PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Canberra Capitals W vs Bendigo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 73-77
15-11 18-28 19-18 21-20
Position#5
Record8-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#3
Record15-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game70.2
AustraliaNBL WRound 15· AIS Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W
25 Jan 2026
CANB73
BEND77
15 Feb 2025
CANB83
BEND74
08 Nov 2024
CANB76
BEND99
15 Feb 2024
CANB77
BEND85
11 Jan 2023
CANB92
BEND85
04 Nov 2022
CANB85
BEND105
23 Jan 2022
CANB94
BEND60
22 Dec 2021
CANB100
BEND88
16 Nov 2020
CANB76
BEND56
21 Dec 2019
CANB76
BEND66
04 Jan 2019
CANB102
BEND62
09 Dec 2018
CANB94
BEND63
25 Nov 2017
CANB80
BEND83
06 Oct 2017
CANB93
BEND80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 66
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
97-71
97
71
+26
96avg 66
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-73
77
73
+4
76avg 66
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
49-75
49
75
-26
32avg 66
A23/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
61-91
61
91
-30
43avg 66
H27/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 66
H04/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
72-84
72
84
-12
70avg 66
A10/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A18/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
67-61
67
61
+6
60avg 66
A20/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 66
A23/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
24-25
16-17
16-11
34-23
13-17
23-19
27-12
21-19
15-19
17-15
24-20
14-21
15-13
12-23
8-18
9-26
16-24
21-17
15-24
22-14
16-24
22-18
17-18
14-22
20-31
21-16
17-15
19-22
17-17
28-24
5-15
15-11
21-13
16-17
15-20
23-22
21-24
13-20
15-23
148.4Avg total
71.7Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.978.2150.1-6.242%
Season at home (8)77.679.0156.6-1.462%
Season away (11)67.877.5145.4-9.727%
Last 10 (10)71.776.7148.4-5.050%
Last 5 (5)71.477.2148.6-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)71.184.1155.1-13.029%
vs Similar (14)77.676.2153.8+1.457%
vs Weaker (2)90.073.0163.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
93-58
93
58
+35
94avg 72
H05/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
66avg 72
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
77-71
77
71
+6
81avg 72
A13/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
75-67
75
67
+8
64avg 72
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
70-60
70
60
+10
58avg 72
A21/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
73-61
73
61
+12
75avg 72
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
78-89
78
89
-11
65avg 72
A05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A15/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
98-88
98
88
+10
99avg 72
H21/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
89-72
89
72
+17
85avg 72
H23/01
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-7
24-17
24-14
17-14
12-12
18-18
28-23
26-17
18-15
17-16
16-23
31-16
12-18
15-13
17-20
18-13
18-15
19-20
15-12
22-14
22-16
20-16
9-15
20-25
19-28
26-18
13-18
30-22
22-18
17-26
12-19
20-18
26-27
25-20
27-23
22-23
24-21
20-13
23-15
152.7Avg total
80.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.070.2148.2+7.879%
Season at home (10)80.268.3148.5+11.990%
Season away (9)75.672.2147.8+3.367%
Last 10 (10)80.971.8152.7+9.180%
Last 5 (5)83.879.0162.8+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.271.4145.6+2.840%
vs Similar (5)75.266.0141.2+9.2100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.869.9150.8+10.990%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Canberra Capitals WBendigo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H12/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H20/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A23/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H27/12
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A10/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A18/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A20/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/01
NBL W
77.4Avg total
36.9Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.579.4-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.181.1+1.060%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.977.6-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.577.4-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.077.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.942.780.6-4.829%-
vs Similar (14)38.938.677.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)45.538.083.5+7.5100%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H05/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A07/12
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A13/12
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H19/12
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A21/12
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A31/12
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A05/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A15/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H21/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H23/01
NBL W
78.3Avg total
42.4Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.736.678.3+5.073%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.936.978.8+5.176%-
Last 30 away (13)41.336.377.6+5.069%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.978.3+6.590%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.487.8+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
vs Similar (5)34.433.267.6+1.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)43.837.481.2+6.480%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.620.9
43.9%
47.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.06.6
36.7%
32.8%19.8
🏀 Free throws16.210.5
64.8%
73.3%10.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.7
50.6%
47.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.6
38.3%
32.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.212.3
71.5%
73.3%12.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
LWLLWLLWWW
Bendigo W
WWLLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
-4.8
Net rating
+13.3
93.4
Offensive rating
104.7
98.2
Defensive rating
91.4
47.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
17.6%
Turnover %
17.3%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.7%
3-point %
38.3%
67.3%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 104.7Defence98.2 · 91.4Shooting47.0% · 53.6%3-point %36.7% · 38.3%Ball care17.6% · 17.3%Off. rebounds32.3% · 25.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Bendigo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26ABendigo W72-89
20/01/26AAdelaide Lightning W67-61
18/01/26ATownsville W69-78
10/01/26ASydney W72-84
04/01/26HPerth Lynx W77-74
27/12/25HSydney W61-91
23/12/25APerth Lynx W49-75
20/12/25HGeelong Venom W77-73
12/12/25HSouthside W97-71
09/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W76-71
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26HCanberra Capitals W89-72
21/01/26HSouthside W98-88
15/01/26APerth Lynx W81-85
05/01/26ASydney W78-89
31/12/25ATownsville W73-61
21/12/25ASouthside W70-60
19/12/25HAdelaide Lightning W75-67
13/12/25AGeelong Venom W77-71
07/12/25ASouthside W75-67
05/12/25HGeelong Venom W93-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %42%62%27%
Points / game71.977.667.8
Allowed / game78.279.077.5
Point differential-6.2-1.4-9.7
Avg total150.1156.6145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bendigo W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW79%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game78.080.275.6
Allowed / game70.268.372.2
Point differential+7.8+11.9+3.3
Avg total148.2148.5147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2117481%85.372.5+12.8
2 Bendigo W1915479%78.070.2+7.8
3 Perth Lynx W2015575%82.074.2+7.8
4 Southside W1981142%79.678.1+1.5
5 Canberra Capitals W1981142%71.978.2-6.2
6 Adelaide Lightning W2161529%74.082.3-8.2
7 Sydney W2161529%75.484.8-9.4
8 Geelong Venom W2051525%76.281.9-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W1518192173
Bendigo W1128182077
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.