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Canberra Capitals W vs Townsville W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 04:00
Projected 77-84
Projected total 161.6
Final 78-85
20-21 17-29 31-19 10-16
Position#4
Record3-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game81.2
Canberra Capitals W
Australia
Vs
27%
73%
■ CANB 27%■ TOWN 73%
Pythia win probability
Townsville W 🏆
Australia
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game77.5
AustraliaNBL WRound 5· AIS Arena
Women2026-27
Meetings · Canberra Capitals W v Townsville W
15 Nov 2026
CANB78
TOWN85
25 Oct 2025
CANB70
TOWN105
21 Nov 2024
CANB81
TOWN80
30 Jan 2024
CANB83
TOWN91
10 Dec 2023
CANB55
TOWN84
07 Jan 2023
CANB62
TOWN77
19 Feb 2022
CANB84
TOWN58
15 Nov 2020
CANB78
TOWN67
30 Nov 2019
CANB87
TOWN78
20 Oct 2019
CANB67
TOWN65
28 Dec 2018
CANB104
TOWN75
21 Dec 2017
CANB66
TOWN99
27 Oct 2017
CANB68
TOWN83
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Canberra Capitals W host Townsville W on 15 November 2026 in the NBL W, with Townsville the clear favourite as the Pythia model gives the Capitals a 27% chance of victory and Townsville 73%. Canberra has gone 3-1 this season, averaging 84.5 points and conceding 81.2, while Townsville sits 4-th with a 4-2 record, 86.0 points scored and 77.5 allowed. Canberra's lone home game saw a 94.0 point outing against a 92.0 defence, and in the last five games they have won four and lost one, including a 97-83 win over Bendigo W and a 77-68 win over Geelong Venom, but a 70-82 loss to Sydney W. Townsville's road record is 3-1, 85.0 points for and 72.2 against, and their last five have also been 4-1, highlighted by an 80-67 win over Geelong Venom, a 99-86 home win over Perth Lynx, and a 91-68 victory over Bendigo W. The teams have met ten times, with Townsville winning nine and Canberra only one, the most recent clash ending 78-62 in favour of Townsville on 31 January 2026. The Pythia model projects a 77-84 score, 161.6 total points, a home line of 8.5 with a 55% chance of the Capitals covering, an over line of 163.25 with a 45% probability of the over, and a 4% chance of overtime. Canberra's recent home form suggests they will try to keep the game close, but Townsville's superior offensive output and head-to-head advantage will likely dictate the outcome.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Canberra Capitals W winLost
26.9%fair 3.71
Best odds4.10
Implied22.3%
Edge+4.6pp
Townsville W winWon
73.1%fair 1.37
Best odds1.25
Implied77.7%
Edge-4.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Canberra Capitals WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
67-61
67
61
+6
60avg 64
A20/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
72-89
72
89
-17
66avg 64
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
59avg 64
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 64
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 64
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 64
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
94-92
94
92
+2
no box
H17/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A23/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
77-68
77
68
+9
no box
A31/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
97-83
97
83
+14
no box
A07/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
21-13
16-17
15-20
23-22
21-24
13-20
15-23
15-11
18-28
19-18
21-20
22-26
11-17
15-20
14-15
26-20
18-24
16-20
15-18
19-12
16-21
19-20
22-14
27-15
25-22
21-31
21-24
19-23
17-21
17-19
17-19
26-17
23-19
11-15
17-17
26-20
21-22
19-19
31-22
154.2Avg total
76.3Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.581.2165.8+3.275%
Season at home (1)94.092.0186.0+2.0100%
Season away (3)81.377.7159.0+3.767%
Last 10 (10)76.377.9154.2-1.650%
Last 5 (5)82.878.4161.2+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)71.781.4153.1-9.727%
vs Similar (11)72.873.6146.5-0.855%
vs Weaker (4)89.880.0169.8+9.8100%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 79
A18/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
84-74
84
74
+10
84avg 79
H22/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
88-79
88
79
+9
74avg 79
H26/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
103avg 79
A01/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#1
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
A17/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
W
86-68
86
68
+18
no box
A20/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
91-68
91
68
+23
no box
A27/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#1
W
99-86
99
86
+13
no box
H03/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
80-67
80
67
+13
no box
A05/11
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
23-23
22-33
24-27
21-25
32-21
17-15
14-13
20-22
22-23
24-10
22-24
20-26
30-19
24-26
18-21
23-28
28-17
12-19
20-22
17-24
23-19
19-15
27-10
18-23
23-24
12-28
24-15
29-25
22-13
26-14
14-16
26-21
22-26
26-17
25-22
29-17
12-16
22-17
17-17
171.7Avg total
88.5Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.077.5163.5+8.567%
Season at home (2)88.088.0176.0+0.050%
Season away (4)85.072.2157.2+12.875%
Last 10 (10)88.583.2171.7+5.370%
Last 5 (5)86.675.8162.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)88.388.4176.7-0.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.570.8156.3+14.787%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 157Actual: Over 157
Over 157
60.5%
@ 1.53-0.6pp
Under 157
39.5%
@ 2.40+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Marathon Be
1.53
Under
Bet365
2.40
Over/Under 162.25 · main lineActual: Over 162.25
Over 162.25
47.0%
@ 1.81-3.0pp
Under 162.25
53.0%
@ 1.81+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 167Actual: Under 167
Over 167
36.1%
@ 2.45-2.2pp
Under 167
63.9%
@ 1.53+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.45
Under
Marathon Be
1.53
Bet365
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

Canberra Capitals W total 73.5Actual: Canberra Capitals W over 73.5
Over 73.5
63.9%
@ 1.57+4.8pp
Under 73.5
36.1%
@ 2.50-4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.12
Canberra Capitals W total 77.5 · main lineActual: Canberra Capitals W over 77.5
Over 77.5
48.6%
@ 2.10+0.4pp
Under 77.5
51.4%
@ 1.87-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.10
BetVictor
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
Bet365
1.87
Under
Bet365
1.87
Marathon Be
1.79
BetVictor
1.78
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.58
Canberra Capitals W total 81.5Actual: Canberra Capitals W under 81.5
Over 81.5
33.7%
@ 2.73-0.6pp
Under 81.5
66.3%
@ 1.41+0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.73
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.67
Under
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.31
Townsville W total 81.5Actual: Townsville W over 81.5
Over 81.5
60.7%
@ 1.50-3.2pp
Under 81.5
39.3%
@ 2.55+3.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.36
Under
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Townsville W total 85.5 · main lineActual: Townsville W under 85.5
Over 85.5
45.1%
@ 1.84-5.2pp
Under 85.5
54.9%
@ 1.95+5.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.84
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.68
Under
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.86
Betano
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.77
Townsville W total 89.5Actual: Townsville W under 89.5
Over 89.5
30.1%
@ 2.65-6.0pp
Under 89.5
69.9%
@ 1.44+6.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.30
Under
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.43
1xBet
1.41

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Canberra Capitals W +7Push
CANB +7
49.7%
@ 2.36+10.5pp
TOWN -7
50.3%
@ 1.75-10.5pp
Best 5 market prices
CANB
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathon Be
2.06
Bet365
2.05
SBO
1.91
TOWN
SBO
1.75
Bet365
1.72
Marathon Be
1.57
Pinnacle
1.52
Spread Canberra Capitals W +10 · main lineActual: Canberra Capitals W +10
CANB +10
61.1%
@ 1.85+10.7pp
TOWN -10
38.9%
@ 2.12-10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
CANB
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathon Be
1.79
Bet365
1.68
TOWN
Bet365
2.12
Marathon Be
1.92
Pinnacle
1.88
Spread Canberra Capitals W +13Actual: Canberra Capitals W +13
CANB +13
71.2%
@ 1.43+5.8pp
TOWN -13
28.8%
@ 2.70-5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
CANB
Bet365
1.43
TOWN
Bet365
2.70

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.8+1.8
Canberra Capitals WTownsville W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Canberra Capitals WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A20/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A23/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A31/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H03/02
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H17/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/10
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A31/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A07/11
NBL W
79.7Avg total
40.9Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.75
Last 30 (30)38.640.378.9-1.737%40%
Last 30 at home (14)39.540.179.6-0.643%36%
Last 30 away (16)37.840.578.2-2.831%44%
Last 10 (10)40.938.879.7+2.150%50%
Last 5 (5)43.838.482.2+5.480%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.642.780.3-5.120%40%
vs Similar (11)36.337.573.7-1.236%18%
vs Weaker (4)48.539.087.5+9.5100%100%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southside W
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A18/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H22/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H26/02
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A01/03
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#1
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A17/10
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A20/10
NBL W
Sydney W
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H25/10
NBL W
Bendigo W
#8
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/10
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBL W
Geelong Venom W
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A05/11
NBL W
89.8Avg total
46.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 82.75
Last 30 (30)45.839.285.0+6.673%67%
Last 30 at home (17)44.239.483.5+4.865%59%
Last 30 away (13)47.939.086.9+8.985%77%
Last 10 (10)46.043.889.8+2.260%90%
Last 5 (5)44.241.685.8+2.660%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)47.445.793.1+1.757%100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.337.282.5+8.178%57%
This opponent (Canberra Capitals W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Townsville W win
CANB win
no forecast
@ 3.50
TOWN win
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half Spread Canberra Capitals W +5.5 · main lineActual: Townsville W -5.5
CANB +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
TOWN -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 82.75 · main lineActual: Over 82.75
Over
no forecast
@ 1.81
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Canberra Capitals W 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Canberra Capitals W under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.15
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Townsville W 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Townsville W over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.96
1st half: CANB + total 83.5
CANB & over
no forecast
@ 5.50
CANB & under
no forecast
@ 5.25
1st half: Draw + total 83.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: TOWN + total 83.5
TOWN & over
no forecast
@ 2.85
TOWN & under
no forecast
@ 2.75
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Over 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 84Actual: Over 84
Over
no forecast
@ 2.12
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Spread Canberra Capitals W +4.5Actual: Townsville W -4.5
CANB +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.03
TOWN -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.89
1st half Spread Canberra Capitals W +6.5Actual: Townsville W -6.5
CANB +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
TOWN -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Over/Under 80Actual: Over 80
Over
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under
no forecast
@ 1.94
1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Over 85.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Canberra Capitals W +3.5Actual: Townsville W -3.5
CANB +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
TOWN -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Townsville W (regulation)
CANB
no forecast
@ 3.16
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.50
TOWN
no forecast
@ 1.45

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CANB win + total 162.5
🔒 Pro
TOWN win + total 162.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CANB leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: TOWN leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (CANB:TOWN): CANB wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Canberra Capitals W +13.572.1%1.45
Betano
1.50
BetVictor
1.48
Bet365
1.42
1xBet
1.40		-+9.3ppWon
Townsville W under 96.588.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+9.2ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +14.574.9%1.38
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.42
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.33		-+9.1ppWon
Townsville W under 92.579.3%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+8.9ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +16.580.1%1.29
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.26		---+8.3ppWon
Townsville W under 90.573.2%1.39
Bet365
1.43
1xBet
1.35		---+8.2ppWon
Under 17274.5%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+7.9ppWon
Townsville W under 98.592.0%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +15.577.6%1.32
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.32
1xBet
1.27		--+7.6ppWon
Townsville W under 100.594.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+7.4ppWon
Townsville W under 102.596.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+7.4ppWon
Under 172.575.0%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+7.3ppWon
Townsville W under 95.586.7%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+7.2ppWon
Townsville W under 106.598.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+7.0ppWon
Under 179.586.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+6.9ppWon
Townsville W under 91.576.4%1.31
Bet365
1.31
1xBet
1.30		---+6.8ppWon
Townsville W under 94.584.5%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+6.7ppWon
Townsville W under 105.598.1%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.6ppWon
Under 174.578.6%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+6.6ppWon
Townsville W under 104.597.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.5ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +1474.2%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+6.4ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +1679.6%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+6.4ppWon
Under 189.595.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.0ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +28.596.4%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+6.0ppWon
Under 184.591.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.9ppWon
Townsville W +13.595.5%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.9ppWon
Under 17172.6%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+5.9ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +1577.0%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+5.9ppWon
Under 17070.5%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+5.9ppWon
Townsville W under 93.582.0%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+5.9ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +1371.2%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+5.8ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +18.584.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+5.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +23.592.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+5.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +27.595.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+5.6ppWon
Under 178.584.8%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+5.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +26.595.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+5.4ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +32.598.1%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.3ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 71.571.0%1.36
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.35
1xBet
1.34		--+5.2ppWon
Townsville W +18.598.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.2ppWon
Townsville W over 65.596.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.2ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 59.595.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+5.1ppWon
Townsville W over 64.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.1ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 57.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.1ppWon
Under 170.571.1%1.40
Bet365
1.42
Betano
1.39		---+5.1ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +31.597.8%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+5.0ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +22.591.0%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+4.9ppWon
Townsville W +17.597.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.9ppWon
Under 171.573.1%1.36
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.32		---+4.8ppWon
Under 173.576.9%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+4.8ppWon
Under 188.594.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.8ppWon
Townsville W over 67.595.0%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.8ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +33.598.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.7ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 98.597.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.7ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 100.598.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +17.582.4%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+4.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 83.572.9%1.35
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.29		---+4.6ppWon
Townsville W +12.594.8%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.6ppWon
Townsville W +3.580.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+4.5ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 60.594.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.5ppWon
Townsville W +16.597.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.5ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 61.593.8%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.4ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 94.594.7%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+4.4ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 58.596.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.4ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 95.595.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.4ppWon
Townsville W over 66.595.9%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.4ppWon
Townsville W +8.590.4%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+4.3ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 99.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.3ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 56.597.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.2ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 97.596.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.2ppWon
Under 186.593.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+4.1ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 96.596.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.1ppWon
Townsville W +2.578.4%1.24
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.22		---+4.0ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 93.593.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+4.0ppWon
Townsville W over 69.592.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.9ppWon
Under 183.590.6%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+3.9ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 63.591.0%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+3.9ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 66.585.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+3.8ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 92.592.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.7ppWon
Townsville W +11.593.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+3.7ppWon
Townsville W over 68.593.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+3.7ppWon
Townsville W +174.7%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+3.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 88.585.9%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+3.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 65.587.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+3.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W +21.589.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+3.6ppWon
Overtime: no95.6%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.6ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 62.592.5%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+3.5ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 90.589.6%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+3.5ppWon
Townsville W over 71.589.5%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+3.4ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 67.582.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.3ppWon
Townsville W over 73.585.5%1.13
Bet365
1.13		----+3.3ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 84.575.9%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+3.1ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 70.574.3%1.28
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.27		---+3.1ppWon
Under 181.588.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+3.0ppWon
Over 136.593.6%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+3.0ppWon
Townsville W over 75.580.6%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+2.8ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 91.591.1%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+2.8ppWon
Townsville W +7.588.9%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+2.8ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 64.589.3%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+2.7ppWon
Townsville W over 74.583.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+2.7ppWon
Under 176.581.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+2.7ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 69.577.3%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+2.6ppWon
Townsville W over 70.591.2%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+2.5ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 89.587.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+2.3ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 87.583.7%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+2.3ppWon
Over 138.591.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.3ppWon
Townsville W +1.575.3%1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.22		---+2.2ppWon
Over 141.588.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08		----+2.1ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 86.581.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+1.8ppWon
Townsville W over 72.587.7%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+1.6ppWon
Townsville W over 77.574.8%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+1.4ppWon
Canberra Capitals W over 68.580.2%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+1.3ppWon
Over 139.591.0%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+1.3ppWon
Townsville W +6.587.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		----+1.1ppWon
Canberra Capitals W under 85.578.7%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+1.0ppWon
Over 146.581.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+0.4ppWon
Townsville W over 76.577.8%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+0.0ppWon
Over 143.586.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----0.4ppWon
Over 151.572.5%1.28
Bet365
1.28		-----0.7ppWon
Townsville W -1.570.6%1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.27		----1.5ppWon
Townsville W -172.4%1.26
Bet365
1.26		-----1.7ppWon
Over 144.584.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----1.8ppWon
Townsville W over 78.571.5%1.27
Bet365
1.27		-----1.8ppWon
Over 148.578.3%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----2.1ppWon
Townsville W (regulation)70.5%1.23
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22		---3.6ppWon
Over 149.576.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----3.9ppWon
Townsville W win73.1%1.22
WilliamHill
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Betano
1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22		-4.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Canberra Capitals Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Canberra Capitals W: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.920.9
42.7%
47.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.05.6
32.9%
32.8%16.8
🏀 Free throws15.19.6
63.6%
73.3%9.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Townsville Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Townsville W: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.422.7
51.1%
47.8%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.2
34.7%
32.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
73.3%16.5
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Canberra Capitals W
WWLWWLLLLW
Townsville W
WWWLWLWWWL
#4
League position
#2
-12.1
Net rating
+9.5
82.6
Offensive rating
95.8
94.7
Defensive rating
86.3
44.5%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.9%
3-point %
34.7%
64.5%
Assist %
58.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence82.6 · 95.8Defence94.7 · 86.3Shooting44.5% · 51.5%3-point %32.9% · 34.7%Ball care16.8% · 14.6%Off. rebounds30.7% · -Free throws0.23 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Canberra Capitals W   ■ Townsville W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Canberra Capitals W wins
9
Townsville W wins
DateGameScore
31/01/26Townsville W v Canberra Capitals W78-62
18/01/26Townsville W v Canberra Capitals W78-69
22/11/25Townsville W v Canberra Capitals W101-61
25/10/25Canberra Capitals W v Townsville W70-105
18/01/25Townsville W v Canberra Capitals W105-71
21/12/24Townsville W v Canberra Capitals W81-48
21/11/24Canberra Capitals W v Townsville W81-80
30/01/24Canberra Capitals W v Townsville W83-91
10/12/23Canberra Capitals W v Townsville W55-84
18/11/23Townsville W v Canberra Capitals W85-73
Canberra Capitals Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ABendigo W97-83
31/10/26AGeelong Venom W77-68
23/10/26ASydney W70-82
17/10/26HBendigo W94-92
07/02/26HGeelong Venom W76-67
03/02/26HSouthside W75-82
31/01/26ATownsville W62-78
25/01/26HBendigo W73-77
23/01/26ABendigo W72-89
20/01/26AAdelaide Lightning W67-61
Townsville Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26AGeelong Venom W80-67
03/11/26HPerth Lynx W99-86
27/10/26ABendigo W91-68
25/10/26HSydney W77-90
20/10/26AAdelaide Lightning W86-68
17/10/26APerth Lynx W83-86
01/03/26APerth Lynx W108-105 OT
26/02/26HPerth Lynx W88-79
22/02/26HSouthside W84-74
18/02/26ASouthside W89-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Canberra Capitals W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game84.594.081.3
Allowed / game81.292.077.7
Point differential+3.2+2.0+3.7
Avg total165.8186.0159.0
Over 162.2550%100%33%
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Townsville W
NBL W 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%50%75%
Points / game86.088.085.0
Allowed / game77.588.072.2
Point differential+8.5+0.0+12.8
Avg total163.5176.0157.2
Over 162.2550%100%25%
Win by 10+67%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Perth Lynx W65183%94.284.0+10.2
2 Canberra Capitals W43175%84.581.2+3.2
3 Sydney W75271%83.678.1+5.4
4 Townsville W64267%86.077.5+8.5
5 Tasmania Jewels W53260%88.089.0-1.0
6 Adelaide Lightning W52340%79.882.6-2.8
7 Geelong Venom W62433%75.382.3-7.0
8 Bendigo W61517%82.387.2-4.8
9 Southside W71614%76.486.9-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Canberra Capitals W2017311078
Townsville W2129191685
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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