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Canada W vs Japan W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-86
20-20 26-30 21-20 15-16
Position#8
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game55.0
Canada W
vs
Japan W 🏆
Position#13
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Novomatic Arena Sopron
Women2024
Meetings · Canada W v Japan W
11 Feb 2024
CANA82
JAPA86
09 Feb 2020
CANA70
JAPA68
01 Jul 2012
CANA71
JAPA63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canada W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Japan W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canada WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Colombia W
#5
W
89-55
89
55
+34
95avg 72
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
88-48
88
48
+40
92avg 72
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
68-60
68
60
+8
61avg 72
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
63-67
63
67
-4
48avg 72
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
68avg 72
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
81-39
81
39
+42
79avg 72
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
70-53
70
53
+17
67avg 72
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
83avg 72
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
67-55
67
55
+12
65avg 72
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
55-60
55
60
-5
48avg 72
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
25-19
23-9
19-13
22-7
19-18
23-10
24-13
18-20
20-10
16-21
14-9
17-22
12-17
21-15
13-13
22-17
16-20
26-21
16-15
23-8
19-7
22-10
17-14
17-13
17-18
18-8
18-14
18-12
25-13
22-27
12-16
25-11
16-19
14-9
12-16
12-16
13-20
23-9
7-15
131.6Avg total
73.8Scored
57.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.055.0125.0+15.080%
Season at home (3)71.055.7126.7+15.367%
Season away (2)68.554.0122.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)73.857.8131.6+16.080%
Last 5 (5)70.055.0125.0+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.084.3144.3-24.30%
vs Similar (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.558.8135.3+17.777%
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
New Zealand W
#4
W
88-52
88
52
+36
83avg 82
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 82
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 82
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 82
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-11
23-14
19-13
22-14
17-17
18-9
16-22
20-25
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
25-15
20-12
22-9
22-11
20-15
20-18
16-11
25-14
16-26
24-19
11-12
21-17
26-18
20-18
23-21
17-18
22-13
10-19
16-21
27-28
146.3Avg total
86.8Scored
59.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.578.0158.5+2.550%
Season at home (1)75.081.0156.0-6.00%
Season away (1)86.075.0161.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.859.5146.3+27.370%
Last 5 (5)80.667.0147.6+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.977.7152.6-2.845%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (17)89.458.2147.6+31.288%
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +8.9+8.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +8.9+8.9Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +5.5+5.5
Canada WJapan W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canada WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colombia W
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
67.9Avg total
37.8Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.830.067.8+7.873%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.330.868.1+6.565%-
Last 30 away (13)38.528.967.4+9.585%-
Last 10 (10)37.830.167.9+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)37.027.464.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.344.777.0-12.30%-
vs Similar (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)38.627.966.5+10.785%-
This opponent (Japan W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand W
#4
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H01/07
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
75.6Avg total
45.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.334.175.4+7.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.833.174.9+8.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.835.175.9+5.760%-
Last 10 (10)45.729.975.6+15.880%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.675.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.140.476.5-4.318%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (17)46.030.276.2+15.894%-
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canada Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada W: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.720.5
43.9%
45.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.55.9
30.3%
30.1%17.7
🏀 Free throws19.914.5
72.9%
74.5%14.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.9
54.8%
45.1%35.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.913.3
39.2%
30.1%39.9
🏀 Free throws11.09.3
84.4%
74.5%9.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canada W
LWWWWWLWWW
Japan W
LWLWWWWWLW
#8
League position
#13
+22.0
Net rating
+27.5
98.3
Offensive rating
118.2
76.3
Defensive rating
90.7
44.3%
Effective FG%
56.9%
36.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
21.9%
Turnover %
14.9%
41.4%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.17
30.3%
3-point %
39.2%
65.2%
Assist %
68.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 118.2Defence76.3 · 90.7Shooting44.3% · 56.9%3-point %30.3% · 39.2%Ball care21.9% · 14.9%Off. rebounds41.4% · 28.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Canada W   ■ Japan W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Canada W wins
1
Japan W wins
DateGameScore
25/09/22Japan W v Canada W56-70
10/02/22Japan W v Canada W86-79 OT
09/02/20Canada W v Japan W70-68
01/07/12Canada W v Japan W71-63
Canada Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HSpain W55-60
08/02/24AHungary W67-55
12/11/23HPuerto Rico W77-68
11/11/23AColombia W70-53
09/11/23HVenezuela W81-39
09/07/23APuerto Rico W80-73
09/07/23HUSA W63-67
07/07/23HArgentina W68-60
05/07/23ADominican Republic W88-48
04/07/23HColombia W89-55
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HHungary W75-81
08/02/24ASpain W86-75
05/10/23AChina W72-74
03/10/23HSouth Korea W81-58
02/10/23AIndonesia W89-47
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
02/07/23AChina W71-73
01/07/23HNew Zealand W88-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canada W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game70.071.068.5
Allowed / game55.055.754.0
Point differential+15.0+15.3+14.5
Avg total125.0126.7122.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Japan W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game80.575.086.0
Allowed / game78.081.075.0
Point differential+2.5-6.0+11.0
Avg total158.5156.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W330100%88.043.0+45.0
2 USA W220100%90.562.5+28.0
3 Australia W220100%72.553.5+19.0
4 Canada W54180%70.055.0+15.0
5 China W32167%83.066.0+17.0
6 Belgium W21150%88.073.5+14.5
7 Japan W21150%80.578.0+2.5
8 Serbia W21150%69.069.0+0.0
9 Hungary W21150%68.071.0-3.0
10 Spain W21150%67.570.5-3.0
11 Germany W21150%62.575.5-13.0
12 Puerto Rico W63350%65.278.8-13.7
13 Nigeria W21150%59.082.5-23.5
14 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
15 Brazil W2020%60.066.0-6.0
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W2020%65.584.5-19.0
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canada W2026211582
Japan W2030201686
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