PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Canada W vs Spain W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 55-60
12-16 13-20 23-9 7-15
Position#8
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game53.8
Canada W
vs
Spain W 🏆
Position#4
Record0-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeOlympic Games Women· Novomatic Arena Sopron
Women2024
Meetings · Canada W v Spain W
09 Feb 2024
CANA55
SPAI60
01 Aug 2021
CANA66
SPAI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canada W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canada WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
84-47
84
47
+37
83avg 74
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
89-55
89
55
+34
95avg 74
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
88-48
88
48
+40
92avg 74
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
68-60
68
60
+8
61avg 74
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
63-67
63
67
-4
48avg 74
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
68avg 74
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
81-39
81
39
+42
79avg 74
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
70-53
70
53
+17
67avg 74
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
77-68
77
68
+9
83avg 74
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
67-55
67
55
+12
65avg 74
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
15-12
25-14
25-5
22-14
25-19
23-9
19-13
22-7
19-18
23-10
24-13
18-20
20-10
16-21
14-9
17-22
12-17
21-15
13-13
22-17
16-20
26-21
16-15
23-8
19-7
22-10
17-14
17-13
17-18
18-8
18-14
18-12
25-13
22-27
12-16
25-11
16-19
14-9
12-16
133.2Avg total
76.7Scored
56.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.853.8127.5+20.0100%
Season at home (2)79.053.5132.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)68.554.0122.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.756.5133.2+20.290%
Last 5 (5)75.057.6132.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.084.3144.3-24.30%
vs Similar (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)77.259.1136.2+18.181%
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spain WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#33
W
88-34
88
34
+54
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
no box
A15/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
78-57
78
57
+21
no box
H16/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
H18/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
67-42
67
42
+25
no box
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
69-60
69
60
+9
no box
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
L
58-64
58
64
-6
no box
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 74
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
75-34
75
34
+41
78avg 74
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
70avg 74
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-10
28-10
24-6
18-8
15-17
13-20
19-18
16-12
19-14
23-15
10-22
26-6
20-18
15-9
20-22
21-11
20-7
13-9
20-13
14-13
18-14
20-14
12-18
19-14
17-13
15-12
16-18
10-21
16-19
16-15
15-11
23-20
20-9
23-8
15-8
17-9
18-26
18-20
21-23
18-17
128.8Avg total
71.9Scored
56.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
Season at home (1)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.956.9128.8+15.070%
Last 5 (5)69.461.8131.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)66.075.6141.6-9.60%
vs Similar (3)63.762.0125.7+1.733%
vs Weaker (22)79.156.6135.8+22.591%
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +5.1+5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.3+6.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +5.1+5.1
Canada WSpain W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canada WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A04/07
AmeriCup Women
Colombia W
#5
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H04/07
AmeriCup Women
Dominican Republic W
#10
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A05/07
AmeriCup Women
Argentina W
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H07/07
AmeriCup Women
USA W
#3
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H09/07
AmeriCup Women
Puerto Rico W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/07
AmeriCup Women
Venezuela W
#16
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H09/11
Olympic Games Women
Colombia W
#12
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A11/11
Olympic Games Women
Puerto Rico W
#14
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H12/11
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
68.0Avg total
38.7Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.530.068.5+8.477%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.130.568.6+7.669%-
Last 30 away (14)38.929.568.4+9.486%-
Last 10 (10)38.729.368.0+9.490%-
Last 5 (5)39.627.667.2+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.344.777.0-12.30%-
vs Similar (1)34.040.074.0-6.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.328.067.3+11.488%-
This opponent (Spain W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spain WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland W
#33
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A12/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A15/06
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#14
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H18/06
European Championship Women
Germany W
#13
W
33-16
33
16
+17
H22/06
European Championship Women
Hungary W
#15
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H24/06
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H25/06
European Championship Women
Croatia W
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A09/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#32
W
43-17
43
17
+26
H12/11
European Championship Women
Japan W
#13
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H08/02
Olympic Games Women
64.4Avg total
36.5Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.028.865.8+8.273%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.728.266.9+10.478%-
Last 30 away (12)34.529.664.1+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)36.527.964.4+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)36.230.066.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.032.261.2-3.260%-
vs Similar (3)30.730.361.0+0.367%-
vs Weaker (22)39.727.867.5+11.977%-
This opponent (Canada W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canada Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canada W: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.721.2
45.4%
45.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.2
30.0%
30.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws20.914.9
71.3%
74.5%14.9
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spain Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain W: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀70%
🏀🏀🏀14%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.7 pts a game · 70% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.9 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.025.3
48.7%
45.1%50.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.33.3
20.4%
30.1%10.0
🏀 Free throws16.312.0
73.5%
74.5%12.0
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canada W
WWWWWLWWWW
Spain W
LWWLWWWWLW
#8
League position
#4
+26.8
Net rating
+14.8
100.8
Offensive rating
97.5
73.9
Defensive rating
82.7
45.3%
Effective FG%
44.4%
35.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
21.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
41.0%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.0%
3-point %
20.4%
69.3%
Assist %
81.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 97.5Defence73.9 · 82.7Shooting45.3% · 44.4%3-point %30.0% · 20.4%Ball care21.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds41.0% · 30.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Canada W   ■ Spain W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Canada W wins
2
Spain W wins
DateGameScore
01/08/21Canada W v Spain W66-76
14/08/16Spain W v Canada W73-60
Canada Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24AHungary W67-55
12/11/23HPuerto Rico W77-68
11/11/23AColombia W70-53
09/11/23HVenezuela W81-39
09/07/23APuerto Rico W80-73
09/07/23HUSA W63-67
07/07/23HArgentina W68-60
05/07/23ADominican Republic W88-48
04/07/23HColombia W89-55
04/07/23APuerto Rico W84-47
Spain Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HJapan W75-86
12/11/23HAustria W75-34
09/11/23ACroatia W70-65
25/06/23HBelgium W58-64
24/06/23HHungary W69-60
22/06/23HGermany W67-42
18/06/23HGreece W76-60
16/06/23HMontenegro W78-57
15/06/23ALatvia W63-67
12/02/23AIceland W88-34

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canada W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game73.879.068.5
Allowed / game53.853.554.0
Point differential+20.0+25.5+14.5
Avg total127.5132.5122.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spain W
Olympic Games Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game86.086.0-
Point differential-11.0-11.0-
Avg total161.0161.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W110100%88.040.0+48.0
2 China W110100%94.047.0+47.0
3 Canada W440100%73.853.8+20.0
4 Japan W110100%86.075.0+11.0
5 Germany W110100%73.066.0+7.0
6 Nigeria W110100%72.065.0+7.0
7 Australia W110100%60.055.0+5.0
8 USA W110100%81.079.0+2.0
9 Puerto Rico W42250%63.275.2-12.0
10 Colombia W31233%69.774.0-4.3
11 Belgium W1010%79.081.0-2.0
12 Brazil W1010%55.060.0-5.0
13 Senegal W1010%65.072.0-7.0
14 Serbia W1010%66.073.0-7.0
15 Spain W1010%75.086.0-11.0
16 Hungary W1010%55.067.0-12.0
17 Venezuela W3030%56.074.3-18.3
18 New Zealand W1010%47.094.0-47.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canada W121323755
Spain W162091560
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.