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Canberra C. Acad. W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Jan 2016
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 82-85
9-26 17-20 33-24 23-15
Position#9
Record0-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#7
Record7-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game78.4
AustraliaNBL W
Women2015-16
Meetings · Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W
16 Feb 2017
CANB74
ADEL76
14 Oct 2016
CANB70
ADEL64
31 Jan 2016
CANB82
ADEL85
14 Nov 2015
CANB71
ADEL78
30 Jan 2015
CANB71
ADEL79
29 Nov 2014
CANB76
ADEL60
11 Jan 2014
CANB62
ADEL73
25 Oct 2013
CANB77
ADEL71
09 Nov 2012
CANB81
ADEL93
29 Oct 2011
CANB71
ADEL75
29 Oct 2010
CANB93
ADEL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra C. Acad. W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra C. Acad. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H28/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H05/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A12/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A13/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A18/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A19/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A02/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
H09/01
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
75-115
75
115
-40
A23/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A24/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
13-20
12-21
18-12
10-17
22-22
23-24
21-19
18-18
12-24
20-21
30-21
16-29
21-13
19-12
19-24
14-21
18-26
12-21
24-20
8-18
25-14
24-19
11-24
13-22
22-22
15-20
18-14
17-32
12-18
22-19
12-20
29-18
15-33
12-30
19-34
20-35
19-15
23-23
21-24
156.9Avg total
71.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.684.9152.6-17.30%
Season at home (8)66.283.1149.4-16.90%
Season away (11)68.686.3154.9-17.60%
Last 10 (10)71.785.2156.9-13.50%
Last 5 (5)71.490.8162.2-19.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)64.384.0148.3-19.67%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)51.057.0108.0-6.00%
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#6
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H29/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
94-67
94
67
+27
A04/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H06/12
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
61-72
61
72
-11
H13/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
75-68
75
68
+7
H19/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
60-88
60
88
-28
H02/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H08/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H29/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
22-22
17-24
14-18
20-21
23-15
25-14
26-17
21-26
14-15
18-21
19-8
10-30
16-13
14-14
21-15
18-8
14-25
19-24
24-11
19-29
19-18
15-20
7-21
18-16
21-19
11-21
13-23
19-11
22-25
20-20
16-7
12-19
15-12
27-24
13-21
19-17
13-6
21-14
17-10
143.1Avg total
71.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)70.578.4148.9-7.937%
Season at home (10)67.373.4140.7-6.140%
Season away (9)74.184.0158.1-9.933%
Last 10 (10)71.271.9143.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)67.470.6138.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)70.180.1150.2-10.029%
vs Similar (4)72.865.0137.8+7.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.569.5146.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.0-6.0Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
Canberra C. Acad. WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra C. Acad. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#8
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H28/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/12
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A13/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A18/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A19/12
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H09/01
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A23/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A24/01
NBL W
77.2Avg total
34.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.341.672.9-10.310%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.638.270.8-5.613%-
Last 30 away (15)30.045.075.0-15.07%-
Last 10 (10)34.243.077.2-8.810%-
Last 5 (5)36.045.481.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)31.442.173.5-10.710%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)28.028.056.0+0.00%-
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A04/12
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H06/12
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H13/12
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H19/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H02/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/01
NBL W
Dandenong W
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H29/01
NBL W
72.7Avg total
35.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.740.376.0-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.638.274.8-1.641%-
Last 30 away (13)34.543.277.6-8.723%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.272.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.469.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)35.341.777.0-6.329%-
vs Similar (4)37.534.271.8+3.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)36.036.572.5-0.50%-
This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/16ATownsville W83-97
23/01/16ASEQ Stars W75-115
09/01/16HPerth Lynx W63-89
02/01/16ABendigo W68-78
19/12/15AAdelaide Lightning W68-75
18/12/15APerth Lynx W68-88
13/12/15AGeelong United W75-78
12/12/15ADandenong W80-84
05/12/15HSydney W76-82
28/11/15HGeelong United W61-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/16HGeelong United W70-47
24/01/16APerth Lynx W67-76
22/01/16ADandenong W77-63
08/01/16HDandenong W63-79
02/01/16HTownsville W60-88
19/12/15HCanberra C. Acad. W75-68
13/12/15HSEQ Stars W61-72
06/12/15HDandenong W72-70
04/12/15ASydney W94-67
29/11/15HBendigo W73-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra C. Acad. W
NBL W 2015-16
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.666.268.6
Allowed / game84.983.186.3
Point differential-17.3-16.9-17.6
Avg total152.6149.4154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW37%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%40%33%
Points / game70.567.374.1
Allowed / game78.473.484.0
Point differential-7.9-6.1-9.9
Avg total148.9140.7158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%10%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W2014670%78.871.0+7.8
2 Townsville W1913668%82.773.5+9.2
3 Dandenong W2013765%73.571.0+2.5
4 Sydney W2012860%77.275.5+1.7
5 Bendigo W2012860%74.172.8+1.4
6 SEQ Stars W1810856%83.577.4+6.1
7 Adelaide Lightning W1971237%70.578.4-7.9
8 Geelong United W2171433%71.274.8-3.5
9 Canberra C. Acad. W190190%67.684.9-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra C. Acad. W917332382
Adelaide Lightning W2620241585
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