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Canberra C. Acad. W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 74-76
13-24 22-19 16-15 23-18
Position#5
Record12-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game71.5
Canberra C. Acad. W
Australia
vs
Adelaide Lightning W 🏆
Australia
Position#8
Record2-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.5
Allowed / game78.2
AustraliaNBL WRound 19
Women2016-17
Meetings · Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W
16 Feb 2017
CANB74
ADEL76
14 Oct 2016
CANB70
ADEL64
31 Jan 2016
CANB82
ADEL85
14 Nov 2015
CANB71
ADEL78
30 Jan 2015
CANB71
ADEL79
29 Nov 2014
CANB76
ADEL60
11 Jan 2014
CANB62
ADEL73
25 Oct 2013
CANB77
ADEL71
09 Nov 2012
CANB81
ADEL93
29 Oct 2011
CANB71
ADEL75
29 Oct 2010
CANB93
ADEL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra C. Acad. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra C. Acad. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#4
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
L
50-70
50
70
-20
A17/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
L
60-93
60
93
-33
A06/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A08/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H21/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H26/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#8
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A03/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A05/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#4
W
77-52
77
52
+25
H12/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
20-19
12-12
15-19
9-11
11-19
10-18
20-22
22-27
12-29
6-19
20-18
29-15
13-24
16-17
18-17
17-17
22-15
19-18
15-17
17-24
18-13
21-19
21-7
20-16
16-17
13-21
26-23
18-23
20-20
18-12
18-11
19-20
15-21
14-21
24-22
25-17
18-19
24-4
10-12
140.9Avg total
69.4Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.571.5143.0-0.055%
Season at home (11)75.468.3143.6+7.173%
Season away (11)67.674.8142.5-7.236%
Last 10 (10)69.471.5140.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)75.068.4143.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.676.8146.5-7.227%
vs Similar (14)70.471.6141.9-1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)68.262.8131.0+5.480%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#6
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H16/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
52-102
52
102
-50
A18/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H29/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A07/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
80-73
80
73
+7
A08/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H12/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
58-85
58
85
-27
H21/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H27/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H10/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
21-23
11-17
14-18
16-27
9-16
10-33
17-26
15-27
20-19
15-20
22-23
24-20
16-16
17-14
14-17
19-15
26-15
16-21
19-22
15-20
33-21
14-20
12-16
12-24
13-25
8-15
25-21
18-28
21-7
13-24
8-21
23-18
20-20
12-18
11-18
23-18
13-14
17-20
19-33
147.9Avg total
67.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)63.578.2141.6-14.79%
Season at home (12)63.677.5141.1-13.90%
Season away (10)63.379.0142.3-15.720%
Last 10 (10)67.380.6147.9-13.320%
Last 5 (5)66.080.2146.2-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)65.677.4143.0-11.915%
vs Similar (2)79.054.5133.5+24.5100%
vs Weaker (1)85.082.0167.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -5.4-5.4
Canberra C. Acad. WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra C. Acad. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A16/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A17/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A06/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#6
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H14/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H26/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A05/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H12/02
NBL W
74.0Avg total
35.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.937.471.3-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.333.767.9+0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)33.541.174.6-7.520%-
Last 10 (10)35.438.674.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.238.075.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.440.374.6-5.927%-
vs Similar (14)34.937.672.4-2.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)30.230.460.6-0.240%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H16/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A18/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A07/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A08/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#1
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H12/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#3
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H21/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#5
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H10/02
NBL W
76.8Avg total
37.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.171.5-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.937.971.8-3.953%-
Last 30 away (15)34.936.371.2-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)37.938.976.8-1.070%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.077.2-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)33.438.071.4-4.644%-
vs Similar (2)42.530.072.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker (1)46.026.072.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Canberra C. Acad. W wins
5
Adelaide Lightning W wins
DateGameScore
03/02/17Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W66-74
14/10/16Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W70-64
31/01/16Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W82-85
19/12/15Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W75-68
14/11/15Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W71-78
30/01/15Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W71-79
19/12/14Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W70-73
29/11/14Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W76-60
11/01/14Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W62-73
25/10/13Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W77-71
Canberra C. Acad. Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17HBendigo W77-52
05/02/17APerth Lynx W72-84
03/02/17AAdelaide Lightning W74-66
26/01/17HSydney W75-77
21/01/17HBendigo W77-63
14/01/17HTownsville W73-67
08/01/17ASydney W76-73
06/01/17ATownsville W60-93
17/12/16AGeelong United W50-70
16/12/16ABendigo W60-70
Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/17HGeelong United W72-85
03/02/17HCanberra C. Acad. W66-74
27/01/17HPerth Lynx W60-80
21/01/17HDandenong W58-85
12/01/17HSydney W74-77
08/01/17ADandenong W80-73
07/01/17AGeelong United W71-67
29/12/16HSydney W72-89
18/12/16APerth Lynx W52-102
16/12/16HTownsville W68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra C. Acad. W
NBL W 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%73%36%
Points / game71.575.467.6
Allowed / game71.568.374.8
Point differential-0.0+7.1-7.2
Avg total143.0143.6142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL9%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %9%0%20%
Points / game63.563.663.3
Allowed / game78.277.579.0
Point differential-14.7-13.9-15.7
Avg total141.6141.1142.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney W2317674%79.975.7+4.2
2 Perth Lynx W2215768%82.676.8+5.8
3 Townsville W2314961%78.672.4+6.2
4 Dandenong W2314961%77.273.2+4.0
5 Canberra C. Acad. W22121055%71.571.5-0.0
6 Bendigo W22111150%71.470.8+0.6
7 Geelong United W2351822%70.076.4-6.4
8 Adelaide Lightning W222209%63.578.2-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra C. Acad. W1322162374
Adelaide Lightning W2419151876
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