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California vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 83-77
40-33 43-44
Position#268
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#345
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · California v Sacramento State
21 Nov 2025
CALI91
SACR67
24 Nov 2024
CALI83
SACR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

California winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CaliforniaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#75
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H25/02
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A29/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
59-88
59
88
-29
A03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A08/03
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
76-87 OT
76
87
-11
H14/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H05/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
91-73
91
73
+18
H08/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A14/11
NCAA
USC
#215
W
71-66
71
66
+5
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
39-30
31-45
47-43
32-42
27-46
32-41
26-39
45-34
24-35
46-28
40-45
39-35
52-38
31-49
38-36
42-43
29-23
35-27
43-42
150.8Avg total
73.5Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.073.2152.2+5.880%
Season at home (3)85.071.7156.7+13.3100%
Season away (2)70.075.5145.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)73.577.3150.8-3.850%
Last 5 (5)79.073.2152.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)75.181.9157.1-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (13)74.572.1146.6+2.562%
vs Weaker (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#213
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H02/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
106-44
106
44
+62
H06/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A09/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A13/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H17/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-25
37-38
34-20
39-41
48-48
40-43
32-29
40-35
35-32
39-37
38-42
33-32
53-13
53-31
37-30
20-34
24-35
30-29
43-32
26-47
140.3Avg total
73.0Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.562.8134.2+8.825%
Season at home (2)87.561.5149.0+26.050%
Season away (2)55.564.0119.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)73.067.3140.3+5.750%
Last 5 (5)71.465.0136.4+6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.672.3137.9-6.624%
vs Similar ◀ (8)58.162.4120.5-4.238%
vs Weaker (5)76.459.2135.6+17.240%
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -1.0-1.0
CaliforniaSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CaliforniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#75
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Colorado
#47
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/02
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A03/03
NCAA
Stanford
#259
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Stanford
#259
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H14/03
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H05/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/11
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#121
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A14/11
NCAA
USC
#215
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#367
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H22/11
NCAA
74.1Avg total
36.3Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.136.871.8-1.745%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.134.670.7+1.656%-
Last 30 away (13)33.839.573.2-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)36.337.874.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.475.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.939.973.7-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)36.533.970.4+2.554%-
vs Weaker (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montana State
#213
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H02/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
53-13
53
13
+40
H06/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A13/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
37.3Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.932.664.6-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.732.267.9+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)28.133.161.2-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)37.330.667.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.030.469.4+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.935.867.6-3.941%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)26.831.558.2-4.838%-
vs Weaker (5)40.423.864.2+16.660%-
This opponent (California) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
California wins
0
Sacramento State wins
No previous meetings.
Californialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24HAir Force78-69
18/11/24AUSC71-66
14/11/24AVanderbilt69-85
08/11/24HCal Poly91-73
05/11/24HCSU Bakersfield86-73
14/03/24HStanford76-87 OT
08/03/24AStanford58-80
03/03/24AUtah Utes59-88
29/02/24AColorado78-88
25/02/24HOregon69-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HCS Northridge69-79
13/11/24AUC San Diego54-64
09/11/24AFresno State57-64
06/11/24HCalifornia Maritime106-44
13/03/24AMontana State71-74
10/03/24AEast. Washington74-69
10/03/24AIdaho72-64
05/03/24HEast. Washington88-91
02/03/24HPortland State73-61
25/02/24AMontana State66-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

California
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game79.085.070.0
Allowed / game73.271.775.5
Point differential+5.8+13.3-5.5
Avg total152.2156.7145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game71.587.555.5
Allowed / game62.861.564.0
Point differential+8.8+26.0-8.5
Avg total134.2149.0119.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pittsburgh660100%85.860.2+25.7
2 NC State550100%82.663.0+19.6
3 Stanford660100%79.262.7+16.5
4 Florida State76186%77.465.0+12.4
5 Wake Forest76186%72.966.3+6.6
6 Duke54180%84.657.4+27.2
7 Clemson54180%80.864.6+16.2
8 Notre Dame54180%82.268.4+13.8
9 California54180%79.073.2+5.8
10 North Carolina43175%93.273.0+20.2
11 Louisville43175%81.062.8+18.2
12 Boston College43175%69.567.5+2.0
13 SMU Mustangs64267%89.772.8+16.8
14 Virginia Tech53260%72.469.2+3.2
15 Syracuse53260%80.879.6+1.2
16 Virginia53260%58.861.0-2.2
17 Miami (FL)63350%84.572.7+11.8
18 Georgia Tech52340%77.277.4-0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Arizona65183%82.764.0+18.7
2 Northern Colorado75271%88.074.1+13.9
3 Portland State63350%87.786.0+1.7
4 Montana52340%74.874.2+0.6
5 Idaho62433%79.277.3+1.8
6 Idaho State62433%68.867.5+1.3
7 Sacramento State41325%71.562.8+8.8
8 Montana State51420%75.270.8+4.4
9 Weber State51420%75.873.0+2.8
10 East. Washington61517%75.583.8-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
California404383
Sacramento State334477
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