRES63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#116
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H26/02
NCAA
Oregon
#31
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H27/02
NCAA
Stanford
#178
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A11/03
NCAA
Colorado
#45
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A12/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H09/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A14/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H16/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
W
75-68 OT
75
68
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A23/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#84
L
59-62
59
62
-3
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-28
24-31
27-34
36-40
35-29
41-29
20-24
38-37
37-33
30-47
29-30
23-25
32-32
43-38
29-33
28-24
27-46
33-34
25-27
34-35
130.9Avg total
64.2Scored
66.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)64.769.2133.8-4.533%
Season at home (4)69.070.0139.0-1.050%
Season away (2)56.067.5123.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)64.266.7130.9-2.530%
Last 5 (5)64.267.0131.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)63.170.2133.3-7.124%
vs Similar (7)71.168.9140.0+2.343%
vs Weaker (2)67.570.0137.5-2.550%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#219
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A27/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A03/03
NCAA
Utah State
#72
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H07/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H11/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#413
W
74-54
74
54
+20
H10/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H13/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H16/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H23/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-32
27-36
35-29
32-35
27-17
24-40
34-35
51-42
28-33
34-39
42-20
32-34
41-34
43-26
31-26
38-36
33-27
37-36
27-25
32-27
131.7Avg total
68.8Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.258.2129.4+13.0100%
Season at home (5)71.258.2129.4+13.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.862.9131.7+5.970%
Last 5 (5)71.258.2129.4+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)57.171.4128.5-14.39%
vs Similar (6)69.766.7136.3+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)74.862.2137.0+12.5100%
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -0.1-0.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: +6.0+6.02nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -0.1-0.1
CaliforniaFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#116
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Oregon
#31
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Stanford
#178
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A11/03
NCAA
Colorado
#45
L
20-24
20
24
-4
A12/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#239
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H09/11
NCAA
UNLV
#154
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#212
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/11
NCAA
Southern Utah
#97
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H19/11
NCAA
Florida
#131
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A23/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#84
L
25-27
25
27
-2
H24/11
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.4Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.233.864.0-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.733.366.0-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)27.334.461.7-7.121%-
Last 10 (10)29.431.661.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)28.433.662.0-5.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)29.134.763.8-5.519%-
vs Similar (7)32.932.165.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker (2)31.531.062.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#219
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A27/02
NCAA
Boise State
#66
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A03/03
NCAA
Utah State
#72
W
27-17
27
17
+10
H07/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#333
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H11/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#29
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#413
W
42-20
42
20
+22
H10/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H13/11
NCAA
Idaho
#325
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H16/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#343
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H23/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H25/11
NCAA
61.6Avg total
33.8Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.829.060.8+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (19)32.727.460.1+5.358%-
Last 30 away (11)30.331.661.9-1.455%-
Last 10 (10)33.827.861.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)34.826.461.2+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)26.531.958.4-5.527%-
vs Similar (6)32.829.262.0+3.783%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)35.326.962.2+8.467%-
This opponent (California) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
California wins
0
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
12/12/19California v Fresno State69-63
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/21HSeton Hall59-62
23/11/21AFlorida60-80
19/11/21HSouthern Utah75-68 OT
16/11/21HSan Diego Toreros75-70
14/11/21AUNLV52-55
09/11/21HUC San Diego67-80
12/03/21AColorado58-61
11/03/21AStanford76-58
27/02/21HOregon63-74
26/02/21HOregon State57-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/21HSanta Clara59-52
23/11/21HPepperdine70-63
16/11/21HIdaho69-62
13/11/21HLIU Sharks84-60
10/11/21HFresno Pacific74-54
12/03/21AColorado State62-72
11/03/21HNew Mexico85-77
07/03/21HUtah State51-57
03/03/21ABoise State67-64
27/02/21AUNLV67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game64.769.056.0
Allowed / game69.270.067.5
Point differential-4.5-1.0-11.5
Avg total133.8139.0123.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games55-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game71.271.2-
Allowed / game58.258.2-
Point differential+13.0+13.0-
Avg total129.4129.4-
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke770100%85.664.6+21.0
2 Wake Forest76186%82.767.0+15.7
3 Florida State65183%75.763.0+12.7
4 Georgia Tech65183%75.866.2+9.7
5 Louisville65183%71.563.3+8.2
6 NC State65183%77.870.2+7.7
7 Virginia Tech75271%71.452.7+18.7
8 Clemson75271%74.761.7+13.0
9 Virginia75271%61.453.6+7.9
10 North Carolina64267%83.278.7+4.5
11 SMU Mustangs85362%77.068.2+8.8
12 Notre Dame53260%70.862.4+8.4
13 Boston College74357%68.361.7+6.6
14 Stanford74357%69.670.1-0.6
15 Miami (FL)74357%73.374.6-1.3
16 Syracuse63350%78.777.2+1.5
17 California62433%64.769.2-4.5
18 Pittsburgh62433%62.269.5-7.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wyoming550100%84.656.8+27.8
2 Colorado State770100%86.970.6+16.3
3 Fresno State550100%71.258.2+13.0
4 Air Force76186%63.357.9+5.4
5 Grand Canyon65183%72.056.5+15.5
6 Utah State65183%79.869.0+10.8
7 San Diego State64267%62.559.7+2.8
8 UNLV74357%67.062.6+4.4
9 New Mexico74357%80.177.1+3.0
10 Boise State63350%61.356.5+4.8
11 Nevada73443%78.179.0-0.9
12 San Jose State52340%65.274.4-9.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California283765
Fresno State213657
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