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Canberra Capitals W vs Bendigo W Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 04 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 08:00
Scheduled
Position#4
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game82.0
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
vs
Bendigo W
Australia
Position#8
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game87.2
AustraliaNBL WRound 8· AIS Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W
04 Dec 2026
CANB v BEND
upcoming
17 Oct 2026
CANB94
BEND92
25 Jan 2026
CANB73
BEND77
15 Feb 2025
CANB83
BEND74
08 Nov 2024
CANB76
BEND99
15 Feb 2024
CANB77
BEND85
11 Jan 2023
CANB92
BEND85
04 Nov 2022
CANB85
BEND105
23 Jan 2022
CANB94
BEND60
22 Dec 2021
CANB100
BEND88
16 Nov 2020
CANB76
BEND56
21 Dec 2019
CANB76
BEND66
04 Jan 2019
CANB102
BEND62
09 Dec 2018
CANB94
BEND63
25 Nov 2017
CANB80
BEND83
06 Oct 2017
CANB93
BEND80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 64
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
59avg 64
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 64
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 64
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 64
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
94-92
94
92
+2
no box
H17/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A23/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A31/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A07/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H15/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
21-24
13-20
15-23
15-11
18-28
19-18
21-20
22-26
11-17
15-20
14-15
26-20
18-24
16-20
15-18
19-12
16-21
19-20
22-14
27-15
25-22
21-31
21-24
19-23
17-21
17-19
17-19
26-17
23-19
11-15
17-17
26-20
21-22
19-19
31-22
20-21
17-29
31-19
10-16
157.7Avg total
77.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Season at home (2)86.088.5174.5-2.550%
Season away (3)81.377.7159.0+3.767%
Last 10 (10)77.480.3157.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)83.282.0165.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.181.6153.8-9.525%
vs Similar (11)72.873.6146.5-0.855%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)89.381.0170.3+8.3100%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
64-88
64
88
-24
50avg 70
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
66-84
66
84
-18
57avg 70
A08/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
64avg 70
A14/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
75-81
75
81
-6
63avg 70
H17/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
A17/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
H27/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
H02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
83-97
83
97
-14
no box
H07/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
no box
A10/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H14/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
22-22
10-28
6-15
20-31
18-19
14-19
14-15
22-29
20-19
10-19
24-19
21-20
17-23
24-21
13-17
15-27
22-25
31-21
24-21
25-29
13-22
14-26
16-14
14-16
19-10
20-22
17-29
20-26
22-21
19-19
22-31
31-33
20-20
19-27
14-14
17-13
29-19
24-14
27-24
163.7Avg total
77.5Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.387.2169.5-4.817%
Season at home (4)79.583.8163.2-4.225%
Season away (2)88.094.0182.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)77.586.2163.7-8.710%
Last 5 (5)80.485.8166.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.782.2159.8-4.523%
vs Similar (4)78.273.0151.2+5.275%
vs Weaker (13)78.370.3148.6+8.085%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.2-2.2
Canberra Capitals WBendigo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo W
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H17/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A31/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/11
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H15/11
NBL W
82.4Avg total
41.0Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.678.9-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.340.780.1-1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)37.240.577.7-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)41.041.482.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)37.643.280.8-5.619%-
vs Similar (11)36.337.573.7-1.236%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)49.338.387.7+11.0100%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H01/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A08/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A14/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H17/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A17/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#2
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H02/11
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/11
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#1
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A10/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H14/11
NBL W
86.0Avg total
41.3Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.980.4+2.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.938.480.3+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.039.480.4+1.660%-
Last 10 (10)41.344.786.0-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.883.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.243.285.4-1.138%-
vs Similar (4)36.031.267.2+4.8100%-
vs Weaker (13)42.536.979.4+5.585%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.920.9
42.7%
47.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.05.6
32.9%
32.8%16.8
🏀 Free throws15.19.6
63.6%
73.3%9.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.4
47.7%
47.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.3
34.9%
32.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.311.0
67.5%
73.3%11.0
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
LWWLWWLLLL
Bendigo W
WLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#8
-12.1
Net rating
-4.0
82.6
Offensive rating
90.6
94.7
Defensive rating
94.6
44.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.9%
3-point %
34.9%
64.5%
Assist %
59.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 90.6Defence94.7 · 94.6Shooting44.5% · 49.8%3-point %32.9% · 34.9%Ball care16.8% · 15.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · 23.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Bendigo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Canberra Capitals W wins
7
Bendigo W wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W83-97
17/10/26Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W94-92
25/01/26Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W73-77
23/01/26Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W89-72
08/11/25Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W73-71
15/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W83-74
30/11/24Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W98-78
08/11/24Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W76-99
15/02/24Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W77-85
25/01/24Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W93-75
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTownsville W78-85
07/11/26ABendigo W97-83
31/10/26AGeelong Venom W77-68
23/10/26ASydney W70-82
17/10/26HBendigo W94-92
07/02/26HGeelong Venom W76-67
03/02/26HSouthside W75-82
31/01/26ATownsville W62-78
25/01/26HBendigo W73-77
23/01/26ABendigo W72-89
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSydney W97-70
10/11/26APerth Lynx W84-94
07/11/26HCanberra Capitals W83-97
02/11/26HGeelong Venom W70-77
27/10/26HTownsville W68-91
17/10/26ACanberra Capitals W92-94
17/02/26HPerth Lynx W75-81
14/02/26APerth Lynx W76-86
08/02/26ATownsville W66-84
01/02/26HPerth Lynx W64-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.286.081.3
Allowed / game82.088.577.7
Point differential+1.2-2.5+3.7
Avg total165.2174.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bendigo W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game82.379.588.0
Allowed / game87.283.894.0
Point differential-4.8-4.2-6.0
Avg total169.5163.2182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W65183%94.284.0+10.2
2 Townsville W75271%85.977.6+8.3
3 Sydney W75271%83.678.1+5.4
4 Canberra Capitals W53260%83.282.0+1.2
5 Tasmania Jewels W53260%88.089.0-1.0
6 Adelaide Lightning W52340%79.882.6-2.8
7 Geelong Venom W62433%75.382.3-7.0
8 Bendigo W61517%82.387.2-4.8
9 Southside W71614%76.486.9-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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