PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Canberra C. Acad. W vs Adelaide Lightning W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 14 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 70-64
15-10 14-13 19-17 22-24
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#8
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game76.0
AustraliaNBL WRound 2
Women2016-17
Meetings · Canberra C. Acad. W v Adelaide Lightning W
16 Feb 2017
CANB74
ADEL76
14 Oct 2016
CANB70
ADEL64
31 Jan 2016
CANB82
ADEL85
14 Nov 2015
CANB71
ADEL78
30 Jan 2015
CANB71
ADEL79
29 Nov 2014
CANB76
ADEL60
11 Jan 2014
CANB62
ADEL73
25 Oct 2013
CANB77
ADEL71
09 Nov 2012
CANB81
ADEL93
29 Oct 2011
CANB71
ADEL75
29 Oct 2010
CANB93
ADEL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra C. Acad. W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide Lightning W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra C. Acad. WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Spartans W
#6
L
54-74
54
74
-20
H01/07
SEABL Women
Sandringham W
#12
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H09/07
SEABL Women
Frankston W
#9
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A16/07
SEABL Women
Nunawading W
#4
L
68-92
68
92
-24
A17/07
SEABL Women
Albury W
#13
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H23/07
SEABL Women
Frankston W
#9
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H30/07
SEABL Women
BA CoE W
#11
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H05/08
SEABL Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A13/08
SEABL Women
Ballarat W
#7
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A14/08
SEABL Women
Dandenong W
#3
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H08/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
8-23
17-16
10-19
15-22
16-15
22-16
26-23
15-22
13-18
14-20
15-9
21-29
16-26
11-16
20-21
18-17
16-14
23-13
9-12
15-18
14-9
13-17
15-24
25-20
8-15
19-21
12-15
18-25
19-19
16-13
10-15
17-23
18-24
15-19
15-17
25-14
16-18
13-18
15-21
137.4Avg total
64.2Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
Season at home (1)69.071.0140.0-2.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)64.273.2137.4-9.020%
Last 5 (5)63.673.0136.6-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)64.180.0144.1-15.911%
vs Similar (3)75.069.3144.3+5.767%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
70-47
70
47
+23
H29/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A31/01
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H05/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A13/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
92-78
92
78
+14
A14/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H20/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#4
L
63-77 OT
63
77
-14
A08/10
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A09/10
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-11
22-25
20-20
16-7
12-19
15-12
27-24
13-21
19-17
13-6
21-14
17-10
26-9
20-17
24-33
15-23
22-21
20-20
22-16
17-32
32-21
21-16
20-15
15-10
31-22
23-20
19-13
19-23
21-16
18-14
8-18
10-16
21-12
10-18
12-16
18-15
18-25
19-17
14-11
18-22
146.2Avg total
74.9Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)74.971.3146.2+3.650%
Last 5 (5)73.871.2145.0+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.678.0149.7-6.435%
vs Similar (4)75.265.2140.5+10.075%
vs Weaker (3)79.373.7153.0+5.7100%
This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
Canberra C. Acad. WAdelaide Lightning W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra C. Acad. WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Spartans W
#6
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H01/07
SEABL Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/07
SEABL Women
Frankston W
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A16/07
SEABL Women
Nunawading W
#4
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A17/07
SEABL Women
Albury W
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H23/07
SEABL Women
Frankston W
#9
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H30/07
SEABL Women
BA CoE W
#11
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H05/08
SEABL Women
Sandringham W
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A13/08
SEABL Women
Ballarat W
#7
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A14/08
SEABL Women
Dandenong W
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H08/10
NBL W
71.9Avg total
33.2Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.338.872.1-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.636.269.9-2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)33.041.774.7-8.714%-
Last 10 (10)33.238.771.9-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.072.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)32.639.672.2-6.926%-
vs Similar (3)39.732.071.7+7.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Adelaide Lightning W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Adelaide Lightning WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong W
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A22/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A24/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H29/01
NBL W
Canberra C. Acad. W
#9
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A31/01
NBL W
SEQ Stars W
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H05/02
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A13/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#6
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A14/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A08/10
NBL W
Geelong United W
#7
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A09/10
NBL W
74.0Avg total
40.2Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.576.6-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.737.373.9-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.539.879.3-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.874.0+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.836.279.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.339.877.2-2.543%-
vs Similar (4)41.535.276.8+6.275%-
vs Weaker (3)39.333.072.3+6.333%-
This opponent (Canberra C. Acad. W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/16HDandenong W69-71
14/08/16ABallarat W65-83
13/08/16ASandringham W63-72
05/08/16HBA CoE W64-71
30/07/16HFrankston W57-68
23/07/16HAlbury W66-56
17/07/16ANunawading W68-92
16/07/16AFrankston W57-69
09/07/16HSandringham W79-76
01/07/16HBrisbane Spartans W54-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/16AGeelong United W69-75
08/10/16ABendigo W63-77 OT
20/02/16HTownsville W57-64
14/02/16ABendigo W92-78
13/02/16AGeelong United W88-62
05/02/16HSEQ Stars W81-89
31/01/16ACanberra C. Acad. W85-82
29/01/16HGeelong United W70-47
24/01/16APerth Lynx W67-76
22/01/16ADandenong W77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra C. Acad. W
NBL W 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game69.069.0-
Allowed / game71.071.0-
Point differential-2.0-2.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Adelaide Lightning W
NBL W 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game66.0-66.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential-10.0--10.0
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%-50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W110100%84.062.0+22.0
2 Bendigo W110100%77.063.0+14.0
3 Geelong United W110100%75.069.0+6.0
4 Dandenong W110100%71.069.0+2.0
5 Perth Lynx W21150%77.587.0-9.5
6 Canberra C. Acad. W1010%69.071.0-2.0
7 Sydney W1010%90.093.0-3.0
8 Adelaide Lightning W2020%66.076.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra C. Acad. W1514192270
Adelaide Lightning W1013172464
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.