Canberra C. Acad. W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 62-73

21-19 14-20 16-11 11-23

Position#7

Record6-11

FormWLLLW

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game79.4

Canberra C. Acad. W

Adelaide Lightning W 🏆

Position#5

Record7-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game71.4

Allowed / game70.5

NBL WRound 14

Women2013-14

Meetings · Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra C. Acad. W winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Adelaide Lightning W winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra C. Acad. W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

68-84

-16

A10/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

62-66

-4

A16/11

NBL W

Townsville W

74-80

-6

A22/11

NBL W

Logan W

79-68

+11

A23/11

NBL W

Sydney W

68-81

-13

H30/11

NBL W

Townsville W

82-76

A13/12

NBL W

Logan W

77-88

-11

A15/12

NBL W

Logan W

68-72

-4

H20/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

81-84

-3

H03/01

NBL W

Sydney W

84-77

A04/01

NBL W

11-21

24-22

13-19

20-22

13-18

22-12

16-21

11-15

22-17

22-21

16-25

14-17

21-22

20-15

17-14

21-17

12-16

13-21

20-23

23-21

22-17

19-18

21-26

20-15

16-26

30-17

14-20

17-25

15-26

31-10

15-13

7-23

20-17

28-28

21-15

12-24

25-16

15-17

20-23

24-21

151.9Avg total

74.3Scored

77.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.5	79.4	154.9	-3.8	35%
Season at home (7)	73.4	81.7	155.1	-8.3	14%
Season away (10)	77.0	77.7	154.7	-0.7	50%
Last 10 (10)	74.3	77.6	151.9	-3.3	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	79.4	157.8	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	69.5	83.6	153.1	-14.1	18%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	69.6	73.2	142.8	-3.7	33%
vs Weaker (4)	75.5	74.2	149.8	+1.2	50%

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning W Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

93-41

+52

H03/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

53-75

-22

A09/11

NBL W

Townsville W

69-68

H16/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

76-84

-8

H22/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

65-78

-13

A30/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

71-85

-14

A01/12

NBL W

Sydney W

63-62

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

58-66

-8

H15/12

NBL W

Townsville W

67-75

-8

H22/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

84-64

+20

H04/01

NBL W

26-4

20-18

26-6

21-13

18-19

14-29

13-13

8-14

22-14

16-18

13-13

18-23

13-26

18-20

16-16

29-22

17-17

27-24

4-24

17-13

26-25

11-20

16-22

18-18

18-16

16-13

9-15

20-18

13-20

17-6

10-18

18-22

26-13

7-15

19-27

15-20

21-19

27-10

21-24

15-11

139.7Avg total

69.9Scored

69.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	71.4	70.5	141.9	+0.9	44%
Season at home (9)	75.0	67.1	142.1	+7.9	56%
Season away (7)	66.7	74.9	141.6	-8.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	69.9	69.8	139.7	+0.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	68.6	70.4	139.0	-1.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	70.0	72.3	142.3	-2.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	72.9	73.0	145.9	-0.1	60%
vs Weaker (14)	78.6	63.6	142.2	+15.1	71%

This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Canberra C. Acad. WAdelaide Lightning W

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	21.9	39.3	-4.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.1	21.3	38.4	-4.2	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	22.3	40.0	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.1	22.5	39.6	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.1	19.4	37.6	-1.3	22%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	24.5	41.8	-7.2	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.3	15.5	35.8	+4.8	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.3	37.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	16.5	36.5	+3.5	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	20.8	16.5	37.3	+4.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.2	37.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	18.2	37.5	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	18.2	37.2	+0.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	18.0	42.6	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	59%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	16.1	16.4	32.6	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.8	14.8	40.5	+11.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	17.3	34.9	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	15.3	33.7	+3.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.6	19.8	36.5	-3.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	17.3	34.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	12.8	28.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	18.3	36.8	+0.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	15.3	17.7	33.0	-2.4	30%	-
vs Weaker (14)	18.9	16.5	35.4	+2.4	50%	-

Canberra C. Acad. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo W

35-43

-8

A10/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

35-30

A16/11

NBL W

Townsville W

44-38

A22/11

NBL W

Logan W

41-37

A23/11

NBL W

Sydney W

25-37

-12

H30/11

NBL W

Townsville W

41-35

A13/12

NBL W

Logan W

46-43

A15/12

NBL W

Logan W

46-36

+10

H20/12

NBL W

Bendigo W

48-45

H03/01

NBL W

Sydney W

40-33

A04/01

NBL W

77.8Avg total

40.1Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	40.0	76.7	-3.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.5	39.5	75.9	-3.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.8	40.5	77.2	-3.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	37.7	77.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	38.4	82.6	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	36.4	42.4	78.8	-6.0	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	34.2	35.9	70.1	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.0	39.2	82.2	+3.8	75%	-

This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth Lynx W

46-22

+24

H03/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

32-48

-16

A09/11

NBL W

Townsville W

38-32

H16/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

31-46

-15

H22/11

NBL W

Bendigo W

44-41

A30/11

NBL W

Geelong United W

37-45

-8

A01/12

NBL W

Sydney W

34-29

A07/12

NBL W

Geelong United W

30-26

H15/12

NBL W

Townsville W

33-28

H22/12

NBL W

Dandenong W

48-29

+19

H04/01

NBL W

71.9Avg total

37.3Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	34.6	72.5	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	38.7	30.8	69.5	+7.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.7	39.7	76.4	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	34.6	71.9	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	31.4	67.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.5	34.8	73.3	+3.7	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	34.8	36.8	71.6	-2.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (14)	39.7	33.0	72.7	+6.7	64%	-

This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.2	19.6	35.9	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.4	19.0	36.4	-1.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	15.4	20.1	35.5	-4.8	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	19.9	37.2	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.4	37.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.4	21.1	37.5	-4.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	15.9	18.3	34.2	-2.4	11%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	16.2	32.5	+0.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	16.1	34.8	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	15.5	36.0	+4.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.4	16.8	33.2	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.7	17.8	32.5	-3.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	21.2	36.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.2	19.8	35.0	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (14)	21.1	12.9	34.0	+8.1	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.6	37.0	-2.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.0	36.9	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	21.6	37.6	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.7	20.1	36.8	-3.4	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	16.2	18.8	35.0	-2.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	17.8	36.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.4	35.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	17.7	34.0	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	60%	-
vs Weaker (14)	17.9	17.6	35.5	+0.2	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.7	39.2	72.9	-5.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.0	40.6	74.6	-6.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	33.5	38.1	71.6	-4.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.2	39.9	74.1	-5.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	41.0	75.2	-6.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	33.1	41.2	74.3	-8.1	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	35.3	37.3	72.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	32.5	35.0	67.5	-2.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	33.8	71.0	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.6	33.4	72.9	+6.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.0	34.5	68.5	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.6	35.2	67.8	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	39.0	71.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.5	37.5	69.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.1	36.2	74.3	+1.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (14)	38.9	30.6	69.5	+8.4	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Canberra C. Acad. W wins

Adelaide Lightning W wins

Date	Game	Score
25/10/13	Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W	77-71
13/10/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W	84-73
11/01/13	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W	98-67
16/12/12	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W	70-52
09/11/12	Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W	81-93
04/12/11	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W	84-75
29/10/11	Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W	71-75
05/12/10	Adelaide Lightning W v Canberra C. Acad. W	66-97
29/10/10	Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W	93-76

Canberra C. Acad. Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/14	A	Sydney W	84-77
03/01/14	H	Bendigo W	81-84
20/12/13	H	Logan W	68-72
15/12/13	A	Logan W	77-88
13/12/13	A	Townsville W	82-76
30/11/13	H	Sydney W	68-81
23/11/13	A	Logan W	79-68
22/11/13	A	Townsville W	74-80
16/11/13	A	Geelong United W	62-66
10/11/13	A	Bendigo W	68-84

Adelaide Lightning Wlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/01/14	H	Dandenong W	84-64
22/12/13	H	Townsville W	67-75
15/12/13	H	Geelong United W	58-66
07/12/13	A	Sydney W	63-62
01/12/13	A	Geelong United W	71-85
30/11/13	A	Bendigo W	65-78
22/11/13	H	Bendigo W	76-84
16/11/13	H	Townsville W	69-68
09/11/13	A	Geelong United W	53-75
03/11/13	H	Perth Lynx W	93-41

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra C. Acad. W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	35%
Home	WLLLL	14%
Away	LWWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	7	10
Win %	35%	14%	50%
Points / game	75.5	73.4	77.0
Allowed / game	79.4	81.7	77.7
Point differential	-3.8	-8.3	-0.7
Avg total	154.9	155.1	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	0%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Adelaide Lightning W

NBL W 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	44%
Home	WLLLW	56%
Away	WLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	44%	56%	29%
Points / game	71.4	75.0	66.7
Allowed / game	70.5	67.1	74.9
Point differential	+0.9	+7.9	-8.1
Avg total	141.9	142.1	141.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	44%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	50% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bendigo W	16	15	1	94%	77.4	62.6	+14.8
2	Townsville W	16	11	5	69%	79.7	68.5	+11.2
3	Dandenong W	16	11	5	69%	81.6	73.1	+8.6
4	Geelong United W	16	11	5	69%	66.6	63.2	+3.4
5	Adelaide Lightning W	16	7	9	44%	71.4	70.5	+0.9
6	Sydney W	17	6	11	35%	74.4	74.7	-0.3
7	Canberra C. Acad. W	17	6	11	35%	75.5	79.4	-3.8
8	Logan W	17	6	11	35%	73.4	80.1	-6.8
9	Perth Lynx W	17	1	16	6%	55.5	81.2	-25.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Canberra C. Acad. W	21	14	16	11	62
Adelaide Lightning W	19	20	11	23	73

← all games of the day

Canberra C. Acad. W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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