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Bendigo W vs Canberra Capitals W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 73-71
28-18 16-19 11-21 18-13
Position#3
Record2-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game68.0
Bendigo W 🏆
Australia
vs
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Position#5
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game80.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 4· Red Energy Arena
Women2025-26
Meetings · Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W
23 Jan 2026
BEND89
CANB72
08 Nov 2025
BEND73
CANB71
30 Nov 2024
BEND98
CANB78
25 Jan 2024
BEND93
CANB75
14 Jan 2024
BEND88
CANB66
19 Jan 2023
BEND86
CANB74
20 Mar 2022
BEND v CANB
upcoming
28 Nov 2020
BEND51
CANB87
03 Jan 2020
BEND94
CANB90
06 Dec 2019
BEND66
CANB91
19 Jan 2019
BEND97
CANB101
14 Dec 2017
BEND80
CANB91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bendigo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Canberra Capitals W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bendigo WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#8
W
81-60
81
60
+21
70avg 76
A29/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
92-73
92
73
+19
90avg 76
H02/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
61avg 76
A15/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
76-67
76
67
+9
72avg 76
H23/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
91-74
91
74
+17
91avg 76
A27/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
70-60
70
60
+10
61avg 76
H05/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
W
63-55
63
55
+8
58avg 76
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
53avg 76
H19/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
62-55
62
55
+7
58avg 76
H28/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
88-75
88
75
+13
89avg 76
H02/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
30-22
17-15
17-5
30-22
21-13
25-13
16-25
17-17
21-22
21-21
15-23
27-15
24-13
16-21
9-18
23-31
30-13
20-23
18-7
16-23
12-10
13-8
29-19
20-21
13-13
13-7
17-14
19-23
15-21
19-10
13-20
18-18
22-12
9-12
13-13
23-18
17-18
30-21
18-18
143.9Avg total
76.3Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.068.0140.0+4.067%
Season at home (3)72.068.0140.0+4.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.367.6143.9+8.780%
Last 5 (5)69.863.8133.6+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
vs Similar (7)78.069.9147.9+8.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)84.571.7156.2+12.886%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#3
L
71-105
71
105
-34
59avg 67
A18/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
94-79
94
79
+15
86avg 67
H25/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
73avg 67
H30/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
91-77
91
77
+14
85avg 67
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
71-86
71
86
-15
60avg 67
H09/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 67
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
76avg 67
A18/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
70-105
70
105
-35
58avg 67
H25/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
65-73
65
73
-8
54avg 67
A01/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
64-73
64
73
-9
55avg 67
A06/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
13-23
18-31
13-21
24-20
24-20
21-19
25-20
30-28
15-16
19-19
16-17
28-25
18-16
24-13
21-23
17-16
19-22
14-16
21-32
17-17
22-21
21-21
23-15
24-16
24-22
18-18
14-15
21-28
12-26
25-21
12-30
21-22
19-19
10-17
15-15
14-17
12-14
12-21
26-21
161.2Avg total
77.7Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)69.880.5150.2-10.825%
Season at home (1)70.0105.0175.0-35.00%
Season away (3)69.772.3142.0-2.733%
Last 10 (10)77.783.5161.2-5.840%
Last 5 (5)72.479.2151.6-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.088.1163.1-13.119%
vs Similar (11)78.983.0161.9-4.127%
vs Weaker (3)84.368.7153.0+15.7100%
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
Bendigo WCanberra Capitals W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Bendigo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong United W
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A29/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H02/02
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H23/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A27/02
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H05/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/03
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H19/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H28/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H02/11
NBL W
77.8Avg total
41.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.337.681.9+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.536.880.4+6.776%-
Last 30 away (13)45.438.583.9+6.877%-
Last 10 (10)41.536.377.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.470.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (7)40.936.677.4+4.371%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)45.937.683.5+8.382%-
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Townsville W
#3
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A18/01
NBL W
Southside W
#7
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H25/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H30/01
NBL W
Geelong United W
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H09/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A18/10
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-54
33
54
-21
H25/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A01/11
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A06/11
NBL W
81.9Avg total
40.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.943.983.9-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.443.585.9-1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.544.481.9-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.881.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.477.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.846.786.4-6.938%-
vs Similar (11)39.541.681.1-2.236%-
vs Weaker (3)42.737.780.3+5.067%-
This opponent (Bendigo W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bendigo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bendigo W: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.816.9
45.9%
47.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.1
34.7%
32.8%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.314.6
79.8%
73.3%14.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.222.3
48.3%
47.8%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.16.8
28.2%
32.8%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.9
71.3%
73.3%11.9
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bendigo W
WWLWWWWLWW
Canberra Capitals W
LLLWWLWLWL
#3
League position
#5
+12.2
Net rating
-6.6
100.5
Offensive rating
94.0
88.3
Defensive rating
100.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
46.2%
41.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.7%
3-point %
28.2%
67.3%
Assist %
58.4%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 94.0Defence88.3 · 100.6Shooting48.5% · 46.2%3-point %34.7% · 28.2%Ball care18.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds26.8% · 28.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Bendigo W   ■ Canberra Capitals W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Bendigo W wins
3
Canberra Capitals W wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W83-74
30/11/24Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W98-78
08/11/24Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W76-99
15/02/24Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W77-85
25/01/24Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W93-75
14/01/24Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W88-66
19/01/23Bendigo W v Canberra Capitals W86-74
11/01/23Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W92-85
04/11/22Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W85-105
23/01/22Canberra Capitals W v Bendigo W94-60
Bendigo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25HSydney W88-75
28/10/25HGeelong Venom W62-55
19/10/25HTownsville W66-74
09/03/25ATownsville W63-55
05/03/25HTownsville W70-60
27/02/25ASydney W91-74
23/02/25HSydney W76-67
15/02/25ACanberra Capitals W74-83
02/02/25HSouthside W92-73
29/01/25AGeelong United W81-60
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25ASydney W64-73
01/11/25AAdelaide Lightning W65-73
25/10/25HTownsville W70-105
18/10/25ASouthside W80-71
15/02/25HBendigo W83-74
09/02/25HSydney W71-86
01/02/25AGeelong United W91-77
30/01/25HSydney W88-92 OT
25/01/25HSouthside W94-79
18/01/25ATownsville W71-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bendigo W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game72.072.0-
Allowed / game68.068.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game69.870.069.7
Allowed / game80.5105.072.3
Point differential-10.8-35.0-2.7
Avg total150.2175.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W54180%85.471.2+14.2
2 Perth Lynx W43175%73.873.5+0.2
3 Bendigo W32167%72.068.0+4.0
4 Southside W32167%80.379.7+0.7
5 Sydney W52340%75.276.6-1.4
6 Adelaide Lightning W31233%73.783.3-9.7
7 Canberra Capitals W41325%69.880.5-10.8
8 Geelong Venom W51420%75.877.2-1.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bendigo W2816111873
Canberra Capitals W1819211371
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