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Canada W vs Nigeria W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 70-79
18-18 23-19 5-23 24-19
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game63.2
Canada W
vs
Nigeria W 🏆
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game61.6
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canada W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nigeria W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canada WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
USA W
#3
L
63-67
63
67
-4
no box
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
81-39
81
39
+42
79avg 66
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
70-53
70
53
+17
67avg 66
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
83avg 66
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
67-55
67
55
+12
65avg 66
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
55-60
55
60
-5
48avg 66
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
L
82-86
82
86
-4
77avg 66
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
50avg 66
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
65-70
65
70
-5
55avg 66
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
12-17
21-15
13-13
22-17
16-20
26-21
16-15
23-8
19-7
22-10
17-14
17-13
17-18
18-8
18-14
18-12
25-13
22-27
12-16
25-11
16-19
14-9
12-16
12-16
13-20
23-9
7-15
20-20
26-30
21-20
15-16
18-15
2-23
16-15
18-22
16-18
16-20
12-13
21-19
134.0Avg total
69.4Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.963.2132.1+5.650%
Season at home (5)69.865.6135.4+4.240%
Season away (3)67.359.3126.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)69.464.6134.0+4.850%
Last 5 (5)64.669.2133.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)58.582.0140.5-23.50%
vs Similar (2)65.573.0138.5-7.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)75.461.7137.1+13.771%
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nigeria WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
DR Congo W
#12
W
69-35
69
35
+34
no box
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
W
59-52
59
52
+7
no box
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Rwanda W
#7
W
79-48
79
48
+31
no box
A03/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
W
84-74
84
74
+10
81avg 55
H05/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#17
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 55
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
46-100
46
100
-54
29avg 55
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
61-78
61
78
-17
55avg 55
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
W
75-62
75
62
+13
65avg 55
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
43avg 55
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-8
13-10
17-14
23-3
18-10
24-13
14-19
27-23
16-18
13-15
18-10
12-9
22-6
22-12
14-17
21-13
19-10
24-21
19-26
22-17
20-18
17-28
12-11
23-8
13-19
7-32
15-24
11-25
11-22
18-18
13-23
19-15
18-17
23-11
10-19
24-15
20-24
11-14
8-16
15-21
133.6Avg total
68.2Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)61.676.0137.6-14.440%
Season at home (2)60.581.0141.5-20.550%
Season away (3)62.372.7135.0-10.333%
Last 10 (10)68.265.4133.6+2.870%
Last 5 (5)61.676.0137.6-14.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)66.680.5147.1-13.818%
vs Similar (5)66.063.0129.0+3.080%
vs Weaker (10)76.957.8134.7+19.1100%
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
Canada WNigeria W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canada WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USA W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Spain W
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Japan W
#13
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/02
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
20-38
20
38
-18
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
68.9Avg total
35.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.968.8+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.833.269.0+2.553%-
Last 30 away (13)38.330.268.5+8.177%-
Last 10 (10)35.033.968.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.471.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.243.072.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (2)33.039.072.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)38.529.568.0+9.079%-
This opponent (Nigeria W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nigeria WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DR Congo W
#12
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H28/07
AfroBasket Women
Egypt W
#9
W
42-23
42
23
+19
A30/07
AfroBasket Women
Mozambique W
#3
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H02/08
AfroBasket Women
Rwanda W
#7
W
44-18
44
18
+26
A03/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H05/08
AfroBasket Women
Senegal W
#17
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
20-51
20
51
-31
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Australia W
#3
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H29/07
Olympic Games Women
France W
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/08
Olympic Games Women
67.1Avg total
34.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)35.534.570.0+1.046%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.133.468.5+1.753%-
Last 30 away (11)35.936.071.9-0.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.532.667.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)31.640.672.2-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)33.740.574.2-6.727%-
vs Similar (5)29.834.264.0-4.420%-
vs Weaker (10)40.228.168.3+12.180%-
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canada Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada W: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.019.4
41.3%
45.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.35.0
28.9%
30.1%15.0
🏀 Free throws19.815.0
75.8%
74.5%15.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nigeria Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nigeria W: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.716.5
37.8%
45.1%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.3
29.6%
30.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws21.615.5
71.8%
74.5%15.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Aug 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canada W
LLLLWWWWWL
Nigeria W
LWLLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#10
+7.0
Net rating
+3.5
92.9
Offensive rating
85.4
85.9
Defensive rating
81.9
41.8%
Effective FG%
39.9%
41.2%
Opp. effective FG%
41.6%
23.2%
Turnover %
24.8%
39.5%
Off. rebound %
35.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
28.9%
3-point %
29.6%
61.5%
Assist %
68.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 85.4Defence85.9 · 81.9Shooting41.8% · 39.9%3-point %28.9% · 29.6%Ball care23.2% · 24.8%Off. rebounds39.5% · 35.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Canada W   ■ Nigeria W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Canada W wins
0
Nigeria W wins
No previous meetings.
Canada Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/24AAustralia W65-70
29/07/24HFrance W54-75
11/02/24HJapan W82-86
09/02/24HSpain W55-60
08/02/24AHungary W67-55
12/11/23HPuerto Rico W77-68
11/11/23AColombia W70-53
09/11/23HVenezuela W81-39
09/07/23APuerto Rico W80-73
09/07/23HUSA W63-67
Nigeria Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/24AFrance W54-75
29/07/24HAustralia W75-62
11/02/24ABelgium W61-78
09/02/24HUSA W46-100
08/02/24ASenegal W72-65
05/08/23HSenegal W84-74
03/08/23ARwanda W79-48
02/08/23HMozambique W59-52
30/07/23AEgypt W83-65
28/07/23HDR Congo W69-35

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canada W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game68.969.867.3
Allowed / game63.265.659.3
Point differential+5.6+4.2+8.0
Avg total132.1135.4126.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%20%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nigeria W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game61.660.562.3
Allowed / game76.081.072.7
Point differential-14.4-20.5-10.3
Avg total137.6141.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W550100%82.847.4+35.4
2 USA W550100%94.262.8+31.4
3 Spain W65183%71.871.0+0.8
4 Australia W54180%70.464.0+6.4
5 Germany W54180%71.271.0+0.2
6 China W63350%79.571.2+8.3
7 Belgium W63350%80.372.7+7.7
8 Canada W84450%68.963.2+5.6
9 Serbia W63350%68.766.2+2.5
10 Nigeria W52340%61.676.0-14.4
11 Hungary W31233%69.371.7-2.3
12 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
13 Japan W62433%74.283.3-9.2
14 Puerto Rico W93633%62.974.9-12.0
15 Brazil W3030%63.768.3-4.7
16 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
17 Senegal W3030%56.790.0-33.3
18 New Zealand W3030%51.085.7-34.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canada W182352470
Nigeria W1819231979
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